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Guilford County, NC — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 40 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.01× the U.S. rate (between 1.01× and 1.24× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 25 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 13 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Guilford County grocery stores — 101–124% of the U.S. rate

115 grocery stores are counted in Guilford County — 1.6 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 101% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (103 → 106).

Measured supply density is highest in 27260 (High Point), 27301 (Mc Leansville), 27407 (Greensboro) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 27265 (High Point), 27401 (Greensboro), 27403 (Greensboro).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 105 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Guilford County sits at 101% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 13 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 101% and 124% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 27260 and 27301; the lowest measured density is in 27265 and 27401.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
115–165
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (25 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.6
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
1.01×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
105
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
577,982
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
264,336
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
558,816
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+3.7%
+20,055 people
Net migration 2024
+5,059
international +4,958, domestic +101
Jobs located here
290,780
LODES 2022, +1.7% since 2019

Guilford County had an estimated 558,816 residents on July 1, 2024 — 3.7% more than in 2020 (+20,055). In the latest year it gained 5,936 people: births minus deaths +851, international migration +4,958, domestic migration +101. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

290,780 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+1.7% since 2019), and 236,719 employed residents lived there (+1.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 3% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Guilford County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

103
2015
104
2018
110
2020
110
2021
107
2022
106
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27260 High Point
370%
27301 Mc Leansville
308%
27407 Greensboro
203%
27408 Greensboro
175%
27263 High Point
158%
27410 Greensboro
113%
27282 Jamestown
109%
27262 High Point
92%
27405 Greensboro
84%
27406 Greensboro
81%
27455 Greensboro
81%
27403 Greensboro
73%
27401 Greensboro
57%
27265 High Point
56%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27265 High Point
56%
27401 Greensboro
57%
27403 Greensboro
73%
27455 Greensboro
81%
27406 Greensboro
81%
27405 Greensboro
84%
27262 High Point
92%
27282 Jamestown
109%
27410 Greensboro
113%
27263 High Point
158%
27408 Greensboro
175%
27407 Greensboro
203%
27301 Mc Leansville
308%
27260 High Point
370%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
27409Greensboro Employment hub 17,55136,857 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
27260High Point 25,29911,975 18 5.8 370% Very high density
27301Mc Leansville 11,0672,921 6 4.8 308% Very high density
27407Greensboro 51,69729,755 21 3.2 203% High density
27408Greensboro 16,51918,284 7 2.7 175% High density
27263High Point 21,44613,995 7 2.5 158% High density
27410Greensboro 54,92127,326 12 1.7 113% Above average
27282Jamestown 15,9273,504 3 1.7 109% Above average
27262High Point 28,35313,525 5 1.4 92% Below average
27405Greensboro 54,30313,645 8 1.3 84% Below average
27406Greensboro 60,65120,766 9 1.3 81% Below average
27455Greensboro 29,3025,091 4 1.3 81% Below average
27403Greensboro 22,5577,970 3 1.1 73% Below average
27401Greensboro 21,92023,438 3 0.9 57% Below average
27265High Point 48,79816,364 5 0.9 56% Below average
27214Browns Summit 14,7663,320 0–2 — — Not published
27233Climax 3,178522 0–2 — — Not published
27235Colfax 5,2373,297 0–2 — — Not published
27249Gibsonville 13,7411,059 0–2 — — Not published
27261High Point —1,442 0–2 — — Not published
27264High Point —12 0–2 — — Not published
27283Julian 3,366200 0–2 — — Not published
27310Oak Ridge 8,6221,653 0–2 — — Not published
27313Pleasant Garden 7,781582 0–2 — — Not published
27357Stokesdale 9,9221,379 0–2 — — Not published
27358Summerfield 15,6851,952 0–2 — — Not published
27377Whitsett 10,8854,514 0–2 — — Not published
27402Greensboro —400 0–2 — — Not published
27404Greensboro —157 0–2 — — Not published
27409Greensboro 17,55136,857 0–2 — — Not published
27411Greensboro 1,433342 0–2 — — Not published
27412Greensboro 3,055100 0–2 — — Not published
27415Greensboro —85 0–2 — — Not published
27416Greensboro —192 0–2 — — Not published
27417Greensboro —165 0–2 — — Not published
27419Greensboro —497 0–2 — — Not published
27420Greensboro —524 4 — — Not published
27425Greensboro —6 0–2 — — Not published
27427Greensboro —225 0–2 — — Not published
27429Greensboro —36 0–2 — — Not published
27438Greensboro —438 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Greensboro

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Greensboro retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Greensboro retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Greensboro retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Guilford County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 105 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.