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Collier County, FL — Coffee shops Saturation

How many coffee shops exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 25 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.93× the U.S. rate (between 0.93× and 1.08× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 12 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 7 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Collier County coffee shops — 93–108% of the U.S. rate

93 coffee shops are counted in Collier County — 2.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 93% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 5% between 2015 and 2023 (63 → 60). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 34102 (Naples), 34145 (Marco Island), 34109 (Naples) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 34116 (Naples), 34142 (Immokalee), 34113 (Naples).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 108 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Collier County sits at 93% of the U.S. rate for coffee shops. 7 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 93% and 108% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 34102 and 34145; the lowest measured density is in 34116 and 34142.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing coffee shops and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Coffee shops
93–117
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (12 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.0
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
0.93×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
108
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
397,619
20 ZIPs with data
Workers
151,082
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
416,233
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+10.3%
+38,902 people
Net migration 2024
+7,285
international +7,637, domestic −352
Jobs located here
157,712
LODES 2022, +5.9% since 2019

Collier County had an estimated 416,233 residents on July 1, 2024 — 10.3% more than in 2020 (+38,902). In the latest year it gained 6,168 people: births minus deaths −1,069, international migration +7,637, domestic migration −352. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

157,712 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.9% since 2019), and 158,723 employed residents lived there (+7.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
34114 Naples
+29.3%
34120 Naples
+19.3%
34113 Naples
+17.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
34145 Marco Island
−9.1%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
30
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$2.7M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$91K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more coffee shops in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 5% since 2015

Number of coffee shops in Collier County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

63
2015
59
2018
61
2020
58
2021
62
2022
60
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
34102 Naples
376%
34145 Marco Island
234%
34109 Naples
177%
34103 Naples
149%
34108 Naples
135%
34119 Naples
115%
34104 Naples
113%
34110 Naples
74%
34114 Naples
55%
34120 Naples
53%
34113 Naples
50%
34142 Immokalee
50%
34116 Naples
38%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
34116 Naples
38%
34142 Immokalee
50%
34113 Naples
50%
34120 Naples
53%
34114 Naples
55%
34110 Naples
74%
34104 Naples
113%
34119 Naples
115%
34108 Naples
135%
34103 Naples
149%
34109 Naples
177%
34145 Marco Island
234%
34102 Naples
376%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few coffee shops may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = coffee shops per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCoffee shops Per 10kIndexStatus
34102Naples 11,17918,072 16 7.9 376% Very high density
34145Marco Island 16,2058,310 10 4.9 234% High density
34109Naples 27,27320,764 14 3.7 177% High density
34103Naples 11,2999,267 5 3.1 149% Above average
34108Naples 16,23716,991 7 2.8 135% Above average
34119Naples 36,8079,200 10 2.4 115% Above average
34104Naples 26,40814,712 8 2.4 113% Above average
34110Naples 25,63012,819 5 1.6 74% Below average
34114Naples 23,5594,927 3 1.2 55% Below average
34120Naples 42,3455,009 5 1.1 53% Below average
34113Naples 26,0564,868 3 1.1 50% Below average
34142Immokalee 35,1495,702 4 1.1 50% Below average
34116Naples 35,5914,395 3 0.8 38% Far below average
34101Naples 0390 0–2 — — Not published
34105Naples 15,4415,892 0–2 — — Not published
34106Naples —273 0–2 — — Not published
34107Naples —9 0–2 — — Not published
34112Naples 27,1936,479 0–2 — — Not published
34117Naples 19,9233,242 0–2 — — Not published
34138Chokoloskee 80814 0–2 — — Not published
34139Everglades City 243183 0–2 — — Not published
34140Goodland 104208 0–2 — — Not published
34141Ochopee 16928 0–2 — — Not published
34143Immokalee —78 0–2 — — Not published
34146Marco Island —7 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Naples

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Naples retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Naples retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Naples retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Collier County and coffee shops

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722515 — snack & non-alcoholic beverage bars (incl. coffee shops). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 108 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.10 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.