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Suffolk County, NY — Coffee shops Saturation

How many coffee shops exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 110 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 1.44× the U.S. rate (between 1.44× and 1.71× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 52 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 49 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Suffolk County coffee shops — 144–171% of the U.S. rate

527 coffee shops are counted in Suffolk County — 3.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 144% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 28% between 2015 and 2023 (394 → 505). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 11944 (Greenport), 11705 (Bayport), 11777 (Port Jefferson) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 11763 (Medford), 11746 (Huntington Station), 11704 (West Babylon).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 580 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Suffolk County sits at 144% of the U.S. rate for coffee shops. 49 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 144% and 171% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 11944 and 11705; the lowest measured density is in 11763 and 11746.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing coffee shops and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Coffee shops
527–631
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (52 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
3.0
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
1.44×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
580
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,444,016
105 ZIPs with data
Workers
549,149
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,535,909
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.9%
+13,734 people
Net migration 2024
+3,412
international +9,881, domestic −6,469
Jobs located here
639,110
LODES 2022, −3.7% since 2019

Suffolk County had an estimated 1,535,909 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.9% more than in 2020 (+13,734). In the latest year it gained 6,880 people: births minus deaths +3,394, international migration +9,881, domestic migration −6,469. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

639,110 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.7% since 2019), and 768,254 employed residents lived there (+0.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11978 Westhampton Beach
+52.5%
11968 Southampton
+45.6%
11937 East Hampton
+35.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11955 Moriches
−34.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
74
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$5.1M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$69K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more coffee shops in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 28% since 2015

Number of coffee shops in Suffolk County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

394
2015
453
2018
466
2020
498
2021
507
2022
505
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11944 Greenport
405%
11705 Bayport
358%
11777 Port Jefferson
328%
11952 Mattituck
327%
11963 Sag Harbor
300%
11787 Smithtown
284%
11967 Shirley
261%
11792 Wading River
240%
11725 Commack
239%
11768 Northport
228%
11743 Huntington
226%
11772 Patchogue
215%
11730 East Islip
210%
11738 Farmingville
207%
11764 Miller Place
207%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11763 Medford
83%
11746 Huntington Station
84%
11704 West Babylon
91%
11727 Coram
94%
11706 Bay Shore
99%
11703 North Babylon
103%
11901 Riverhead
118%
11754 Kings Park
123%
11741 Holbrook
126%
11779 Ronkonkoma
127%
11720 Centereach
133%
11946 Hampton Bays
134%
11784 Selden
137%
11701 Amityville
144%
11767 Nesconset
145%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few coffee shops may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCoffee shopsIndex
11932Bridgehampton Employment hub 7252,345 5 1253%
11747Melville Employment hub 20,51351,326 14 144%
11788Hauppauge Employment hub 17,37438,054 11 144%
11749Islandia Employment hub 3,6008,492 0–2 —
11770Ocean Beach Employment hub 77181 0–2 —
11794Stony Brook Destination 83111,090 0–2 —
11931Aquebogue Destination 27525 0–2 —
11972Speonk Employment hub 334680 0–2 —
11973Upton Destination 482,693 0–2 —
06390Fishers Island Employment hub 72273 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = coffee shops per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCoffee shops Per 10kIndexStatus
11932Bridgehampton 7252,345 5 26.4 1253% Very high density
11954Montauk 4,2231,424 6 12.2 578% Very high density
11978Westhampton Beach 4,7052,397 7 11.9 564% Very high density
11944Greenport 5,0371,674 5 8.5 405% Very high density
11705Bayport 8,2842,047 7 7.5 358% Very high density
11777Port Jefferson 9,3967,308 9 6.9 328% Very high density
11952Mattituck 5,0401,566 4 6.9 327% Very high density
11963Sag Harbor 8,3902,245 6 6.3 300% Very high density
11787Smithtown 34,49918,002 26 6.0 284% Very high density
11967Shirley 27,9755,900 17 5.5 261% Very high density
11792Wading River 8,9042,020 5 5.0 240% High density
11725Commack 29,07317,597 19 5.0 239% High density
11768Northport 22,0306,010 12 4.8 228% High density
11743Huntington 43,49018,099 25 4.8 226% High density
11772Patchogue 45,02315,885 24 4.5 215% High density
11730East Islip 14,2473,261 7 4.4 210% High density
11738Farmingville 18,8773,566 9 4.4 207% High density
11764Miller Place 12,5512,473 6 4.4 207% High density
11780Saint James 15,0186,761 8 4.3 207% High density
11778Rocky Point 12,3902,895 6 4.3 206% High density
11782Sayville 14,4053,998 7 4.3 203% High density
11776Port Jefferson Station 22,8086,568 11 4.2 200% High density
11790Stony Brook 21,0745,569 10 4.2 199% High density
11968Southampton 15,3128,019 8 4.1 197% High density
11755Lake Grove 12,1445,132 6 4.1 194% High density
11937East Hampton 21,8825,485 10 4.1 193% High density
11716Bohemia 9,65916,191 7 3.9 187% High density
11731East Northport 29,9996,541 13 3.9 186% High density
11726Copiague 21,4554,146 9 3.8 182% High density
11702Babylon 13,9094,377 6 3.7 177% High density
11934Center Moriches 9,4182,746 4 3.7 176% High density
11740Greenlawn 10,1272,406 4 3.5 168% High density
11729Deer Park 27,23113,958 12 3.5 167% High density
11766Mount Sinai 10,7501,814 4 3.4 163% High density
11733East Setauket 17,7525,672 7 3.4 162% High density
11795West Islip 25,3798,141 10 3.4 161% High density
11751Islip 13,7263,416 5 3.2 154% High density
11949Manorville 14,5631,815 5 3.2 154% High density
11757Lindenhurst 44,4138,479 15 3.1 147% Above average
11767Nesconset 14,9642,970 5 3.0 145% Above average
11747Melville 20,51351,326 14 3.0 144% Above average
11788Hauppauge 17,37438,054 11 3.0 144% Above average
11701Amityville 29,50913,816 11 3.0 144% Above average
11784Selden 26,2442,999 8 2.9 137% Above average
11946Hampton Bays 15,8193,886 5 2.8 134% Above average
11720Centereach 29,2925,738 9 2.8 133% Above average
11779Ronkonkoma 38,20621,220 13 2.7 127% Above average
11741Holbrook 26,6677,137 8 2.6 126% Above average
11754Kings Park 17,5653,544 5 2.6 123% Above average
11901Riverhead 33,09114,663 10 2.5 118% Above average
11703North Babylon 17,1872,515 4 2.2 103% Above average
11706Bay Shore 68,97624,961 17 2.1 99% Below average
11727Coram 28,4953,558 6 2.0 94% Below average
11704West Babylon 40,70612,470 9 1.9 91% Below average
11746Huntington Station 65,74715,647 13 1.8 84% Below average
11763Medford 29,9738,428 6 1.8 83% Below average
11707West Babylon —41 0–2 — — Not published
11713Bellport 9,2183,760 0–2 — — Not published
11715Blue Point 3,936931 0–2 — — Not published
11717Brentwood —12,065 4 — — Not published
11718Brightwaters 3,179647 0–2 — — Not published
11719Brookhaven 3,2351,836 0–2 — — Not published
11721Centerport 6,426735 0–2 — — Not published
11722Central Islip 39,0335,933 0–2 — — Not published
11724Cold Spring Harbor 3,0731,375 0–2 — — Not published
11739Great River 1,2251,418 0–2 — — Not published
11742Holtsville 13,2025,410 0–2 — — Not published
11749Islandia 3,6008,492 0–2 — — Not published
11752Islip Terrace 9,2041,071 0–2 — — Not published
11769Oakdale 8,9354,747 0–2 — — Not published
11770Ocean Beach 77181 0–2 — — Not published
11786Shoreham 6,459830 0–2 — — Not published
11789Sound Beach 7,369213 0–2 — — Not published
11794Stony Brook 83111,090 0–2 — — Not published
11796West Sayville 3,560567 0–2 — — Not published
11798Wyandanch —2,060 3 — — Not published
11930Amagansett 842938 0–2 — — Not published
11931Aquebogue 27525 0–2 — — Not published
11933Calverton 6,6933,294 0–2 — — Not published
11935Cutchogue 2,863796 0–2 — — Not published
11939East Marion 1,33164 0–2 — — Not published
11940East Moriches 5,8191,860 0–2 — — Not published
11941Eastport 2,814429 0–2 — — Not published
11942East Quogue 5,4061,094 0–2 — — Not published
11947Jamesport 148230 0–2 — — Not published
11948Laurel 924177 0–2 — — Not published
11950Mastic 17,5991,037 0–2 — — Not published
11951Mastic Beach 15,938568 0–2 — — Not published
11953Middle Island 12,8462,563 0–2 — — Not published
11955Moriches 2,458646 0–2 — — Not published
11956New Suffolk 29865 0–2 — — Not published
11957Orient 1,121177 0–2 — — Not published
11958Peconic 884384 0–2 — — Not published
11959Quogue 734666 0–2 — — Not published
11960Remsenburg 830101 0–2 — — Not published
11961Ridge 12,315843 0–2 — — Not published
11962Sagaponack 712290 0–2 — — Not published
11964Shelter Island 2,906466 0–2 — — Not published
11965Shelter Island Heights 404326 0–2 — — Not published
11969Southampton —75 0–2 — — Not published
11970South Jamesport 41628 0–2 — — Not published
11971Southold 6,3611,306 0–2 — — Not published
11972Speonk 334680 0–2 — — Not published
11973Upton 482,693 0–2 — — Not published
11975Wainscott 450639 0–2 — — Not published
11976Water Mill 2,9521,097 0–2 — — Not published
11977Westhampton 2,843665 0–2 — — Not published
11980Yaphank 5,8554,113 0–2 — — Not published
00501Holtsville —0 0–2 — — Not published
06390Fishers Island 72273 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Melville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Melville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Melville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Melville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Suffolk County and coffee shops

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722515 — snack & non-alcoholic beverage bars (incl. coffee shops). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 580 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.10 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.