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Wake County, NC — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 53 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.93× the U.S. rate (between 0.93× and 1.01× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 29 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 10 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Wake County grocery stores — 93–101% of the U.S. rate

221 grocery stores are counted in Wake County — 1.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 93% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 22% between 2015 and 2023 (177 → 216). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 27511 (Cary), 27519 (Cary), 27604 (Raleigh) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 27540 (Holly Springs), 27587 (Wake Forest), 27606 (Raleigh).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 220 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Wake County sits at 93% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 10 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 93% and 101% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 27511 and 27519; the lowest measured density is in 27540 and 27587.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
221–279
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (29 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
0.93×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
220
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,254,117
34 ZIPs with data
Workers
563,740
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,232,444
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+9.0%
+101,750 people
Net migration 2024
+22,574
international +12,704, domestic +9,870
Jobs located here
691,802
LODES 2022, +6.9% since 2019

Wake County had an estimated 1,232,444 residents on July 1, 2024 — 9.0% more than in 2020 (+101,750). In the latest year it gained 29,050 people: births minus deaths +6,394, international migration +12,704, domestic migration +9,870. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

691,802 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.9% since 2019), and 553,112 employed residents lived there (+5.8% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
27562 New Hill
+163.3%
27523 Apex
+62.9%
27591 Wendell
+45.1%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 22% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Wake County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

177
2015
191
2018
203
2020
210
2021
209
2022
216
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27511 Cary
194%
27519 Cary
174%
27604 Raleigh
160%
27502 Apex
141%
27615 Raleigh
131%
27609 Raleigh
125%
27603 Raleigh
125%
27612 Raleigh
115%
27617 Raleigh
105%
27591 Wendell
101%
27526 Fuquay Varina
95%
27513 Cary
94%
27610 Raleigh
90%
27560 Morrisville
90%
27616 Raleigh
87%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27540 Holly Springs
60%
27587 Wake Forest
62%
27606 Raleigh
72%
27529 Garner
77%
27597 Zebulon
78%
27613 Raleigh
78%
27614 Raleigh
83%
27607 Raleigh
85%
27518 Cary
87%
27616 Raleigh
87%
27560 Morrisville
90%
27610 Raleigh
90%
27513 Cary
94%
27526 Fuquay Varina
95%
27591 Wendell
101%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
27601Raleigh Employment hub 9,90522,797 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
27511Cary 33,22126,347 14 3.0 194% High density
27519Cary 69,8368,340 20 2.7 174% High density
27604Raleigh 44,51423,469 14 2.5 160% High density
27502Apex 48,53012,627 12 2.2 141% Above average
27615Raleigh 46,01926,074 12 2.0 131% Above average
27609Raleigh 35,57342,100 11 1.9 125% Above average
27603Raleigh 53,97226,039 13 1.9 125% Above average
27612Raleigh 41,95227,616 10 1.8 115% Above average
27617Raleigh 20,23720,564 5 1.6 105% Above average
27591Wendell 29,8384,172 5 1.6 101% Above average
27526Fuquay Varina 61,58812,073 10 1.5 95% Below average
27513Cary 46,97928,672 9 1.5 94% Below average
27610Raleigh 81,41922,246 13 1.4 90% Below average
27560Morrisville 40,79261,760 10 1.4 90% Below average
27616Raleigh 63,52020,031 10 1.4 87% Below average
27518Cary 19,73519,913 4 1.3 87% Below average
27607Raleigh 28,43833,657 6 1.3 85% Below average
27614Raleigh 34,2269,499 5 1.3 83% Below average
27613Raleigh 45,2358,191 6 1.2 78% Below average
27597Zebulon 30,1845,823 4 1.2 78% Below average
27529Garner 55,24223,014 8 1.2 77% Below average
27606Raleigh 45,44415,821 6 1.1 72% Below average
27587Wake Forest 82,88620,587 9 1.0 62% Below average
27540Holly Springs 47,77111,754 5 0.9 60% Below average
27512Cary —136 0–2 — — Not published
27523Apex 20,2693,140 0–2 — — Not published
27539Apex 25,8785,391 0–2 — — Not published
27545Knightdale 34,1638,145 0–2 — — Not published
27562New Hill 5,6591,049 0–2 — — Not published
27571Rolesville 9,0951,453 0–2 — — Not published
27588Wake Forest —269 0–2 — — Not published
27592Willow Spring 21,114883 0–2 — — Not published
27601Raleigh 9,90522,797 0–2 — — Not published
27602Raleigh —177 0–2 — — Not published
27605Raleigh 6,2866,287 0–2 — — Not published
27608Raleigh 12,6044,142 0–2 — — Not published
27611Raleigh —1,606 0–2 — — Not published
27619Raleigh —176 0–2 — — Not published
27620Raleigh —14 0–2 — — Not published
27622Raleigh —534 0–2 — — Not published
27623Raleigh —1,413 0–2 — — Not published
27624Raleigh —362 0–2 — — Not published
27627Raleigh —118 0–2 — — Not published
27628Raleigh —44 0–2 — — Not published
27629Raleigh —34 0–2 — — Not published
27636Raleigh —81 0–2 — — Not published
27650Raleigh —17 0–2 — — Not published
27658Raleigh —21 0–2 — — Not published
27661Raleigh —15 0–2 — — Not published
27668Raleigh —194 0–2 — — Not published
27675Raleigh —133 0–2 — — Not published
27695Raleigh 1,99364 0–2 — — Not published
27699Raleigh —51 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Morrisville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Morrisville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Morrisville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Morrisville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Wake County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 220 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.