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Capitol Planning Region, CT — Coffee shops Saturation

How many coffee shops exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 96 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.19× the U.S. rate (between 1.19× and 1.45× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 60 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 33 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Capitol Planning Region coffee shops — 119–145% of the U.S. rate

300 coffee shops are counted in Capitol Planning Region — 2.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 119% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2022 and 2023 (295 → 297).

Measured supply density is highest in 06035 (Granby), 06107 (West Hartford), 06268 (Storrs Mansfield) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 06053 (New Britain), 06095 (Windsor), 06108 (East Hartford).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 348 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Capitol Planning Region sits at 119% of the U.S. rate for coffee shops. 33 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 119% and 145% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 06035 and 06107; the lowest measured density is in 06053 and 06095.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing coffee shops and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Coffee shops
300–420
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (60 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
1.19×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
348
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
977,746
69 ZIPs with data
Workers
442,961
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
991,508
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.8%
+27,420 people
Net migration 2024
+8,121
international +9,950, domestic −1,829
Jobs located here
518,406
LODES 2022, −4.3% since 2019

Capitol Planning Region had an estimated 991,508 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.8% more than in 2020 (+27,420). In the latest year it gained 8,182 people: births minus deaths +33, international migration +9,950, domestic migration −1,829. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

518,406 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−4.3% since 2019), and 460,756 employed residents lived there (−3.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
06066 Vernon Rockville
+4.4%
06109 Wethersfield
+4.1%
06002 Bloomfield
+4.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
06269 Storrs Mansfield
−22.6%
06078 Suffield
−14.0%
06082 Enfield
−6.9%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
46
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$1.4M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$30K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more coffee shops in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 1% since 2022

Number of coffee shops in Capitol Planning Region across 2022–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

295
2022
297
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
06035 Granby
389%
06107 West Hartford
263%
06268 Storrs Mansfield
261%
06033 Glastonbury
240%
06062 Plainville
236%
06489 Southington
219%
06019 Canton
214%
06001 Avon
212%
06037 Berlin
194%
06096 Windsor Locks
188%
06070 Simsbury
186%
06032 Farmington
185%
06119 West Hartford
179%
06109 Wethersfield
170%
06040 Manchester
169%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
06053 New Britain
36%
06095 Windsor
43%
06108 East Hartford
59%
06074 South Windsor
70%
06117 West Hartford
71%
06114 Hartford
77%
06051 New Britain
100%
06076 Stafford Springs
106%
06002 Bloomfield
109%
06106 Hartford
115%
06479 Plantsville
117%
06067 Rocky Hill
129%
06042 Manchester
131%
06029 Ellington
135%
06110 West Hartford
142%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few coffee shops may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCoffee shopsIndex
06103Hartford Employment hub 2,94919,994 11 404%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = coffee shops per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCoffee shops Per 10kIndexStatus
06103Hartford 2,94919,994 11 8.5 404% Very high density
06035Granby 7,8171,488 7 8.2 389% Very high density
06088East Windsor 4,2545,681 5 7.0 335% Very high density
06107West Hartford 19,8917,301 13 5.5 263% Very high density
06268Storrs Mansfield 11,7721,952 7 5.5 261% Very high density
06033Glastonbury 29,92115,533 19 5.0 240% High density
06062Plainville 17,5559,230 11 5.0 236% High density
06489Southington 32,70612,896 18 4.6 219% High density
06019Canton 9,7422,754 5 4.5 214% High density
06001Avon 19,1536,545 10 4.5 212% High density
06037Berlin 19,17310,551 10 4.1 194% High density
06096Windsor Locks 12,57910,209 7 4.0 188% High density
06070Simsbury 15,2545,333 7 3.9 186% High density
06032Farmington 19,13528,707 13 3.9 185% High density
06119West Hartford 14,7932,314 6 3.8 179% High density
06109Wethersfield 27,2506,859 11 3.6 170% High density
06040Manchester 35,81312,657 15 3.6 169% High density
06111Newington 30,89613,915 13 3.4 163% High density
06078Suffield 10,5622,961 4 3.3 158% High density
06066Vernon Rockville 30,5777,279 11 3.2 153% High density
06082Enfield 41,09014,979 15 3.1 147% Above average
06110West Hartford 12,6418,225 5 3.0 142% Above average
06029Ellington 16,2382,856 5 2.8 135% Above average
06042Manchester 23,82210,541 8 2.7 131% Above average
06067Rocky Hill 20,87224,550 9 2.7 129% Above average
06479Plantsville 10,2863,902 3 2.5 117% Above average
06106Hartford 36,32218,569 11 2.4 115% Above average
06002Bloomfield 21,86517,528 7 2.3 109% Above average
06076Stafford Springs 11,9532,894 3 2.2 106% Above average
06051New Britain 29,5487,419 7 2.1 100% Above average
06114Hartford 26,4589,145 5 1.6 77% Below average
06117West Hartford 16,1167,681 3 1.5 71% Below average
06074South Windsor 26,90714,008 5 1.5 70% Below average
06108East Hartford 23,49917,651 4 1.2 59% Below average
06095Windsor 29,67028,127 4 0.9 43% Far below average
06053New Britain 36,7746,070 3 0.8 36% Far below average
06016Broad Brook 6,959390 0–2 — — Not published
06020Canton Center 031 0–2 — — Not published
06022Collinsville 100181 0–2 — — Not published
06023East Berlin 1,196665 0–2 — — Not published
06025East Glastonbury —59 0–2 — — Not published
06026East Granby 5,1962,754 0–2 — — Not published
06028East Windsor Hill —41 0–2 — — Not published
06030Farmington —56 0–2 — — Not published
06034Farmington —139 0–2 — — Not published
06041Manchester —1,297 0–2 — — Not published
06043Bolton 4,8531,175 0–2 — — Not published
06045Manchester —501 0–2 — — Not published
06050New Britain —1,599 0–2 — — Not published
06052New Britain 7,9163,914 0–2 — — Not published
06059North Canton 3028 0–2 — — Not published
06060North Granby 2,27382 0–2 — — Not published
06064Poquonock —147 0–2 — — Not published
06071Somers 10,7231,302 0–2 — — Not published
06072Somersville 017 0–2 — — Not published
06073South Glastonbury 5,372482 0–2 — — Not published
06075Stafford —612 0–2 — — Not published
06080Suffield 1,616124 0–2 — — Not published
06081Tariffville 1,41992 0–2 — — Not published
06083Enfield —449 0–2 — — Not published
06084Tolland 14,8232,917 0–2 — — Not published
06085Unionville 7,6081,281 0–2 — — Not published
06089Weatogue 3,7286,718 0–2 — — Not published
06090West Granby 1,13624 0–2 — — Not published
06092West Simsbury 4,665663 0–2 — — Not published
06093West Suffield 3,524158 0–2 — — Not published
06101Hartford —146 0–2 — — Not published
06102Hartford —7,284 0–2 — — Not published
06105Hartford 19,1749,409 0–2 — — Not published
06112Hartford 22,3331,954 0–2 — — Not published
06115Hartford —6,128 0–2 — — Not published
06118East Hartford 27,41916,199 0–2 — — Not published
06120Hartford 13,9265,370 0–2 — — Not published
06127West Hartford —326 0–2 — — Not published
06128East Hartford —36 0–2 — — Not published
06129Wethersfield —8 0–2 — — Not published
06131Newington —19 0–2 — — Not published
06133West Hartford —692 0–2 — — Not published
06137West Hartford —33 0–2 — — Not published
06141Hartford —859 0–2 — — Not published
06143Hartford —37 0–2 — — Not published
06144Hartford —7 0–2 — — Not published
06152Hartford —318 0–2 — — Not published
06156Hartford —3,570 0–2 — — Not published
06183Hartford —5,540 0–2 — — Not published
06231Amston 3,648123 0–2 — — Not published
06232Andover 3,152256 0–2 — — Not published
06237Columbia 5,300762 0–2 — — Not published
06238Coventry 12,326792 0–2 — — Not published
06248Hebron 5,509846 0–2 — — Not published
06250Mansfield Center 5,4371,340 0–2 — — Not published
06269Storrs Mansfield 7,970901 0–2 — — Not published
06279Willington 5,5751,626 0–2 — — Not published
06444Marion 18036 0–2 — — Not published
06447Marlborough 6,1301,369 0–2 — — Not published
06467Milldale 405744 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Farmington

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Farmington retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Farmington retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Farmington retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Capitol Planning Region and coffee shops

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722515 — snack & non-alcoholic beverage bars (incl. coffee shops). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 348 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.10 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.