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Lowest measured density of day care in Texas

Texas has 20 ZIP codes where published counts of day care are statistically below the U.S. rate. Coverage is the Texas counties on this site, not the whole state. Same filters as the radius search. Census ZBP 2023 + ACS 2024.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Statistically low ZIPs
20
Poisson p < 0.05
Comparable ZIPs
369
published count ≥ 5, ≥ 10,000 residents
U.S. rate
2.0
per 10,000 present

Coverage. Only the Texas counties BizGapMap covers, not the whole state. A missing state page means no ZIP there cleared the test — we do not publish an empty list.

Lowest measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A low published count can mean weak demand, no suitable space, commuters spending elsewhere, or businesses with no paid employees that ZBP does not count. Each line is a question to check locally.

False positives. The test is one-sided at 5% with no correction for looking at many ZIPs. Of 369 comparable ZIPs here, about 18 could clear the bar by chance. Small ZIPs rarely reach significance, so “not on this list” does not mean “no gap”.

ZIP codes

ZIPCityCounty Day careExpected IndexBandZIP type ResidentsTest
77040 Houston Harris County 5 14.4 35% Far below average Mixed 50,977 p < 0.01
78249 San Antonio Bexar County 6 16.8 36% Far below average Mixed 63,439 p < 0.01
77024 Houston Harris County 5 13.9 36% Far below average Mixed 38,288 p < 0.01
77521 Baytown Harris County 6 15.8 38% Far below average Residential 69,038 p < 0.01
75201 Dallas Dallas County 5 13.1 38% Far below average Employment hub 18,345 p < 0.01
78744 Austin Travis County 5 13.1 38% Far below average Mixed 50,986 p < 0.01
78207 San Antonio Bexar County 5 12.8 39% Far below average Residential 55,474 p ≈ 0.012
78229 San Antonio Bexar County 5 11.8 43% Far below average Mixed 35,664 p ≈ 0.024
75072 Mckinney Collin County 5 11.4 44% Far below average Residential 55,087 p ≈ 0.029
76179 Fort Worth Tarrant County 8 17.6 46% Far below average Residential 80,090 p < 0.01
75069 Mckinney Collin County 5 10.7 47% Far below average Mixed 40,032 p ≈ 0.046
78741 Austin Travis County 5 10.7 47% Far below average Residential 45,951 p ≈ 0.046
77057 Houston Harris County 6 12.6 48% Far below average Mixed 46,569 p ≈ 0.032
78216 San Antonio Bexar County 7 14.2 49% Far below average Mixed 41,180 p ≈ 0.029
77007 Houston Harris County 6 12.1 50% Far below average Residential 47,808 p ≈ 0.044
78245 San Antonio Bexar County 11 20.7 53% Below average Residential 96,015 p ≈ 0.015
76051 Grapevine Tarrant County 8 14.6 55% Below average Mixed 50,618 p ≈ 0.047
75217 Dallas Dallas County 10 17.9 56% Below average Residential 85,028 p ≈ 0.032
75243 Dallas Dallas County 10 17.1 58% Below average Mixed 63,481 p ≈ 0.046
79928 El Paso El Paso County 11 18.6 59% Below average Residential 86,599 p ≈ 0.041

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns. Sorted by measured density, lowest first.

How this is built

Who can be listed. ZIPs in the covered counties whose county has at least 15 ZIPs in our data, with at least 10,000 residents, and at least 5 published businesses in this industry. Census hides counts of 0–2; derived remainders are excluded.

Statistically low. P(X ≤ n | expected) < 0.05, where expected is the U.S. establishments-per-person-present rate times this ZIP’s demand (residents + 0.5 × jobs located here). Same definition as the index, so the percentage and the test cannot disagree. Full test →

ZIP type is jobs per resident, not zoning. A residential ZIP can look low because residents shop near work.

Questions

What does “lowest measured density” mean for day care? A ZIP is listed only when Census published at least 5 day care with paid employees, the ZIP has at least 10,000 residents, and a one-sided Poisson test finds the count statistically below the U.S. rate (p < 0.05). Index 100% is the national density per person present.

Is a low-density ZIP a place to open this kind of business? No. A low published count of day care can mean weak demand, no suitable space, residents shopping near work, or businesses with no paid employees that Census ZBP does not count. Each line is a question to check locally, not a recommendation.

Why is a state missing from this list? A state page exists only when at least one ZIP in the counties we cover clears the same test as the radius search. We do not publish an empty list. Coverage is those counties, not the whole state.

← All states for day care  ·  Day care in Texas (county totals)  ·  Search by radius

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.