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Lowest measured density of fast food in Arizona

Arizona has 45 ZIP codes where published counts of fast food are statistically below the U.S. rate. Coverage is the Arizona counties on this site, not the whole state. Same filters as the radius search. Census ZBP 2023 + ACS 2024.

Includes: Fast food · Quick-service restaurants · Takeout & delivery counters · Pizza delivery · Sandwich & burger chains. Counted together because official statistics use one 722513 code.

Statistically low ZIPs
45
Poisson p < 0.05
Comparable ZIPs
165
published count ≥ 5, ≥ 10,000 residents
U.S. rate
6.7
per 10,000 present

Coverage. Only the Arizona counties BizGapMap covers, not the whole state. A missing state page means no ZIP there cleared the test — we do not publish an empty list.

Lowest measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A low published count can mean weak demand, no suitable space, commuters spending elsewhere, or businesses with no paid employees that ZBP does not count. Each line is a question to check locally.

False positives. The test is one-sided at 5% with no correction for looking at many ZIPs. Of 165 comparable ZIPs here, about 8 could clear the bar by chance. Small ZIPs rarely reach significance, so “not on this list” does not mean “no gap”.

ZIP codes

ZIPCityCounty Fast foodExpected IndexBandZIP type ResidentsTest
85396 Buckeye Maricopa County 6 28.8 21% Far below average Residential 42,181 p < 0.001
85138 Maricopa Pinal County 9 37.6 24% Far below average Residential 55,260 p < 0.001
85119 Apache Junction Pinal County 5 18.1 28% Far below average Residential 25,420 p < 0.001
85335 El Mirage Maricopa County 8 25.2 32% Far below average Residential 36,088 p < 0.001
85207 Mesa Maricopa County 12 35.8 34% Far below average Residential 51,178 p < 0.001
85132 Florence Pinal County 9 26.8 34% Far below average Residential 38,671 p < 0.001
85298 Gilbert Maricopa County 11 30.6 36% Far below average Residential 44,114 p < 0.001
86404 Lake Havasu City Mohave County 5 13.7 37% Far below average Residential 19,234 p < 0.01
85383 Peoria Maricopa County 20 53.1 38% Far below average Residential 74,390 p < 0.001
86409 Kingman Mohave County 9 22.4 40% Far below average Residential 30,365 p < 0.01
85629 Sahuarita Pima County 9 22.2 40% Far below average Residential 31,668 p < 0.01
85718 Tucson Pima County 10 23.1 43% Far below average Residential 28,125 p < 0.01
85375 Sun City West Maricopa County 9 20.3 44% Far below average Residential 27,680 p < 0.01
85750 Tucson Pima County 8 17.7 45% Far below average Residential 24,886 p < 0.01
86406 Lake Havasu City Mohave County 8 17.5 46% Far below average Residential 25,067 p < 0.01
85303 Glendale Maricopa County 11 23.7 46% Far below average Residential 33,663 p < 0.01
85118 Gold Canyon Pinal County 5 10.5 47% Far below average Residential 14,932 p ≈ 0.049
85037 Phoenix Maricopa County 19 39.4 48% Far below average Residential 54,608 p < 0.001
85304 Glendale Maricopa County 10 20.7 48% Far below average Residential 29,861 p < 0.01
85653 Marana Pima County 8 16.6 48% Far below average Residential 23,574 p ≈ 0.016
85019 Phoenix Maricopa County 10 19.8 51% Below average Residential 27,429 p ≈ 0.012
85008 Phoenix Maricopa County 25 48.5 52% Below average Residential 59,716 p < 0.001
85131 Eloy Pinal County 7 13.5 52% Below average Residential 18,794 p ≈ 0.040
85140 San Tan Valley Pinal County 19 35.7 53% Below average Residential 51,260 p < 0.01
85041 Phoenix Maricopa County 24 44.9 53% Below average Residential 63,862 p < 0.001
85351 Sun City Maricopa County 11 20.5 54% Below average Residential 27,592 p ≈ 0.017
86305 Prescott Yavapai County 8 14.8 54% Below average Residential 19,790 p ≈ 0.042
85743 Tucson Pima County 13 23.2 56% Below average Residential 31,300 p ≈ 0.016
85213 Mesa Maricopa County 15 26.5 57% Below average Residential 36,836 p ≈ 0.011
85253 Paradise Valley Maricopa County 9 15.7 57% Below average Mixed 17,904 p ≈ 0.049
85043 Phoenix Maricopa County 27 47.2 57% Below average Mixed 41,331 p < 0.01
85353 Tolleson Maricopa County 23 39.9 58% Below average Residential 49,120 p < 0.01
85379 Surprise Maricopa County 21 36.2 58% Below average Residential 51,035 p < 0.01
85742 Tucson Pima County 13 22.1 59% Below average Residential 31,613 p ≈ 0.026
85035 Phoenix Maricopa County 22 37.3 59% Below average Residential 53,424 p < 0.01
85086 Phoenix Maricopa County 19 31.3 61% Below average Residential 43,270 p ≈ 0.013
85225 Chandler Maricopa County 35 56.0 63% Below average Residential 72,297 p < 0.01
85255 Scottsdale Maricopa County 26 41.2 63% Below average Mixed 45,346 p < 0.01
85249 Chandler Maricopa County 22 34.7 63% Below average Residential 48,746 p ≈ 0.015
85143 San Tan Valley Pinal County 20 30.7 65% Below average Residential 44,444 p ≈ 0.027
85009 Phoenix Maricopa County 30 45.6 66% Below average Mixed 52,064 p < 0.01
85050 Phoenix Maricopa County 17 25.8 66% Below average Residential 33,118 p ≈ 0.045
85746 Tucson Pima County 21 30.5 69% Below average Residential 42,835 p ≈ 0.045
85326 Buckeye Maricopa County 37 53.5 69% Below average Residential 75,359 p ≈ 0.011
85286 Chandler Maricopa County 32 43.9 73% Below average Mixed 50,621 p ≈ 0.038

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns. Sorted by measured density, lowest first.

How this is built

Who can be listed. ZIPs in the covered counties whose county has at least 15 ZIPs in our data, with at least 10,000 residents, and at least 5 published businesses in this industry. Census hides counts of 0–2; derived remainders are excluded.

Statistically low. P(X ≤ n | expected) < 0.05, where expected is the U.S. establishments-per-person-present rate times this ZIP’s demand (residents + 0.5 × jobs located here). Same definition as the index, so the percentage and the test cannot disagree. Full test →

ZIP type is jobs per resident, not zoning. A residential ZIP can look low because residents shop near work.

Questions

What does “lowest measured density” mean for fast food? A ZIP is listed only when Census published at least 5 fast food with paid employees, the ZIP has at least 10,000 residents, and a one-sided Poisson test finds the count statistically below the U.S. rate (p < 0.05). Index 100% is the national density per person present.

Is a low-density ZIP a place to open this kind of business? No. A low published count of fast food can mean weak demand, no suitable space, residents shopping near work, or businesses with no paid employees that Census ZBP does not count. Each line is a question to check locally, not a recommendation.

Why is a state missing from this list? A state page exists only when at least one ZIP in the counties we cover clears the same test as the radius search. We do not publish an empty list. Coverage is those counties, not the whole state.

← All states for fast food  ·  Fast food in Arizona (county totals)  ·  Search by radius

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.