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Jefferson County, KY — Hotels Saturation

How many hotels exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 55 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Hotels · Motels · Motor inns. Counted together because official statistics use one 721110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.86× the U.S. rate (between 0.86× and 1.19× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 42 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 24 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Jefferson County hotels — 86–119% of the U.S. rate

123 hotels are counted in Jefferson County — 1.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 86% of the U.S. rate of 1.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 22% between 2015 and 2023 (93 → 113). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 40299 (Louisville), 40222 (Louisville), 40241 (Louisville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 40220 (Louisville), 40219 (Louisville), 40216 (Louisville).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 132 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Jefferson County sits at 86% of the U.S. rate for hotels. 24 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 86% and 119% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 40299 and 40222; the lowest measured density is in 40220 and 40219.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing hotels and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Hotels
123–207
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (42 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.86×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
132
2023 — $138M annual payroll
Residents
809,701
37 ZIPs with data
Workers
459,852
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
793,881
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.4%
+10,985 people
Net migration 2024
+9,201
international +13,807, domestic −4,606
Jobs located here
490,757
LODES 2022, +0.7% since 2019

Jefferson County had an estimated 793,881 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.4% more than in 2020 (+10,985). In the latest year it gained 10,500 people: births minus deaths +1,325, international migration +13,807, domestic migration −4,606. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

490,757 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.7% since 2019), and 363,460 employed residents lived there (−1.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
40245 Louisville
+15.4%
40243 Louisville
+14.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes hotels only combined with other traveler accommodation (NAICS 7211), so a hotels-and-motels-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more hotels in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 22% since 2015

Number of hotels in Jefferson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

93
2015
108
2018
114
2020
115
2021
124
2022
113
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
40299 Louisville
220%
40222 Louisville
184%
40241 Louisville
174%
40245 Louisville
150%
40207 Louisville
70%
40218 Louisville
66%
40223 Louisville
66%
40216 Louisville
59%
40219 Louisville
58%
40220 Louisville
55%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
40220 Louisville
55%
40219 Louisville
58%
40216 Louisville
59%
40223 Louisville
66%
40218 Louisville
66%
40207 Louisville
70%
40245 Louisville
150%
40241 Louisville
174%
40222 Louisville
184%
40299 Louisville
220%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few hotels may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersHotelsIndex
40209Louisville Employment hub 6395,515 15 3199%
40202Louisville Employment hub 7,26152,725 25 539%
40213Louisville Employment hub 16,05451,794 13 224%
40280Louisville Employment hub 182843 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = hotels per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersHotels Per 10kIndexStatus
40209Louisville 6395,515 15 44.2 3199% Very high density
40202Louisville 7,26152,725 25 7.4 539% Very high density
40213Louisville 16,05451,794 13 3.1 224% High density
40299Louisville 42,20740,713 19 3.0 220% High density
40222Louisville 21,47020,053 8 2.5 184% High density
40241Louisville 30,69621,693 10 2.4 174% High density
40245Louisville 39,83517,109 10 2.1 150% Above average
40207Louisville 28,90324,457 4 1.0 70% Below average
40218Louisville 33,73619,818 4 0.9 66% Below average
40223Louisville 22,79841,958 4 0.9 66% Below average
40216Louisville 44,04710,317 4 0.8 59% Below average
40219Louisville 39,90919,727 4 0.8 58% Below average
40220Louisville 35,0789,424 3 0.8 55% Below average
40018Eastwood —55 0–2 — — Not published
40023Fisherville 6,870477 0–2 — — Not published
40025Glenview 56515 0–2 — — Not published
40027Harrods Creek —85 0–2 — — Not published
40041Masonic Home 564345 0–2 — — Not published
40059Prospect 20,8923,862 0–2 — — Not published
40118Fairdale 10,6971,313 0–2 — — Not published
40201Louisville —270 0–2 — — Not published
40203Louisville 17,7428,514 0–2 — — Not published
40204Louisville 14,0347,104 0–2 — — Not published
40205Louisville 24,6649,094 0–2 — — Not published
40206Louisville 20,16113,222 0–2 — — Not published
40208Louisville 15,6055,529 0–2 — — Not published
40210Louisville 13,5184,456 0–2 — — Not published
40211Louisville 20,4074,888 0–2 — — Not published
40212Louisville 14,6611,319 0–2 — — Not published
40214Louisville 45,40511,903 0–2 — — Not published
40215Louisville 20,5321,876 0–2 — — Not published
40217Louisville 11,6635,685 0–2 — — Not published
40221Louisville 037 0–2 — — Not published
40225Louisville —10,383 0–2 — — Not published
40228Louisville 18,0853,765 0–2 — — Not published
40229Louisville 41,2998,463 0–2 — — Not published
40232Louisville —1,029 0–2 — — Not published
40233Louisville —189 0–2 — — Not published
40242Louisville 11,1681,361 0–2 — — Not published
40243Louisville 12,0028,262 0–2 — — Not published
40250Louisville —45 0–2 — — Not published
40252Louisville —24 0–2 — — Not published
40253Louisville —90 0–2 — — Not published
40255Louisville —9 0–2 — — Not published
40256Louisville —102 0–2 — — Not published
40257Louisville —72 0–2 — — Not published
40258Louisville 26,84112,415 0–2 — — Not published
40259Louisville —264 0–2 — — Not published
40268Louisville —18 0–2 — — Not published
40269Louisville —98 0–2 — — Not published
40270Louisville —107 0–2 — — Not published
40272Louisville 38,2894,867 0–2 — — Not published
40280Louisville 182843 0–2 — — Not published
40291Louisville 41,2224,971 0–2 — — Not published
40292Louisville —489 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Louisville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Louisville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Louisville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Louisville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Jefferson County and hotels

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 721110 — hotels (except casino hotels) and motels. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 132 establishments and $138M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.38 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.