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Riverside County, CA — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 96 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: High density — 1.56× the U.S. rate (between 1.56× and 1.77× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 51 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 26 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Riverside County nail salons — 156–177% of the U.S. rate

376 nail salons are counted in Riverside County — 1.3 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 156% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 102% between 2015 and 2023 (137 → 277). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 92260 (Palm Desert), 92860 (Norco), 92505 (Riverside) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 92551 (Moreno Valley), 92571 (Perris), 92880 (Corona).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 427 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Riverside County sits at 156% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 26 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 156% and 177% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 92260 and 92860; the lowest measured density is in 92551 and 92571.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
376–478
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (51 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.3
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
1.56×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
427
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
2,482,806
70 ZIPs with data
Workers
674,999
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
2,529,933
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+4.3%
+105,270 people
Net migration 2024
+18,546
international +11,037, domestic +7,509
Jobs located here
799,021
LODES 2022, +7.1% since 2019

Riverside County had an estimated 2,529,933 residents on July 1, 2024 — 4.3% more than in 2020 (+105,270). In the latest year it gained 26,384 people: births minus deaths +7,801, international migration +11,037, domestic migration +7,509. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

799,021 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+7.1% since 2019), and 1,035,761 employed residents lived there (+7.6% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
92549 Idyllwild
+59.6%
92582 San Jacinto
+35.6%
92585 Menifee
+34.8%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
92260 Palm Desert
−11.9%
92225 Blythe
−9.5%
92503 Riverside
−7.5%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,198
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$33.8M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$28K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 102% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Riverside County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

137
2015
164
2018
224
2020
251
2021
268
2022
277
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
92260 Palm Desert
550%
92860 Norco
497%
92505 Riverside
369%
92532 Lake Elsinore
316%
92591 Temecula
300%
92320 Calimesa
286%
92253 La Quinta
283%
92563 Murrieta
269%
92211 Palm Desert
267%
92586 Menifee
262%
92879 Corona
255%
92264 Palm Springs
252%
92553 Moreno Valley
243%
92562 Murrieta
234%
92262 Palm Springs
222%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
92551 Moreno Valley
73%
92571 Perris
83%
92880 Corona
85%
92544 Hemet
88%
92584 Menifee
90%
92545 Hemet
94%
92220 Banning
97%
92504 Riverside
107%
92555 Moreno Valley
115%
92596 Winchester
117%
92881 Corona
126%
92583 San Jacinto
132%
92883 Corona
134%
92530 Lake Elsinore
141%
92557 Moreno Valley
147%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersNail salonsIndex
92230Cabazon Employment hub 1,8874,721 0–2 —
92518March Air Reserve Base Employment hub 1,2607,735 0–2 —
92590Temecula Employment hub 5,08922,770 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
92260Palm Desert 30,52320,177 19 4.7 550% Very high density
92860Norco 25,10911,256 13 4.2 497% Very high density
92505Riverside 53,41914,275 19 3.1 369% Very high density
92532Lake Elsinore 28,0553,451 8 2.7 316% Very high density
92591Temecula 41,95518,073 13 2.5 300% Very high density
92320Calimesa 10,9022,887 3 2.4 286% Very high density
92253La Quinta 38,66613,956 11 2.4 283% Very high density
92563Murrieta 80,37914,262 20 2.3 269% Very high density
92211Palm Desert 28,09214,395 8 2.3 267% Very high density
92586Menifee 20,7673,300 5 2.2 262% Very high density
92879Corona 49,31730,373 14 2.2 255% Very high density
92264Palm Springs 19,8996,792 5 2.1 252% Very high density
92553Moreno Valley 74,64015,017 17 2.1 243% High density
92562Murrieta 64,78121,022 15 2.0 234% High density
92262Palm Springs 26,88720,468 7 1.9 222% High density
92595Wildomar 34,4386,332 7 1.9 219% High density
92543Hemet 39,9376,464 8 1.9 218% High density
92503Riverside 88,39520,783 18 1.8 214% High density
92203Indio 34,7357,490 7 1.8 214% High density
92270Rancho Mirage 17,56316,505 4 1.5 182% High density
92506Riverside 45,08614,413 8 1.5 180% High density
92201Indio 65,82513,275 11 1.5 179% High density
92508Riverside 36,9098,172 6 1.5 172% High density
92234Cathedral City 52,2678,685 8 1.4 166% High density
92592Temecula 80,03516,196 12 1.4 160% High density
92507Riverside 64,01536,439 11 1.3 157% High density
92501Riverside 22,93414,016 4 1.3 157% High density
92882Corona 68,71513,420 10 1.3 156% High density
92223Beaumont 63,8339,596 9 1.3 154% High density
92557Moreno Valley 54,0613,639 7 1.3 147% Above average
92530Lake Elsinore 61,76810,372 8 1.2 141% Above average
92883Corona 39,9907,929 5 1.1 134% Above average
92583San Jacinto 33,7783,892 4 1.1 132% Above average
92881Corona 30,34713,748 4 1.1 126% Above average
92596Winchester 38,9812,167 4 1.0 117% Above average
92555Moreno Valley 45,97810,663 5 1.0 115% Above average
92504Riverside 57,13218,144 6 0.9 107% Above average
92220Banning 33,7554,989 3 0.8 97% Below average
92545Hemet 45,9828,142 4 0.8 94% Below average
92584Menifee 61,3667,863 5 0.8 90% Below average
92544Hemet 51,7513,384 4 0.7 88% Below average
92880Corona 75,04315,562 6 0.7 85% Below average
92571Perris 60,09621,347 5 0.7 83% Below average
92551Moreno Valley 37,42522,245 3 0.6 73% Below average
91752Mira Loma 37,98330,704 0–2 — — Not published
92202Indio —147 0–2 — — Not published
92210Indian Wells 4,8714,872 0–2 — — Not published
92225Blythe 20,3192,240 0–2 — — Not published
92226Blythe —72 0–2 — — Not published
92230Cabazon 1,8874,721 0–2 — — Not published
92235Cathedral City —173 0–2 — — Not published
92236Coachella 43,6425,781 0–2 — — Not published
92239Desert Center 14460 0–2 — — Not published
92240Desert Hot Springs 41,6153,179 0–2 — — Not published
92241Desert Hot Springs 8,884513 0–2 — — Not published
92248La Quinta —160 0–2 — — Not published
92254Mecca 11,333824 0–2 — — Not published
92255Palm Desert —27 0–2 — — Not published
92258North Palm Springs 474514 0–2 — — Not published
92261Palm Desert —195 0–2 — — Not published
92263Palm Springs —282 0–2 — — Not published
92274Thermal 18,1671,627 0–2 — — Not published
92276Thousand Palms 7,7203,400 0–2 — — Not published
92282Whitewater 1,419115 0–2 — — Not published
92502Riverside —201 0–2 — — Not published
92509Jurupa Valley 81,18214,455 0–2 — — Not published
92513Riverside —11 0–2 — — Not published
92514Riverside —9 0–2 — — Not published
92516Riverside —29 0–2 — — Not published
92517Riverside —62 0–2 — — Not published
92518March Air Reserve Base 1,2607,735 0–2 — — Not published
92519Riverside —64 0–2 — — Not published
92521Riverside 0106 0–2 — — Not published
92531Lake Elsinore —17 0–2 — — Not published
92536Aguanga 2,970144 0–2 — — Not published
92539Anza 3,774384 0–2 — — Not published
92546Hemet —148 0–2 — — Not published
92548Homeland 8,312187 0–2 — — Not published
92549Idyllwild 4,0161,146 0–2 — — Not published
92552Moreno Valley —70 0–2 — — Not published
92554Moreno Valley —13 0–2 — — Not published
92556Moreno Valley —70 0–2 — — Not published
92561Mountain Center 2,157180 0–2 — — Not published
92564Murrieta —200 0–2 — — Not published
92567Nuevo 10,867483 0–2 — — Not published
92570Perris 58,0828,005 0–2 — — Not published
92572Perris —99 0–2 — — Not published
92581San Jacinto —1,526 0–2 — — Not published
92582San Jacinto 23,3561,459 0–2 — — Not published
92585Menifee 29,5342,452 0–2 — — Not published
92587Menifee 18,2181,473 0–2 — — Not published
92589Temecula —338 0–2 — — Not published
92590Temecula 5,08922,770 0–2 — — Not published
92593Temecula —64 0–2 — — Not published
92877Corona —295 0–2 — — Not published
92878Corona —6,127 3 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Riverside

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Riverside retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Riverside retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Riverside retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Riverside County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 427 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.