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Ramsey County, MN — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 22 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.92× the U.S. rate

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 3 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 0 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Ramsey County restaurants — 92% of the U.S. rate

401 restaurants are counted in Ramsey County — 5.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 92% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 13% between 2015 and 2023 (356 → 401). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 55102 (Saint Paul), 55103 (Saint Paul), 55105 (Saint Paul) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 55119 (Saint Paul), 55126 (Saint Paul), 55127 (Saint Paul).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 381 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Ramsey County sits at 92% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. The highest measured density is in 55102 and 55103; the lowest measured density is in 55119 and 55126.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
401–407
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (3 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
5.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.92×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
381
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
542,837
19 ZIPs with data
Workers
283,821
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
542,015
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−1.8%
−9,724 people
Net migration 2024
+1,850
international +5,142, domestic −3,292
Jobs located here
323,606
LODES 2022, −4.3% since 2019

Ramsey County had an estimated 542,015 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.8% fewer than in 2020 (−9,724). In the latest year it gained 3,541 people: births minus deaths +1,699, international migration +5,142, domestic migration −3,292. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

323,606 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−4.3% since 2019), and 251,893 employed residents lived there (−7.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
55114 Saint Paul
+61.8%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
55110 Saint Paul
−7.3%
55112 Saint Paul
−1.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
47
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$2.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$44K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 13% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Ramsey County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

356
2015
365
2018
379
2020
366
2021
385
2022
401
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
55102 Saint Paul
264%
55103 Saint Paul
166%
55105 Saint Paul
150%
55109 Saint Paul
131%
55113 Saint Paul
126%
55110 Saint Paul
111%
55130 Saint Paul
107%
55116 Saint Paul
95%
55104 Saint Paul
83%
55107 Saint Paul
71%
55106 Saint Paul
61%
55108 Saint Paul
60%
55112 Saint Paul
55%
55117 Saint Paul
45%
55127 Saint Paul
42%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
55119 Saint Paul
30%
55126 Saint Paul
41%
55127 Saint Paul
42%
55117 Saint Paul
45%
55112 Saint Paul
55%
55108 Saint Paul
60%
55106 Saint Paul
61%
55107 Saint Paul
71%
55104 Saint Paul
83%
55116 Saint Paul
95%
55130 Saint Paul
107%
55110 Saint Paul
111%
55113 Saint Paul
126%
55109 Saint Paul
131%
55105 Saint Paul
150%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
55101Saint Paul Employment hub 7,91122,231 13 107%
55114Saint Paul Employment hub 5,04912,751 5 69%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
55102Saint Paul 19,63023,554 53 16.9 264% Very high density
55103Saint Paul 13,1257,616 18 10.6 166% High density
55105Saint Paul 28,61713,835 34 9.6 150% Above average
55109Saint Paul 33,46116,842 35 8.4 131% Above average
55113Saint Paul 40,81935,481 47 8.0 126% Above average
55110Saint Paul 37,30521,200 34 7.1 111% Above average
55130Saint Paul 17,7752,490 13 6.8 107% Above average
55101Saint Paul 7,91122,231 13 6.8 107% Above average
55116Saint Paul 25,9187,220 18 6.1 95% Below average
55104Saint Paul 45,76221,496 30 5.3 83% Below average
55107Saint Paul 15,3778,687 9 4.6 71% Below average
55114Saint Paul 5,04912,751 5 4.4 69% Below average
55106Saint Paul 56,7089,628 24 3.9 61% Below average
55108Saint Paul 15,22411,195 8 3.8 60% Below average
55112Saint Paul 45,34629,373 21 3.5 55% Below average
55117Saint Paul 44,69714,105 15 2.9 45% Far below average
55127Saint Paul 18,0908,207 6 2.7 42% Far below average
55126Saint Paul 27,45613,485 9 2.6 41% Far below average
55119Saint Paul 44,5674,425 9 1.9 30% Far below average
55144Saint Paul —8,832 0–2 — — Not published
55155Saint Paul 0331 0–2 — — Not published
55164Saint Paul —13 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Saint Paul

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Saint Paul retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Saint Paul retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Saint Paul retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Ramsey County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 381 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.