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Sacramento County, CA — Coffee shops Saturation

How many coffee shops exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 65 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.27× the U.S. rate (between 1.27× and 1.34× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 25 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 13 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Sacramento County coffee shops — 127–134% of the U.S. rate

497 coffee shops are counted in Sacramento County — 2.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 127% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 58% between 2015 and 2023 (284 → 448). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 95811 (Sacramento), 95816 (Sacramento), 95630 (Folsom) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 95838 (Sacramento), 95621 (Citrus Heights), 95660 (North Highlands).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 541 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Sacramento County sits at 127% of the U.S. rate for coffee shops. 13 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 127% and 134% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 95811 and 95816; the lowest measured density is in 95838 and 95621.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing coffee shops and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Coffee shops
497–547
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (25 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
1.27×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
541
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,596,140
53 ZIPs with data
Workers
531,159
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,611,231
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.5%
+24,504 people
Net migration 2024
+11,818
international +17,677, domestic −5,859
Jobs located here
712,832
LODES 2022, +4.2% since 2019

Sacramento County had an estimated 1,611,231 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.5% more than in 2020 (+24,504). In the latest year it gained 16,725 people: births minus deaths +4,923, international migration +17,677, domestic migration −5,859. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

712,832 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+4.2% since 2019), and 704,205 employed residents lived there (+4.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
95742 Rancho Cordova
+42.5%
95811 Sacramento
+40.0%
95834 Sacramento
+20.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
87
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$3.6M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$41K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more coffee shops in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 58% since 2015

Number of coffee shops in Sacramento County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

284
2015
345
2018
371
2020
386
2021
406
2022
448
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
95811 Sacramento
553%
95816 Sacramento
278%
95630 Folsom
257%
95818 Sacramento
243%
95832 Sacramento
236%
95819 Sacramento
221%
95683 Sloughhouse
205%
95825 Sacramento
194%
95758 Elk Grove
186%
95834 Sacramento
182%
95624 Elk Grove
165%
95815 Sacramento
139%
95610 Citrus Heights
136%
95841 Sacramento
136%
95821 Sacramento
134%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
95838 Sacramento
32%
95621 Citrus Heights
32%
95660 North Highlands
49%
95827 Sacramento
51%
95828 Sacramento
60%
95662 Orangevale
68%
95829 Sacramento
70%
95608 Carmichael
77%
95835 Sacramento
84%
95820 Sacramento
86%
95843 Antelope
87%
95826 Sacramento
87%
95864 Sacramento
87%
95742 Rancho Cordova
93%
95842 Sacramento
93%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few coffee shops may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCoffee shopsIndex
95814Sacramento Employment hub 12,35527,245 21 384%
95652Mcclellan Employment hub 1,4868,141 0–2 —
95837Sacramento Destination 3176,430 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = coffee shops per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCoffee shops Per 10kIndexStatus
95811Sacramento 8,81016,766 20 11.6 553% Very high density
95814Sacramento 12,35527,245 21 8.1 384% Very high density
95816Sacramento 19,22516,329 16 5.8 278% Very high density
95630Folsom 79,48440,570 54 5.4 257% Very high density
95818Sacramento 22,5815,794 13 5.1 243% High density
95832Sacramento 12,8502,535 7 5.0 236% High density
95819Sacramento 19,7377,936 11 4.6 221% High density
95683Sloughhouse 6,515899 3 4.3 205% High density
95825Sacramento 36,15630,508 21 4.1 194% High density
95758Elk Grove 65,72521,861 30 3.9 186% High density
95834Sacramento 36,24526,787 19 3.8 182% High density
95624Elk Grove 67,63014,344 26 3.5 165% High density
95815Sacramento 26,65821,756 11 2.9 139% Above average
95610Citrus Heights 46,92810,833 15 2.9 136% Above average
95841Sacramento 20,5008,071 7 2.9 136% Above average
95821Sacramento 38,0649,351 12 2.8 134% Above average
95823Sacramento 83,60718,749 26 2.8 133% Above average
95670Rancho Cordova 58,81934,817 21 2.8 131% Above average
95833Sacramento 42,26512,173 13 2.7 128% Above average
95822Sacramento 46,5695,958 12 2.4 115% Above average
95831Sacramento 43,5455,181 11 2.4 113% Above average
95817Sacramento 14,21915,409 5 2.3 108% Above average
95628Fair Oaks 44,8557,296 11 2.3 108% Above average
95632Galt 32,4934,116 7 2.0 96% Below average
95757Elk Grove 56,7647,435 12 2.0 94% Below average
95842Sacramento 34,0343,560 7 2.0 93% Below average
95742Rancho Cordova 17,76815,679 5 2.0 93% Below average
95864Sacramento 25,5003,411 5 1.8 87% Below average
95826Sacramento 40,16518,300 9 1.8 87% Below average
95843Antelope 47,6953,335 9 1.8 87% Below average
95820Sacramento 35,4106,498 7 1.8 86% Below average
95835Sacramento 42,0046,273 8 1.8 84% Below average
95608Carmichael 61,44013,099 11 1.6 77% Below average
95829Sacramento 31,8654,112 5 1.5 70% Below average
95662Orangevale 32,6004,470 5 1.4 68% Below average
95828Sacramento 61,68618,645 9 1.3 60% Below average
95827Sacramento 21,74212,961 3 1.1 51% Below average
95660North Highlands 35,4517,028 4 1.0 49% Far below average
95621Citrus Heights 42,4424,313 3 0.7 32% Far below average
95838Sacramento 40,6778,409 3 0.7 32% Far below average
94203Sacramento —1,583 0–2 — — Not published
94208Sacramento —60 0–2 — — Not published
94230Sacramento —113 0–2 — — Not published
95609Carmichael —56 0–2 — — Not published
95611Citrus Heights —363 0–2 — — Not published
95615Courtland 91864 0–2 — — Not published
95626Elverta 5,595273 0–2 — — Not published
95638Herald 2,517150 0–2 — — Not published
95641Isleton 2,214446 0–2 — — Not published
95652Mcclellan 1,4868,141 0–2 — — Not published
95655Mather 4,9014,381 0–2 — — Not published
95671Represa 4,43229 0–2 — — Not published
95673Rio Linda 16,5122,263 0–2 — — Not published
95690Walnut Grove 2,431298 0–2 — — Not published
95693Wilton 7,961710 0–2 — — Not published
95741Rancho Cordova —130 0–2 — — Not published
95759Elk Grove —91 0–2 — — Not published
95763Folsom —49 0–2 — — Not published
95812Sacramento —127 0–2 — — Not published
95813Sacramento —79 0–2 — — Not published
95824Sacramento 33,0834,968 0–2 — — Not published
95830Sacramento 695194 0–2 — — Not published
95837Sacramento 3176,430 0–2 — — Not published
95860Sacramento —11 0–2 — — Not published
95865Sacramento —214 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Folsom

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Folsom retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Folsom retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Folsom retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Sacramento County and coffee shops

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722515 — snack & non-alcoholic beverage bars (incl. coffee shops). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 541 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.10 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.