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Orange County, NY — Hotels Saturation

How many hotels exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 52 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Hotels · Motels · Motor inns. Counted together because official statistics use one 721110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.54× the U.S. rate (between 0.54× and 1.74× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 46 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 39 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Orange County hotels — 54–174% of the U.S. rate

35 hotels are counted in Orange County — 0.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 54% of the U.S. rate of 1.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 18% between 2015 and 2023 (22 → 26). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 10941 (Middletown), 12553 (New Windsor), 12550 (Newburgh) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 10950 (Monroe), 10940 (Middletown), 10924 (Goshen).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 55 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Orange County sits at 54% of the U.S. rate for hotels. 39 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 54% and 174% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 10941 and 12553; the lowest measured density is in 10950 and 10940.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing hotels and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Hotels
35–127
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (46 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.54×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
55
2023 — $26M annual payroll
Residents
406,298
45 ZIPs with data
Workers
127,315
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
411,767
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.7%
+10,770 people
Net migration 2024
+804
international +2,458, domestic −1,654
Jobs located here
144,658
LODES 2022, −0.5% since 2019

Orange County had an estimated 411,767 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.7% more than in 2020 (+10,770). In the latest year it gained 3,340 people: births minus deaths +2,519, international migration +2,458, domestic migration −1,654. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

144,658 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−0.5% since 2019), and 175,102 employed residents lived there (+1.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
10950 Monroe
+33.7%
10987 Tuxedo Park
+29.4%
10928 Highland Falls
+22.3%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
12543 Maybrook
−9.8%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes hotels only combined with other traveler accommodation (NAICS 7211), so a hotels-and-motels-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more hotels in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 18% since 2015

Number of hotels in Orange County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

22
2015
26
2018
26
2020
26
2021
26
2022
26
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
10941 Middletown
228%
12553 New Windsor
157%
12550 Newburgh
142%
10924 Goshen
131%
10940 Middletown
34%
10950 Monroe
28%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
10950 Monroe
28%
10940 Middletown
34%
10924 Goshen
131%
12550 Newburgh
142%
12553 New Windsor
157%
10941 Middletown
228%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few hotels may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersHotelsIndex
10917Central Valley Employment hub 1,9234,579 0–2 —
10953Mountainville Destination 22319 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = hotels per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersHotels Per 10kIndexStatus
10941Middletown 14,4229,258 6 3.1 228% High density
12553New Windsor 27,3849,913 7 2.2 157% High density
12550Newburgh 55,15222,367 13 2.0 142% Above average
10924Goshen 13,7205,727 3 1.8 131% Above average
10940Middletown 53,61120,033 3 0.5 34% Far below average
10950Monroe 68,13617,536 3 0.4 28% Far below average
10912Bellvale —4 0–2 — — Not published
10914Blooming Grove 1,205100 0–2 — — Not published
10915Bullville 073 0–2 — — Not published
10916Campbell Hall 4,238993 0–2 — — Not published
10917Central Valley 1,9234,579 0–2 — — Not published
10918Chester 12,0695,458 0–2 — — Not published
10919Circleville 1,551204 0–2 — — Not published
10921Florida 4,2311,591 0–2 — — Not published
10922Fort Montgomery 1,403160 0–2 — — Not published
10925Greenwood Lake 4,313434 0–2 — — Not published
10926Harriman 3,4161,087 0–2 — — Not published
10928Highland Falls 5,071504 0–2 — — Not published
10930Highland Mills 9,569729 0–2 — — Not published
10932Howells 137 0–2 — — Not published
10933Johnson 1176 0–2 — — Not published
10949Monroe —5 0–2 — — Not published
10953Mountainville 22319 0–2 — — Not published
10958New Hampton 3,0541,527 0–2 — — Not published
10963Otisville 3,842166 0–2 — — Not published
10969Pine Island 1,150325 0–2 — — Not published
10973Slate Hill 2,358434 0–2 — — Not published
10975Southfields 24647 0–2 — — Not published
10979Sterling Forest 222275 0–2 — — Not published
10981Sugar Loaf —104 0–2 — — Not published
10985Thompson Ridge 1725 0–2 — — Not published
10987Tuxedo Park 4,411523 0–2 — — Not published
10988Unionville 69546 0–2 — — Not published
10990Warwick 20,3683,807 0–2 — — Not published
10992Washingtonville 9,8431,456 0–2 — — Not published
10996West Point 6,349981 0–2 — — Not published
10998Westtown 3,889111 0–2 — — Not published
12518Cornwall 6,1141,272 0–2 — — Not published
12520Cornwall On Hudson 3,081300 0–2 — — Not published
12543Maybrook 3,190621 0–2 — — Not published
12549Montgomery 10,7456,783 0–2 — — Not published
12551Newburgh —183 0–2 — — Not published
12552Newburgh —42 0–2 — — Not published
12566Pine Bush 10,2691,527 0–2 — — Not published
12575Rock Tavern 1,600737 0–2 — — Not published
12577Salisbury Mills 1,942166 0–2 — — Not published
12584Vails Gate —943 0–2 — — Not published
12586Walden 12,9711,656 0–2 — — Not published
12729Cuddebackville 1,203442 0–2 — — Not published
12746Huguenot 778174 0–2 — — Not published
12771Port Jervis 14,0492,809 0–2 — — Not published
12780Sparrow Bush 2,346100 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Newburgh

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Newburgh retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Newburgh retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Newburgh retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Orange County and hotels

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 721110 — hotels (except casino hotels) and motels. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 55 establishments and $26M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.38 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.