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San Francisco County, CA — Hotels Saturation

How many hotels exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 38 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Hotels · Motels · Motor inns. Counted together because official statistics use one 721110 code.

Measured density: High density — 1.60× the U.S. rate (between 1.60× and 1.73× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 22 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 11 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

High density   San Francisco County hotels — 160–173% of the U.S. rate

264 hotels are counted in San Francisco County — 2.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 160% of the U.S. rate of 1.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (265 → 258).

Measured supply density is highest in 94102 (San Francisco), 94123 (San Francisco), 94133 (San Francisco) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 94110 (San Francisco), 94116 (San Francisco), 94121 (San Francisco).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 273 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: San Francisco County sits at 160% of the U.S. rate for hotels. 11 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 160% and 173% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 94102 and 94123; the lowest measured density is in 94110 and 94116.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing hotels and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Hotels
264–308
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (22 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.4
per 10,000 present
County index
1.60×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
273
2023 — $955M annual payroll
Residents
830,479
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
727,248
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
827,526
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−5.4%
−47,300 people
Net migration 2024
+7,552
international +13,146, domestic −5,594
Jobs located here
748,126
LODES 2022, −3.0% since 2019

San Francisco County had an estimated 827,526 residents on July 1, 2024 — 5.4% fewer than in 2020 (−47,300). In the latest year it gained 8,375 people: births minus deaths +818, international migration +13,146, domestic migration −5,594. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

748,126 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.0% since 2019), and 438,358 employed residents lived there (−9.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
94158 San Francisco
+33.8%
94102 San Francisco
+14.6%
94103 San Francisco
+13.9%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
94108 San Francisco
−20.1%
94117 San Francisco
−18.9%
94132 San Francisco
−14.6%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes hotels only combined with other traveler accommodation (NAICS 7211), so a hotels-and-motels-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more hotels in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 3% since 2015

Number of hotels in San Francisco County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

265
2015
287
2018
269
2020
258
2021
261
2022
258
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
94102 San Francisco
800%
94123 San Francisco
799%
94133 San Francisco
505%
94109 San Francisco
408%
94114 San Francisco
152%
94117 San Francisco
86%
94115 San Francisco
69%
94118 San Francisco
65%
94121 San Francisco
49%
94116 San Francisco
47%
94110 San Francisco
27%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
94110 San Francisco
27%
94116 San Francisco
47%
94121 San Francisco
49%
94118 San Francisco
65%
94115 San Francisco
69%
94117 San Francisco
86%
94114 San Francisco
152%
94109 San Francisco
408%
94133 San Francisco
505%
94123 San Francisco
799%
94102 San Francisco
800%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few hotels may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersHotelsIndex
94108San Francisco Employment hub 11,30527,567 27 779%
94103San Francisco Employment hub 34,96486,959 36 332%
94104San Francisco Destination 49882,128 8 139%
94111San Francisco Destination 4,57982,356 8 127%
94105San Francisco Employment hub 13,861127,563 5 47%
94107San Francisco Employment hub 31,82377,106 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = hotels per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersHotels Per 10kIndexStatus
94102San Francisco 35,97631,203 57 11.1 800% Very high density
94123San Francisco 24,0549,873 32 11.0 799% Very high density
94108San Francisco 11,30527,567 27 10.8 779% Very high density
94133San Francisco 23,80418,304 23 7.0 505% Very high density
94109San Francisco 54,55325,710 38 5.6 408% Very high density
94103San Francisco 34,96486,959 36 4.6 332% Very high density
94114San Francisco 33,02010,046 8 2.1 152% High density
94104San Francisco 49882,128 8 1.9 139% Above average
94111San Francisco 4,57982,356 8 1.7 127% Above average
94117San Francisco 36,19812,122 5 1.2 86% Below average
94115San Francisco 32,62918,448 4 1.0 69% Below average
94118San Francisco 39,13011,269 4 0.9 65% Below average
94121San Francisco 41,9955,144 3 0.7 49% Far below average
94105San Francisco 13,861127,563 5 0.6 47% Far below average
94116San Francisco 43,7915,596 3 0.6 47% Far below average
94110San Francisco 66,86528,989 3 0.4 27% Far below average
94107San Francisco 31,82377,106 0–2 — — Not published
94112San Francisco 79,2776,382 0–2 — — Not published
94119San Francisco —19 0–2 — — Not published
94120San Francisco —288 0–2 — — Not published
94122San Francisco 55,8197,566 0–2 — — Not published
94124San Francisco 34,47520,546 0–2 — — Not published
94125San Francisco —72 0–2 — — Not published
94126San Francisco —101 0–2 — — Not published
94127San Francisco 20,2882,758 0–2 — — Not published
94129San Francisco 3,8366,891 0–2 — — Not published
94130San Francisco 2,429780 0–2 — — Not published
94131San Francisco 28,5042,519 0–2 — — Not published
94132San Francisco 26,8595,704 0–2 — — Not published
94134San Francisco 38,6333,956 0–2 — — Not published
94139San Francisco —78 0–2 — — Not published
94141San Francisco —53 0–2 — — Not published
94143San Francisco —13,141 0–2 — — Not published
94147San Francisco —20 0–2 — — Not published
94158San Francisco 11,3149,763 0–2 — — Not published
94159San Francisco —4 0–2 — — Not published
94164San Francisco —34 0–2 — — Not published
94188San Francisco 031 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in San Francisco

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse San Francisco retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse San Francisco retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse San Francisco retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow San Francisco County and hotels

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 721110 — hotels (except casino hotels) and motels. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 273 establishments and $955M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.38 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.