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York County, ME — Coffee shops Saturation

How many coffee shops exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 40 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Measured density: High density — 1.53× the U.S. rate (between 1.53× and 2.47× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 28 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 24 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   York County coffee shops — 153–247% of the U.S. rate

79 coffee shops are counted in York County — 3.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 153% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 15% between 2015 and 2023 (60 → 69). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 03904 (Kittery), 04046 (Kennebunkport), 04090 (Wells) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 04005 (Biddeford), 04072 (Saco), 04002 (Alfred).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 106 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: York County sits at 153% of the U.S. rate for coffee shops. 24 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 153% and 247% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 03904 and 04046; the lowest measured density is in 04005 and 04072.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing coffee shops and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Coffee shops
79–135
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (28 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
3.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
1.53×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
106
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
216,731
36 ZIPs with data
Workers
56,342
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
220,143
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+3.7%
+7,880 people
Net migration 2024
+1,805
international +591, domestic +1,214
Jobs located here
67,427
LODES 2022, +4.2% since 2019

York County had an estimated 220,143 residents on July 1, 2024 — 3.7% more than in 2020 (+7,880). In the latest year it gained 1,026 people: births minus deaths −778, international migration +591, domestic migration +1,214. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

67,427 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+4.2% since 2019), and 100,806 employed residents lived there (+1.8% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
03906 North Berwick
+13.9%
04090 Wells
+13.0%
04048 Limerick
+12.2%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
5
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$174K
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$35K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more coffee shops in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 15% since 2015

Number of coffee shops in York County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

60
2015
71
2018
68
2020
62
2021
64
2022
69
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
03904 Kittery
431%
04046 Kennebunkport
368%
04090 Wells
361%
04043 Kennebunk
268%
04064 Old Orchard Beach
260%
03908 South Berwick
242%
04073 Sanford
189%
03909 York
182%
04002 Alfred
176%
04072 Saco
172%
04005 Biddeford
125%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
04005 Biddeford
125%
04072 Saco
172%
04002 Alfred
176%
03909 York
182%
04073 Sanford
189%
03908 South Berwick
242%
04064 Old Orchard Beach
260%
04043 Kennebunk
268%
04090 Wells
361%
04046 Kennebunkport
368%
03904 Kittery
431%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few coffee shops may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCoffee shopsIndex
03910York Beach Employment hub 15144 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = coffee shops per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCoffee shops Per 10kIndexStatus
03907Ogunquit 1,3791,180 3 15.2 724% Very high density
03904Kittery 8,3893,063 9 9.1 431% Very high density
04046Kennebunkport 8,1021,898 7 7.7 368% Very high density
04090Wells 11,7132,927 10 7.6 361% Very high density
04043Kennebunk 11,8204,707 8 5.6 268% Very high density
04064Old Orchard Beach 8,6321,033 5 5.5 260% Very high density
03908South Berwick 7,431880 4 5.1 242% High density
04073Sanford 17,4145,433 8 4.0 189% High density
03909York 10,9434,260 5 3.8 182% High density
04002Alfred 7,737774 3 3.7 176% High density
04072Saco 20,8197,995 9 3.6 172% High density
04005Biddeford 24,77211,252 8 2.6 125% Above average
03901Berwick 8,175749 0–2 — — Not published
03902Cape Neddick 2,665290 0–2 — — Not published
03903Eliot 7,1461,458 0–2 — — Not published
03905Kittery Point 2,08495 0–2 — — Not published
03906North Berwick 5,3682,370 0–2 — — Not published
03910York Beach 15144 0–2 — — Not published
03911York Harbor 36366 0–2 — — Not published
04001Acton 2,721216 0–2 — — Not published
04004Bar Mills —36 0–2 — — Not published
04006Biddeford Pool 3910 0–2 — — Not published
04014Cape Porpoise —5 0–2 — — Not published
04020Cornish 1,803519 0–2 — — Not published
04027Lebanon 6,629358 0–2 — — Not published
04030East Waterboro 2,731510 0–2 — — Not published
04042Hollis Center 4,872840 0–2 — — Not published
04047Parsonsfield 1,715189 0–2 — — Not published
04048Limerick 3,400346 0–2 — — Not published
04049Limington 4,017171 0–2 — — Not published
04054Moody —61 0–2 — — Not published
04056Newfield 10013 0–2 — — Not published
04061North Waterboro 3,074136 0–2 — — Not published
04063Ocean Park 61278 0–2 — — Not published
04076Shapleigh 2,976158 0–2 — — Not published
04083Springvale 4,833678 0–2 — — Not published
04087Waterboro 2,250417 0–2 — — Not published
04093Buxton 8,5121,064 0–2 — — Not published
04094West Kennebunk —97 0–2 — — Not published
04095West Newfield 1,48065 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Biddeford

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Biddeford retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Biddeford retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Biddeford retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow York County and coffee shops

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722515 — snack & non-alcoholic beverage bars (incl. coffee shops). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 106 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.10 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.