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Jefferson County, KY — Pharmacies Saturation

How many pharmacies exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 55 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Pharmacies · Drug stores · Community & compounding pharmacies. Counted together because official statistics use one 446110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.80× the U.S. rate (between 0.80× and 1.14× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 36 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 18 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Jefferson County pharmacies — 80–114% of the U.S. rate

86 pharmacies are counted in Jefferson County — 0.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 80% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (68 → 64). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 40217 (Louisville), 40059 (Prospect), 40207 (Louisville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 40229 (Louisville), 40272 (Louisville), 40219 (Louisville).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 99 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Jefferson County sits at 80% of the U.S. rate for pharmacies. 18 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 80% and 114% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 40217 and 40059; the lowest measured density is in 40229 and 40272.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing pharmacies and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Pharmacies
86–158
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (36 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.80×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
99
2023 — $95M annual payroll
Residents
809,701
37 ZIPs with data
Workers
459,852
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
793,881
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.4%
+10,985 people
Net migration 2024
+9,201
international +13,807, domestic −4,606
Jobs located here
490,757
LODES 2022, +0.7% since 2019

Jefferson County had an estimated 793,881 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.4% more than in 2020 (+10,985). In the latest year it gained 10,500 people: births minus deaths +1,325, international migration +13,807, domestic migration −4,606. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

490,757 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.7% since 2019), and 363,460 employed residents lived there (−1.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
40245 Louisville
+15.4%
40243 Louisville
+14.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
18
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$1.6M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$89K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more pharmacies in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 6% since 2015

Number of pharmacies in Jefferson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

68
2015
62
2018
67
2020
68
2021
64
2022
64
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
40217 Louisville
200%
40059 Prospect
170%
40207 Louisville
141%
40241 Louisville
140%
40216 Louisville
138%
40218 Louisville
133%
40222 Louisville
123%
40291 Louisville
111%
40206 Louisville
109%
40299 Louisville
108%
40205 Louisville
99%
40214 Louisville
94%
40223 Louisville
89%
40258 Louisville
88%
40219 Louisville
78%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
40229 Louisville
64%
40272 Louisville
71%
40219 Louisville
78%
40258 Louisville
88%
40223 Louisville
89%
40214 Louisville
94%
40205 Louisville
99%
40299 Louisville
108%
40206 Louisville
109%
40291 Louisville
111%
40222 Louisville
123%
40218 Louisville
133%
40216 Louisville
138%
40241 Louisville
140%
40207 Louisville
141%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few pharmacies may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersPharmaciesIndex
40202Louisville Employment hub 7,26152,725 6 173%
40213Louisville Employment hub 16,05451,794 4 92%
40209Louisville Employment hub 6395,515 0–2 —
40280Louisville Employment hub 182843 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = pharmacies per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersPharmacies Per 10kIndexStatus
40217Louisville 11,6635,685 3 2.1 200% High density
40202Louisville 7,26152,725 6 1.8 173% High density
40059Prospect 20,8923,862 4 1.8 170% High density
40207Louisville 28,90324,457 6 1.5 141% Above average
40241Louisville 30,69621,693 6 1.4 140% Above average
40216Louisville 44,04710,317 7 1.4 138% Above average
40218Louisville 33,73619,818 6 1.4 133% Above average
40222Louisville 21,47020,053 4 1.3 123% Above average
40291Louisville 41,2224,971 5 1.1 111% Above average
40206Louisville 20,16113,222 3 1.1 109% Above average
40299Louisville 42,20740,713 7 1.1 108% Above average
40205Louisville 24,6649,094 3 1.0 99% Below average
40214Louisville 45,40511,903 5 1.0 94% Below average
40213Louisville 16,05451,794 4 1.0 92% Below average
40223Louisville 22,79841,958 4 0.9 89% Below average
40258Louisville 26,84112,415 3 0.9 88% Below average
40219Louisville 39,90919,727 4 0.8 78% Below average
40272Louisville 38,2894,867 3 0.7 71% Below average
40229Louisville 41,2998,463 3 0.7 64% Below average
40018Eastwood —55 0–2 — — Not published
40023Fisherville 6,870477 0–2 — — Not published
40025Glenview 56515 0–2 — — Not published
40027Harrods Creek —85 0–2 — — Not published
40041Masonic Home 564345 0–2 — — Not published
40118Fairdale 10,6971,313 0–2 — — Not published
40201Louisville —270 0–2 — — Not published
40203Louisville 17,7428,514 0–2 — — Not published
40204Louisville 14,0347,104 0–2 — — Not published
40208Louisville 15,6055,529 0–2 — — Not published
40209Louisville 6395,515 0–2 — — Not published
40210Louisville 13,5184,456 0–2 — — Not published
40211Louisville 20,4074,888 0–2 — — Not published
40212Louisville 14,6611,319 0–2 — — Not published
40215Louisville 20,5321,876 0–2 — — Not published
40220Louisville 35,0789,424 0–2 — — Not published
40221Louisville 037 0–2 — — Not published
40225Louisville —10,383 0–2 — — Not published
40228Louisville 18,0853,765 0–2 — — Not published
40232Louisville —1,029 0–2 — — Not published
40233Louisville —189 0–2 — — Not published
40242Louisville 11,1681,361 0–2 — — Not published
40243Louisville 12,0028,262 0–2 — — Not published
40245Louisville 39,83517,109 0–2 — — Not published
40250Louisville —45 0–2 — — Not published
40252Louisville —24 0–2 — — Not published
40253Louisville —90 0–2 — — Not published
40255Louisville —9 0–2 — — Not published
40256Louisville —102 0–2 — — Not published
40257Louisville —72 0–2 — — Not published
40259Louisville —264 0–2 — — Not published
40268Louisville —18 0–2 — — Not published
40269Louisville —98 0–2 — — Not published
40270Louisville —107 0–2 — — Not published
40280Louisville 182843 0–2 — — Not published
40292Louisville —489 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Louisville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Louisville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Louisville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Louisville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Jefferson County and pharmacies

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 446110 — pharmacies & drug stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 99 establishments and $95M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.