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Collin County, TX — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 30 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Well below average — 0.47× the U.S. rate (between 0.47× and 0.58× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 15 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 12 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Well below the U.S. rate   Collin County grocery stores — 47–58% of the U.S. rate

96 grocery stores are counted in Collin County — 0.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 47% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 11% between 2015 and 2023 (74 → 82). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 75069 (Mckinney), 75074 (Plano), 75075 (Plano) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 75071 (Mckinney), 75013 (Allen), 75035 (Frisco).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 127 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Collin County sits at 47% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 12 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 47% and 58% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 75069 and 75074; the lowest measured density is in 75071 and 75013.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
96–126
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (15 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
0.47×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
127
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,115,497
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
422,851
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,254,658
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+16.6%
+179,007 people
Net migration 2024
+39,663
international +20,237, domestic +19,426
Jobs located here
552,309
LODES 2022, +14.7% since 2019

Collin County had an estimated 1,254,658 residents on July 1, 2024 — 16.6% more than in 2020 (+179,007). In the latest year it gained 46,694 people: births minus deaths +7,142, international migration +20,237, domestic migration +19,426. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

552,309 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+14.7% since 2019), and 575,179 employed residents lived there (+13.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75009 Celina
+143.2%
75173 Nevada
+141.9%
75454 Melissa
+119.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75070 Mckinney
−38.6%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 11% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Collin County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

74
2015
75
2018
76
2020
74
2021
75
2022
82
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75069 Mckinney
110%
75074 Plano
101%
75075 Plano
100%
75023 Plano
82%
75002 Allen
71%
75093 Plano
60%
75025 Plano
58%
75070 Mckinney
58%
75287 Dallas
56%
75252 Dallas
55%
75098 Wylie
51%
75035 Frisco
47%
75013 Allen
43%
75071 Mckinney
32%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75071 Mckinney
32%
75013 Allen
43%
75035 Frisco
47%
75098 Wylie
51%
75252 Dallas
55%
75287 Dallas
56%
75070 Mckinney
58%
75025 Plano
58%
75093 Plano
60%
75002 Allen
71%
75023 Plano
82%
75075 Plano
100%
75074 Plano
101%
75069 Mckinney
110%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
75024Plano Employment hub 45,652115,526 4 25%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
75069Mckinney 40,03225,028 9 1.7 110% Above average
75074Plano 53,83131,893 11 1.6 101% Above average
75075Plano 38,13526,491 8 1.6 100% Above average
75023Plano 49,22910,825 7 1.3 82% Below average
75002Allen 75,05713,181 9 1.1 71% Below average
75093Plano 47,95454,983 7 0.9 60% Below average
75025Plano 53,2024,878 5 0.9 58% Below average
75070Mckinney 64,07827,990 7 0.9 58% Below average
75287Dallas 53,9596,439 5 0.9 56% Below average
75252Dallas 28,61812,925 3 0.9 55% Below average
75098Wylie 69,32511,468 6 0.8 51% Below average
75035Frisco 89,68211,685 7 0.7 47% Far below average
75013Allen 49,79620,674 4 0.7 43% Far below average
75071Mckinney 72,96416,795 4 0.5 32% Far below average
75024Plano 45,652115,526 4 0.4 25% Far below average
75009Celina 34,2602,823 0–2 — — Not published
75026Plano —310 0–2 — — Not published
75072Mckinney 55,0872,224 0–2 — — Not published
75078Prosper 53,01111,016 0–2 — — Not published
75086Plano —223 0–2 — — Not published
75094Plano 24,2004,306 0–2 — — Not published
75097Weston —15 0–2 — — Not published
75164Josephine 885155 0–2 — — Not published
75166Lavon 6,989549 0–2 — — Not published
75173Nevada 10,664795 0–2 — — Not published
75407Princeton 34,1712,283 0–2 — — Not published
75409Anna 27,1313,004 0–2 — — Not published
75424Blue Ridge 3,790227 0–2 — — Not published
75442Farmersville 10,8051,761 0–2 — — Not published
75454Melissa 22,9902,927 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Plano

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Plano retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Plano retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Plano retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Collin County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 127 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.