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Bexar County, TX — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 83 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.35× the U.S. rate (between 0.35× and 0.87× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 67 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 54 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Bexar County nail salons — 35–87% of the U.S. rate

87 nail salons are counted in Bexar County — 0.3 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 35% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 33% between 2015 and 2023 (33 → 44). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 78218 (San Antonio), 78256 (San Antonio), 78253 (San Antonio) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 78240 (San Antonio), 78229 (San Antonio), 78251 (San Antonio).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 99 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Bexar County sits at 35% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 54 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 35% and 87% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 78218 and 78256; the lowest measured density is in 78240 and 78229.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
87–221
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (67 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.3
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.35×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
99
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
2,044,549
69 ZIPs with data
Workers
788,736
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
2,127,737
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+5.6%
+112,117 people
Net migration 2024
+18,294
international +15,324, domestic +2,970
Jobs located here
919,469
LODES 2022, +4.2% since 2019

Bexar County had an estimated 2,127,737 residents on July 1, 2024 — 5.6% more than in 2020 (+112,117). In the latest year it gained 29,548 people: births minus deaths +11,145, international migration +15,324, domestic migration +2,970. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

919,469 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+4.2% since 2019), and 866,309 employed residents lived there (+2.6% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
78152 Saint Hedwig
+108.2%
78252 San Antonio
+81.4%
78261 San Antonio
+59.2%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
78214 San Antonio
−19.7%
78227 San Antonio
−14.3%
78201 San Antonio
−13.1%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
3,529
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$180.5M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$51K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 33% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Bexar County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

33
2015
31
2018
35
2020
38
2021
40
2022
44
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
78218 San Antonio
222%
78256 San Antonio
198%
78253 San Antonio
192%
78258 San Antonio
159%
78259 San Antonio
136%
78238 San Antonio
126%
78232 San Antonio
116%
78244 San Antonio
86%
78247 San Antonio
78%
78223 San Antonio
73%
78217 San Antonio
73%
78251 San Antonio
63%
78229 San Antonio
61%
78240 San Antonio
55%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
78240 San Antonio
55%
78229 San Antonio
61%
78251 San Antonio
63%
78217 San Antonio
73%
78223 San Antonio
73%
78247 San Antonio
78%
78244 San Antonio
86%
78232 San Antonio
116%
78238 San Antonio
126%
78259 San Antonio
136%
78258 San Antonio
159%
78253 San Antonio
192%
78256 San Antonio
198%
78218 San Antonio
222%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersNail salonsIndex
78205San Antonio Destination 1,53827,450 0–2 —
78215San Antonio Employment hub 3,50612,688 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
78218San Antonio 39,42827,125 10 1.9 222% High density
78256San Antonio 13,4538,698 3 1.7 198% High density
78253San Antonio 69,2828,600 12 1.6 192% High density
78258San Antonio 52,44828,091 9 1.4 159% High density
78259San Antonio 29,8269,381 4 1.2 136% Above average
78238San Antonio 26,03222,529 4 1.1 126% Above average
78232San Antonio 36,63628,263 5 1.0 116% Above average
78244San Antonio 38,0926,002 3 0.7 86% Below average
78247San Antonio 51,93316,760 4 0.7 78% Below average
78223San Antonio 58,98311,227 4 0.6 73% Below average
78217San Antonio 34,05529,218 3 0.6 73% Below average
78251San Antonio 59,43530,862 4 0.5 63% Below average
78229San Antonio 35,66444,600 3 0.5 61% Below average
78240San Antonio 57,92112,883 3 0.5 55% Below average
78023Helotes 28,4626,287 ~1 0.3 37% Far below average
78002Atascosa 7,035354 0–2 — — Not published
78054Macdona —15 0–2 — — Not published
78069Somerset 7,038293 0–2 — — Not published
78073Von Ormy 10,0881,698 0–2 — — Not published
78101Adkins 7,2671,203 0–2 — — Not published
78109Converse 63,0676,733 0–2 — — Not published
78112Elmendorf 9,7691,122 0–2 — — Not published
78148Universal City 22,1875,565 0–2 — — Not published
78150Jbsa Randolph 0341 0–2 — — Not published
78152Saint Hedwig 4,521266 0–2 — — Not published
78201San Antonio 41,98112,885 0–2 — — Not published
78202San Antonio 10,2242,080 0–2 — — Not published
78203San Antonio 5,200805 0–2 — — Not published
78204San Antonio 11,9838,463 0–2 — — Not published
78205San Antonio 1,53827,450 0–2 — — Not published
78206San Antonio —46 0–2 — — Not published
78207San Antonio 55,47414,917 0–2 — — Not published
78208San Antonio 3,861861 0–2 — — Not published
78209San Antonio 43,40027,895 0–2 — — Not published
78210San Antonio 34,9403,882 0–2 — — Not published
78211San Antonio 30,8575,629 0–2 — — Not published
78212San Antonio 27,43717,744 0–2 — — Not published
78213San Antonio 40,52611,441 0–2 — — Not published
78214San Antonio 22,1185,361 0–2 — — Not published
78215San Antonio 3,50612,688 0–2 — — Not published
78216San Antonio 41,18057,443 0–2 — — Not published
78219San Antonio 17,92420,054 0–2 — — Not published
78220San Antonio 19,4235,655 0–2 — — Not published
78221San Antonio 42,17827,803 0–2 — — Not published
78222San Antonio 26,4767,861 0–2 — — Not published
78224San Antonio 22,2329,271 0–2 — — Not published
78225San Antonio 13,1041,757 0–2 — — Not published
78226San Antonio 6,5546,178 0–2 — — Not published
78227San Antonio 44,0359,904 0–2 — — Not published
78228San Antonio 56,16513,311 0–2 — — Not published
78230San Antonio 41,38725,818 0–2 — — Not published
78231San Antonio 9,7444,196 0–2 — — Not published
78233San Antonio 48,91116,432 0–2 — — Not published
78234Jbsa Ft Sam Houston 7,1493,700 0–2 — — Not published
78235San Antonio 2,3042,491 0–2 — — Not published
78236Jbsa Lackland 7,6351,916 0–2 — — Not published
78237San Antonio 37,3795,378 0–2 — — Not published
78239San Antonio 28,6093,152 0–2 — — Not published
78242San Antonio 36,1681,572 0–2 — — Not published
78243San Antonio 23285 0–2 — — Not published
78245San Antonio 96,01511,642 0–2 — — Not published
78246San Antonio —270 0–2 — — Not published
78248San Antonio 14,4885,706 0–2 — — Not published
78249San Antonio 63,43938,532 0–2 — — Not published
78250San Antonio 57,3238,556 0–2 — — Not published
78252San Antonio 21,790576 0–2 — — Not published
78254San Antonio 77,8935,612 0–2 — — Not published
78255San Antonio 17,3792,055 0–2 — — Not published
78257San Antonio 10,99213,340 0–2 — — Not published
78260San Antonio 38,0232,931 0–2 — — Not published
78261San Antonio 26,6572,548 0–2 — — Not published
78263San Antonio 4,2532,247 0–2 — — Not published
78264San Antonio 11,84111,153 0–2 — — Not published
78265San Antonio —115 15 — — Not published
78268San Antonio —96 0–2 — — Not published
78269San Antonio —176 0–2 — — Not published
78270San Antonio —29 0–2 — — Not published
78278San Antonio —62 0–2 — — Not published
78279San Antonio —675 0–2 — — Not published
78280San Antonio —30 0–2 — — Not published
78283San Antonio —34 0–2 — — Not published
78284San Antonio —91 0–2 — — Not published
78288San Antonio —22,342 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in San Antonio

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse San Antonio retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse San Antonio retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse San Antonio retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Bexar County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 99 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.