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Maricopa County, AZ — Beauty salons Saturation

How many beauty salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 185 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Hair salons · Beauty salons · Blow-dry & styling bars · Makeup & skincare studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812112 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.06× the U.S. rate (between 1.06× and 1.12× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 88 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 35 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Maricopa County beauty salons — 106–112% of the U.S. rate

1,229 beauty salons are counted in Maricopa County — 2.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 106% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 47% between 2015 and 2023 (766 → 1,129). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 85251 (Scottsdale), 85253 (Paradise Valley), 85254 (Scottsdale) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 85301 (Glendale), 85043 (Phoenix), 85041 (Phoenix).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 1,058 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Maricopa County sits at 106% of the U.S. rate for beauty salons. 35 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 106% and 112% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 85251 and 85253; the lowest measured density is in 85301 and 85043.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing beauty salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Beauty salons
1,229–1,405
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (88 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
1.06×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
1,058
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
4,583,743
132 ZIPs with data
Workers
1,999,220
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
4,673,096
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+5.1%
+227,681 people
Net migration 2024
+43,827
international +45,693, domestic −1,866
Jobs located here
2,224,322
LODES 2022, +6.5% since 2019

Maricopa County had an estimated 4,673,096 residents on July 1, 2024 — 5.1% more than in 2020 (+227,681). In the latest year it gained 57,471 people: births minus deaths +13,548, international migration +45,693, domestic migration −1,866. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

2,224,322 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.5% since 2019), and 2,029,026 employed residents lived there (+4.6% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
85387 Surprise
+113.5%
85396 Buckeye
+101.8%
85004 Phoenix
+73.2%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
85256 Scottsdale
−43.2%
85006 Phoenix
−19.5%
85374 Surprise
−14.5%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
9,866
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$386.2M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$39K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more beauty salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 47% since 2015

Number of beauty salons in Maricopa County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

766
2015
845
2018
896
2020
942
2021
1,023
2022
1,129
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
85251 Scottsdale
563%
85253 Paradise Valley
387%
85254 Scottsdale
352%
85016 Phoenix
315%
85215 Mesa
292%
85258 Scottsdale
287%
85260 Scottsdale
265%
85018 Phoenix
259%
85255 Scottsdale
234%
85296 Gilbert
219%
85048 Phoenix
219%
85086 Phoenix
205%
85234 Gilbert
204%
85295 Gilbert
204%
85374 Surprise
199%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
85301 Glendale
19%
85043 Phoenix
20%
85041 Phoenix
21%
85029 Phoenix
23%
85051 Phoenix
29%
85015 Phoenix
42%
85326 Buckeye
42%
85396 Buckeye
44%
85023 Phoenix
47%
85033 Phoenix
48%
85201 Mesa
48%
85042 Phoenix
49%
85306 Glendale
49%
85388 Surprise
51%
85298 Gilbert
52%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few beauty salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersBeauty salonsIndex
85054Phoenix Employment hub 10,34623,688 10 217%
85284Tempe Employment hub 19,49246,184 19 215%
85012Phoenix Employment hub 8,70436,543 11 196%
85004Phoenix Employment hub 12,40834,220 4 65%
85034Phoenix Destination 4,85463,321 0–2 —
85256Scottsdale Employment hub 3,50410,670 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = beauty salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersBeauty salons Per 10kIndexStatus
85251Scottsdale 40,78046,575 75 11.7 563% Very high density
85253Paradise Valley 17,90411,400 19 8.0 387% Very high density
85254Scottsdale 45,55826,434 43 7.3 352% Very high density
85016Phoenix 37,07457,139 43 6.6 315% Very high density
85215Mesa 16,88812,413 14 6.1 292% Very high density
85258Scottsdale 25,54532,832 25 6.0 287% Very high density
85260Scottsdale 39,89654,537 37 5.5 265% Very high density
85018Phoenix 37,29721,900 26 5.4 259% Very high density
85255Scottsdale 45,34632,815 30 4.9 234% High density
85296Gilbert 53,07616,591 28 4.6 219% High density
85048Phoenix 34,6645,417 17 4.5 219% High density
85054Phoenix 10,34623,688 10 4.5 217% High density
85284Tempe 19,49246,184 19 4.5 215% High density
85086Phoenix 43,2707,357 20 4.3 205% High density
85234Gilbert 51,28315,149 25 4.2 204% High density
85295Gilbert 56,74414,016 27 4.2 204% High density
85374Surprise 41,42013,597 20 4.1 199% High density
85233Gilbert 39,07723,842 21 4.1 198% High density
85286Chandler 50,62130,358 27 4.1 197% High density
85012Phoenix 8,70436,543 11 4.1 196% High density
85308Glendale 65,09523,481 30 3.9 188% High density
85305Glendale 18,04311,244 9 3.8 183% High density
85395Goodyear 40,41414,896 18 3.8 181% High density
85032Phoenix 70,83918,582 29 3.6 174% High density
85257Scottsdale 29,81213,226 13 3.6 172% High density
85249Chandler 48,7466,387 18 3.5 167% High density
85085Phoenix 31,45818,208 14 3.5 166% High density
85224Chandler 47,96332,270 22 3.4 165% High density
85331Cave Creek 31,9686,723 12 3.4 163% High density
85382Peoria 43,72916,958 16 3.1 147% Above average
85259Scottsdale 21,6703,897 7 3.0 143% Above average
85024Phoenix 26,1998,939 9 2.9 141% Above average
85226Chandler 42,29446,668 19 2.9 139% Above average
85383Peoria 74,39010,358 23 2.9 139% Above average
85209Mesa 43,15011,648 14 2.9 137% Above average
85050Phoenix 33,11811,007 11 2.8 137% Above average
85378Surprise 9,7651,700 3 2.8 136% Above average
85310Glendale 19,9643,308 6 2.8 133% Above average
85250Scottsdale 15,39412,601 6 2.8 133% Above average
85297Gilbert 37,47512,659 12 2.7 132% Above average
85044Phoenix 39,34717,205 13 2.7 130% Above average
85003Phoenix 10,8758,327 4 2.7 128% Above average
85206Mesa 37,23523,612 13 2.7 127% Above average
85028Phoenix 18,7528,349 6 2.6 126% Above average
85022Phoenix 53,8117,717 15 2.6 125% Above average
85390Wickenburg 10,2983,342 3 2.5 121% Above average
85014Phoenix 25,91114,079 8 2.4 117% Above average
85203Mesa 38,0357,037 10 2.4 116% Above average
85268Fountain Hills 23,8494,952 6 2.3 110% Above average
85210Mesa 39,01521,638 10 2.0 97% Below average
85304Glendale 29,8612,366 6 1.9 93% Below average
85202Mesa 38,75016,729 9 1.9 92% Below average
85204Mesa 65,15516,824 14 1.9 92% Below average
85283Tempe 47,45922,683 11 1.9 90% Below average
85381Peoria 27,6509,520 6 1.9 89% Below average
85379Surprise 51,0356,488 10 1.8 89% Below average
85307Glendale 14,2234,234 3 1.8 88% Below average
85020Phoenix 34,91618,360 8 1.8 87% Below average
85006Phoenix 21,90511,784 5 1.8 87% Below average
85345Peoria 60,91812,700 12 1.8 86% Below average
85013Phoenix 22,49012,620 5 1.7 83% Below average
85142Queen Creek 93,70015,299 17 1.7 81% Below average
85225Chandler 72,29723,210 14 1.7 80% Below average
85375Sun City West 27,6805,497 5 1.6 79% Below average
85392Avondale 39,0797,264 7 1.6 79% Below average
85212Mesa 55,28315,527 10 1.6 76% Below average
85340Litchfield Park 40,9196,613 7 1.6 76% Below average
85213Mesa 36,8365,904 6 1.5 73% Below average
85027Phoenix 39,48755,679 10 1.5 71% Below average
85282Tempe 53,62445,325 11 1.4 69% Below average
85373Sun City 20,2541,256 3 1.4 69% Below average
85004Phoenix 12,40834,220 4 1.4 65% Below average
85338Goodyear 67,45127,994 11 1.4 65% Below average
85351Sun City 27,5926,313 4 1.3 63% Below average
85248Chandler 37,09520,548 6 1.3 61% Below average
85281Tempe 72,76295,380 15 1.2 60% Below average
85053Phoenix 29,7739,403 4 1.2 56% Below average
85031Phoenix 31,1916,897 4 1.2 56% Below average
85302Glendale 40,6125,768 5 1.1 55% Below average
85323Avondale 47,04310,379 6 1.1 55% Below average
85205Mesa 45,11614,316 6 1.1 55% Below average
85207Mesa 51,1785,005 6 1.1 54% Below average
85298Gilbert 44,1143,645 5 1.1 52% Below average
85388Surprise 35,3693,993 4 1.1 51% Below average
85306Glendale 24,9119,327 3 1.0 49% Far below average
85042Phoenix 45,9036,861 5 1.0 49% Far below average
85201Mesa 51,40016,452 6 1.0 48% Far below average
85033Phoenix 57,5916,089 6 1.0 48% Far below average
85023Phoenix 35,03412,364 4 1.0 47% Far below average
85396Buckeye 42,1812,109 4 0.9 44% Far below average
85326Buckeye 75,3599,519 7 0.9 42% Far below average
85015Phoenix 41,4909,699 4 0.9 42% Far below average
85051Phoenix 45,7687,612 3 0.6 29% Far below average
85029Phoenix 49,68324,853 3 0.5 23% Far below average
85041Phoenix 63,8626,826 3 0.4 21% Far below average
85043Phoenix 41,33158,925 3 0.4 20% Far below average
85301Glendale 68,17816,191 3 0.4 19% Far below average
85001Phoenix —2,247 0–2 — — Not published
85002Phoenix —227 0–2 — — Not published
85005Phoenix —776 0–2 — — Not published
85007Phoenix 13,5757,980 0–2 — — Not published
85008Phoenix 59,71625,936 0–2 — — Not published
85009Phoenix 52,06432,551 0–2 — — Not published
85010Phoenix —88 0–2 — — Not published
85011Phoenix —40 0–2 — — Not published
85017Phoenix 46,12930,055 0–2 — — Not published
85019Phoenix 27,4294,365 0–2 — — Not published
85021Phoenix 39,82819,533 0–2 — — Not published
85026Phoenix 0382 0–2 — — Not published
85030Phoenix —17 0–2 — — Not published
85034Phoenix 4,85463,321 0–2 — — Not published
85035Phoenix 53,4245,013 0–2 — — Not published
85036Phoenix —703 0–2 — — Not published
85037Phoenix 54,6088,965 0–2 — — Not published
85038Phoenix —53 0–2 — — Not published
85040Phoenix 34,11754,447 0–2 — — Not published
85045Phoenix 7,600182 0–2 — — Not published
85046Phoenix —134 0–2 — — Not published
85060Phoenix —29 0–2 — — Not published
85063Phoenix —12 0–2 — — Not published
85064Phoenix —87 0–2 — — Not published
85066Phoenix —12 0–2 — — Not published
85067Phoenix —17 0–2 — — Not published
85068Phoenix —34 0–2 — — Not published
85069Phoenix —13 0–2 — — Not published
85070Phoenix —22 0–2 — — Not published
85071Phoenix —14 0–2 — — Not published
85072Phoenix —110 0–2 — — Not published
85075Phoenix —152 0–2 — — Not published
85076Phoenix —254 0–2 — — Not published
85079Phoenix —9 0–2 — — Not published
85080Phoenix —765 0–2 — — Not published
85082Phoenix —188 0–2 — — Not published
85083Phoenix 21,0223,166 0–2 — — Not published
85087New River 10,157843 0–2 — — Not published
85208Mesa 37,2252,914 0–2 — — Not published
85211Mesa —209 0–2 — — Not published
85214Mesa —113 0–2 — — Not published
85216Mesa —69 0–2 — — Not published
85236Higley 0901 0–2 — — Not published
85244Chandler —246 0–2 — — Not published
85246Chandler —191 0–2 — — Not published
85252Scottsdale —393 0–2 — — Not published
85256Scottsdale 3,50410,670 0–2 — — Not published
85261Scottsdale —60 0–2 — — Not published
85262Scottsdale 14,3293,785 0–2 — — Not published
85263Rio Verde 3,472326 0–2 — — Not published
85264Fort Mcdowell 1,261970 0–2 — — Not published
85266Scottsdale 12,5162,243 0–2 — — Not published
85267Scottsdale —41 0–2 — — Not published
85269Fountain Hills —23 0–2 — — Not published
85271Scottsdale —19 0–2 — — Not published
85274Mesa —89 0–2 — — Not published
85275Mesa —29 0–2 — — Not published
85277Mesa —121 0–2 — — Not published
85280Tempe —254 0–2 — — Not published
85285Tempe —1,652 0–2 — — Not published
85287Tempe —675 0–2 — — Not published
85288Tempe —5,949 0–2 — — Not published
85299Gilbert —128 0–2 — — Not published
85303Glendale 33,6633,794 0–2 — — Not published
85309Luke Air Force Base 960708 0–2 — — Not published
85311Glendale —58 0–2 — — Not published
85312Glendale —63 0–2 — — Not published
85318Glendale —136 0–2 — — Not published
85320Aguila 45817 0–2 — — Not published
85322Arlington 476187 0–2 — — Not published
85327Cave Creek —89 0–2 — — Not published
85329Cashion 2,252144 0–2 — — Not published
85335El Mirage 36,0883,265 0–2 — — Not published
85337Gila Bend 2,041712 0–2 — — Not published
85339Laveen 54,6417,014 0–2 — — Not published
85342Morristown 1,823213 0–2 — — Not published
85353Tolleson 49,12021,345 0–2 — — Not published
85354Tonopah 8,5312,543 0–2 — — Not published
85355Waddell 14,4601,453 0–2 — — Not published
85358Wickenburg —176 0–2 — — Not published
85361Wittmann 7,991376 0–2 — — Not published
85363Youngtown 7,0151,004 0–2 — — Not published
85372Sun City —169 0–2 — — Not published
85376Sun City West —14 0–2 — — Not published
85377Carefree 3,4371,892 0–2 — — Not published
85380Peoria —5 0–2 — — Not published
85385Peoria —14 0–2 — — Not published
85387Surprise 22,442913 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Tempe

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

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Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Maricopa County and beauty salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

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Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812112 — beauty salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 1,058 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.08 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.