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Maricopa County, AZ

Pick an industry to see how saturated it is across Maricopa County's ZIP codes, compared with the U.S. average. All figures use Census ZBP 2023 + ACS 2024.

Dentists

2,103–2,263 in Maricopa County
112–115%
of U.S. average Above average

Beauty salons

1,229–1,405 in Maricopa County
106–112%
of U.S. average Above average

Fast food

3,844–3,982 in Maricopa County
103–104%
of U.S. average Above average

Coffee shops

1,192–1,364 in Maricopa County
102–107%
of U.S. average Above average

Gyms

513–743 in Maricopa County
90–111%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Nail salons

419–649 in Maricopa County
88–114%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Clothing stores

330–616 in Maricopa County
85–132%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Pet care

300–558 in Maricopa County
85–128%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Restaurants

2,769–2,909 in Maricopa County
78–79%
of U.S. average Below average

Auto repair

339–591 in Maricopa County
70–100%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Car washes

161–451 in Maricopa County
59–126%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Bars

313–579 in Maricopa County
56–84%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Pharmacies

297–537 in Maricopa County
52–75%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Day care

583–779 in Maricopa County
51–59%
of U.S. average Well below average

Grocery stores

444–652 in Maricopa County
51–63%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Convenience stores

171–469 in Maricopa County
34–71%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Population, migration, and jobs

Population
4,673,096
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+5.1%
+227,681 people
Net migration 2024
+43,827
international +45,693, domestic −1,866
Jobs located here
2,224,322
LODES 2022, +6.5% since 2019
Employed residents
2,029,026
LODES 2022, +4.6% since 2019
Net movers (IRS)
+7,119
tax year 2021–2022: 162,790 in, 155,671 out

Population. Census estimates 4,673,096 residents on July 1, 2024, 5.1% above 2020 (+227,681).

Latest year (2023→2024): births minus deaths +13,548, international migration +45,693, domestic migration −1,866. These are model-based estimates built from births, deaths, and migration, revised annually — not a census count, and they can differ from the ACS 5-year figure used elsewhere on the site. Components may not sum exactly because of rounding.

Jobs. LODES counts 2,224,322 jobs located in the county in 2022 (+6.5% since 2019) and 2,029,026 employed residents (+4.6% since 2019). A job and a worker are not the same thing: the first is measured at the workplace, the second at the home address, and one person can hold two jobs. Self-employed, military, and informal work are excluded.

Where movers come from and go. IRS matched individual tax returns between 2021 and 2022. 162,790 people (exemptions) moved into Maricopa County, reporting $9.51B in adjusted gross income; 155,671 moved out, reporting $7.67B. Net: +7,119 people.

Largest sources: Pinal, AZ (12,330) · Los Angeles, CA (7,181) · Pima, AZ (5,212). Largest destinations: Pinal, AZ (21,418) · Pima, AZ (4,815) · Yavapai, AZ (4,428).

People are exemptions on matched returns — not a population estimate. Non-filers, dependents claimed elsewhere, and people whose address did not change are treated differently than in Census estimates. Tax data lag about two years.

Each source is reported at its own geography and year. None of them measures demand for a specific business type; they describe whether the local customer base and job base are expanding or shrinking. Definitions and limits →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
85387 Surprise
+113.5%
85396 Buckeye
+101.8%
85004 Phoenix
+73.2%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
85256 Scottsdale
−43.2%
85006 Phoenix
−19.5%
85374 Surprise
−14.5%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

ZIP change

Only ZIPs where the 2015–19→2020–24 population change is larger than the ACS margin of error and both windows have at least 2,000 residents. Sorted by population change. Jobs are LODES workplace jobs in the ZIP (2019→latest available year; 2019→2021 for Michigan, none for Alaska); a ZIP can contain more jobs than residents.

ZIPNeighborhood Residents 2015–19Residents 2020–24Pop change JobsJobs change
85387Surprise 10,51222,442 +113.5% 1,682+73.8%
85396Buckeye 20,90542,181 +101.8% 2,891+65.4%
85004Phoenix 7,16412,408 +73.2% 52,941+0.3%
85212Mesa 37,20455,283 +48.6% 8,704+25.6%
85298Gilbert 31,59344,114 +39.6% 3,883+34.2%
85305Glendale 13,37018,043 +35.0% 9,723+17.5%
85338Goodyear 50,12267,451 +34.6% 22,591+49.4%
85383Peoria 55,32774,390 +34.5% 8,616+18.7%
85054Phoenix 7,78510,346 +32.9% 8,197+2.0%
85085Phoenix 23,70031,458 +32.7% 16,816+5.7%
85395Goodyear 30,49140,414 +32.5% 14,324+23.0%
85142Queen Creek 71,42393,700 +31.2% 16,567+27.1%
85003Phoenix 8,49910,875 +28.0% 34,372−3.9%
85249Chandler 39,61848,746 +23.0% 6,425+37.8%
85262Scottsdale 11,87214,329 +20.7% 3,221+29.1%
85296Gilbert 44,56453,076 +19.1% 13,644+20.6%
85326Buckeye 63,31775,359 +19.0% 15,052+21.8%
85295Gilbert 47,79156,744 +18.7% 14,910+29.2%
85340Litchfield Park 35,31640,919 +15.9% 7,422+32.4%
85388Surprise 30,81735,369 +14.8% 3,329+28.3%
85353Tolleson 42,80149,120 +14.8% 24,070+15.7%
85339Laveen 47,95854,641 +13.9% 5,770+20.8%
85286Chandler 44,88550,621 +12.8% 27,408+9.6%
85382Peoria 38,89043,729 +12.4% 13,598+3.9%
85233Gilbert 35,64039,077 +9.6% 30,252+5.1%
85224Chandler 43,83447,963 +9.4% 41,903+14.7%
85281Tempe 66,83372,762 +8.9% 119,781+8.1%
85363Youngtown 6,8027,015 +3.1% 1,094−23.9%
85335El Mirage 35,33336,088 +2.1% 2,558+9.5%
85268Fountain Hills 25,02223,849 −4.7% 4,790−3.2%
85283Tempe 51,49547,459 −7.8% 24,638−2.5%
85033Phoenix 64,83257,591 −11.2% 5,332−2.5%
85374Surprise 48,43041,420 −14.5% 11,226+10.0%
85006Phoenix 27,20621,905 −19.5% 21,482+1.1%
85256Scottsdale 6,1733,504 −43.2% 4,349+10.2%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

How to read these numbers

Each percentage is the county's density of that business type per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers), divided by the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

Density is a supply-side signal. It does not measure foot traffic, income, tourism, or whether locals actually want more of a given business.

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.