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Dauphin County, PA — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 29 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.89× the U.S. rate (between 0.89× and 1.00× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 16 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 12 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Dauphin County restaurants — 89–100% of the U.S. rate

207 restaurants are counted in Dauphin County — 5.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 89% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (199 → 203).

Measured supply density is highest in 17102 (Harrisburg), 17109 (Harrisburg), 17033 (Hershey) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 17057 (Middletown), 17110 (Harrisburg), 17104 (Harrisburg).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 196 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Dauphin County sits at 89% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 12 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 89% and 100% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 17102 and 17109; the lowest measured density is in 17057 and 17110.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
207–239
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (16 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
5.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.89×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
196
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
285,266
25 ZIPs with data
Workers
155,968
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
293,029
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.2%
+6,312 people
Net migration 2024
+1,866
international +2,452, domestic −586
Jobs located here
196,048
LODES 2022, +1.3% since 2019

Dauphin County had an estimated 293,029 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.2% more than in 2020 (+6,312). In the latest year it gained 2,143 people: births minus deaths +270, international migration +2,452, domestic migration −586. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

196,048 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+1.3% since 2019), and 133,356 employed residents lived there (−0.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
17111 Harrisburg
+12.6%
17110 Harrisburg
+10.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
17061 Millersburg
−4.8%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
54
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$4.1M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$75K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 2% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Dauphin County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

199
2015
206
2018
202
2020
197
2021
207
2022
203
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
17102 Harrisburg
144%
17109 Harrisburg
121%
17033 Hershey
119%
17111 Harrisburg
118%
17112 Harrisburg
103%
17061 Millersburg
95%
17036 Hummelstown
95%
17032 Halifax
77%
17104 Harrisburg
58%
17110 Harrisburg
48%
17057 Middletown
45%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
17057 Middletown
45%
17110 Harrisburg
48%
17104 Harrisburg
58%
17032 Halifax
77%
17036 Hummelstown
95%
17061 Millersburg
95%
17112 Harrisburg
103%
17111 Harrisburg
118%
17033 Hershey
119%
17109 Harrisburg
121%
17102 Harrisburg
144%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
17101Harrisburg Employment hub 2,72211,962 25 450%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
17101Harrisburg 2,72211,962 25 28.7 450% Very high density
17034Highspire 3,071412 4 12.2 191% High density
17102Harrisburg 8,1183,313 9 9.2 144% Above average
17109Harrisburg 27,46612,159 26 7.8 121% Above average
17033Hershey 16,48127,365 23 7.6 119% Above average
17111Harrisburg 36,74421,981 36 7.5 118% Above average
17112Harrisburg 38,50214,593 30 6.6 103% Above average
17061Millersburg 6,8422,873 5 6.0 95% Below average
17036Hummelstown 23,5205,964 16 6.0 95% Below average
17032Halifax 7,5511,179 4 4.9 77% Below average
17104Harrisburg 18,5416,452 8 3.7 58% Below average
17110Harrisburg 27,36424,019 12 3.0 48% Far below average
17057Middletown 23,56015,194 9 2.9 45% Far below average
17005Berrysburg 28929 0–2 — — Not published
17018Dauphin 3,902260 0–2 — — Not published
17023Elizabethville 3,4891,269 0–2 — — Not published
17028Grantville 3,5632,178 0–2 — — Not published
17030Gratz 541836 0–2 — — Not published
17048Lykens 3,870434 0–2 — — Not published
17080Pillow 26412 0–2 — — Not published
17097Wiconisco 72112 0–2 — — Not published
17098Williamstown 2,618244 0–2 — — Not published
17103Harrisburg 13,1151,579 0–2 — — Not published
17105Harrisburg —682 0–2 — — Not published
17106Harrisburg —160 0–2 — — Not published
17108Harrisburg —296 0–2 — — Not published
17113Harrisburg 11,7241,518 0–2 — — Not published
17120Harrisburg 0149 0–2 — — Not published
17978Spring Glen 688131 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Hershey

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Hershey retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Hershey retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Hershey retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Dauphin County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 196 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.