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Lowest measured density of coffee shops in Texas

Texas has 23 ZIP codes where published counts of coffee shops are statistically below the U.S. rate. Coverage is the Texas counties on this site, not the whole state. Same filters as the radius search. Census ZBP 2023 + ACS 2024.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Statistically low ZIPs
23
Poisson p < 0.05
Comparable ZIPs
384
published count ≥ 5, ≥ 10,000 residents
U.S. rate
2.1
per 10,000 present

Coverage. Only the Texas counties BizGapMap covers, not the whole state. A missing state page means no ZIP there cleared the test — we do not publish an empty list.

Lowest measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A low published count can mean weak demand, no suitable space, commuters spending elsewhere, or businesses with no paid employees that ZBP does not count. Each line is a question to check locally.

False positives. The test is one-sided at 5% with no correction for looking at many ZIPs. Of 384 comparable ZIPs here, about 19 could clear the bar by chance. Small ZIPs rarely reach significance, so “not on this list” does not mean “no gap”.

ZIP codes

ZIPCityCounty Coffee shopsExpected IndexBandZIP type ResidentsTest
75243 Dallas Dallas County 5 17.8 28% Far below average Mixed 63,481 p < 0.001
77373 Spring Harris County 5 15.6 32% Far below average Residential 69,739 p < 0.01
78109 Converse Bexar County 5 14.0 36% Far below average Residential 63,067 p < 0.01
77030 Houston Harris County 5 13.9 36% Far below average Employment hub 13,380 p < 0.01
75050 Grand Prairie Dallas County 5 13.8 36% Far below average Mixed 44,889 p < 0.01
78574 Mission Hidalgo County 5 13.5 37% Far below average Residential 62,456 p < 0.01
77469 Richmond Fort Bend County 6 15.8 38% Far below average Residential 69,826 p < 0.01
78245 San Antonio Bexar County 9 21.4 42% Far below average Residential 96,015 p < 0.01
77015 Houston Harris County 6 14.0 43% Far below average Residential 58,415 p ≈ 0.014
77082 Houston Harris County 6 14.0 43% Far below average Residential 59,412 p ≈ 0.014
75038 Irving Dallas County 5 11.4 44% Far below average Mixed 32,755 p ≈ 0.029
75115 Desoto Dallas County 6 13.4 45% Far below average Residential 56,211 p ≈ 0.021
78228 San Antonio Bexar County 6 13.2 45% Far below average Residential 56,165 p ≈ 0.023
79928 El Paso El Paso County 9 19.3 47% Far below average Residential 86,599 p < 0.01
77493 Katy Harris County 8 16.3 49% Far below average Residential 71,484 p ≈ 0.018
77083 Houston Harris County 8 16.2 49% Far below average Residential 73,230 p ≈ 0.019
76133 Fort Worth Tarrant County 6 12.1 50% Far below average Residential 53,958 p ≈ 0.045
78744 Austin Travis County 7 13.6 52% Below average Mixed 50,986 p ≈ 0.040
78223 San Antonio Bexar County 7 13.6 52% Below average Residential 58,983 p ≈ 0.040
77521 Baytown Harris County 9 16.4 55% Below average Residential 69,038 p ≈ 0.036
78577 Pharr Hidalgo County 11 19.5 56% Below average Residential 80,540 p ≈ 0.028
75211 Dallas Dallas County 10 17.7 57% Below average Residential 73,534 p ≈ 0.036
78254 San Antonio Bexar County 10 17.0 59% Below average Residential 77,893 p ≈ 0.050

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns. Sorted by measured density, lowest first.

How this is built

Who can be listed. ZIPs in the covered counties whose county has at least 15 ZIPs in our data, with at least 10,000 residents, and at least 5 published businesses in this industry. Census hides counts of 0–2; derived remainders are excluded.

Statistically low. P(X ≤ n | expected) < 0.05, where expected is the U.S. establishments-per-person-present rate times this ZIP’s demand (residents + 0.5 × jobs located here). Same definition as the index, so the percentage and the test cannot disagree. Full test →

ZIP type is jobs per resident, not zoning. A residential ZIP can look low because residents shop near work.

Questions

What does “lowest measured density” mean for coffee shops? A ZIP is listed only when Census published at least 5 coffee shops with paid employees, the ZIP has at least 10,000 residents, and a one-sided Poisson test finds the count statistically below the U.S. rate (p < 0.05). Index 100% is the national density per person present.

Is a low-density ZIP a place to open this kind of business? No. A low published count of coffee shops can mean weak demand, no suitable space, residents shopping near work, or businesses with no paid employees that Census ZBP does not count. Each line is a question to check locally, not a recommendation.

Why is a state missing from this list? A state page exists only when at least one ZIP in the counties we cover clears the same test as the radius search. We do not publish an empty list. Coverage is those counties, not the whole state.

← All states for coffee shops  ·  Coffee shops in Texas (county totals)  ·  Search by radius

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.