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Sacramento County, CA — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 65 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.10× the U.S. rate (between 1.10× and 1.22× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 30 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 18 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Sacramento County grocery stores — 110–122% of the U.S. rate

317 grocery stores are counted in Sacramento County — 1.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 110% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 24% between 2015 and 2023 (246 → 304). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 95820 (Sacramento), 95821 (Sacramento), 95823 (Sacramento) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 95757 (Elk Grove), 95624 (Elk Grove), 95621 (Citrus Heights).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 316 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Sacramento County sits at 110% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 18 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 110% and 122% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 95820 and 95821; the lowest measured density is in 95757 and 95624.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
317–377
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (30 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
1.10×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
316
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,596,140
53 ZIPs with data
Workers
531,159
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,611,231
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.5%
+24,504 people
Net migration 2024
+11,818
international +17,677, domestic −5,859
Jobs located here
712,832
LODES 2022, +4.2% since 2019

Sacramento County had an estimated 1,611,231 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.5% more than in 2020 (+24,504). In the latest year it gained 16,725 people: births minus deaths +4,923, international migration +17,677, domestic migration −5,859. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

712,832 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+4.2% since 2019), and 704,205 employed residents lived there (+4.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
95742 Rancho Cordova
+42.5%
95811 Sacramento
+40.0%
95834 Sacramento
+20.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 24% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Sacramento County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

246
2015
261
2018
271
2020
288
2021
304
2022
304
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
95820 Sacramento
299%
95821 Sacramento
256%
95823 Sacramento
221%
95825 Sacramento
213%
95818 Sacramento
202%
95824 Sacramento
199%
95660 North Highlands
198%
95827 Sacramento
160%
95628 Fair Oaks
159%
95834 Sacramento
155%
95842 Sacramento
144%
95815 Sacramento
137%
95819 Sacramento
136%
95833 Sacramento
133%
95841 Sacramento
131%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
95757 Elk Grove
43%
95624 Elk Grove
52%
95621 Citrus Heights
58%
95843 Antelope
65%
95826 Sacramento
65%
95831 Sacramento
70%
95828 Sacramento
72%
95630 Folsom
84%
95835 Sacramento
85%
95838 Sacramento
86%
95758 Elk Grove
92%
95632 Galt
93%
95864 Sacramento
95%
95608 Carmichael
95%
95670 Rancho Cordova
101%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
95814Sacramento Employment hub 12,35527,245 3 74%
95652Mcclellan Employment hub 1,4868,141 0–2 —
95837Sacramento Destination 3176,430 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
95820Sacramento 35,4106,498 18 4.7 299% Very high density
95821Sacramento 38,0649,351 17 4.0 256% Very high density
95823Sacramento 83,60718,749 32 3.4 221% High density
95825Sacramento 36,15630,508 17 3.3 213% High density
95818Sacramento 22,5815,794 8 3.1 202% High density
95824Sacramento 33,0834,968 11 3.1 199% High density
95660North Highlands 35,4517,028 12 3.1 198% High density
95827Sacramento 21,74212,961 7 2.5 160% High density
95628Fair Oaks 44,8557,296 12 2.5 159% High density
95834Sacramento 36,24526,787 12 2.4 155% High density
95842Sacramento 34,0343,560 8 2.2 144% Above average
95815Sacramento 26,65821,756 8 2.1 137% Above average
95819Sacramento 19,7377,936 5 2.1 136% Above average
95833Sacramento 42,26512,173 10 2.1 133% Above average
95841Sacramento 20,5008,071 5 2.0 131% Above average
95822Sacramento 46,5695,958 10 2.0 130% Above average
95610Citrus Heights 46,92810,833 10 1.9 123% Above average
95816Sacramento 19,22516,329 5 1.8 117% Above average
95673Rio Linda 16,5122,263 3 1.7 109% Above average
95670Rancho Cordova 58,81934,817 12 1.6 101% Above average
95608Carmichael 61,44013,099 10 1.5 95% Below average
95864Sacramento 25,5003,411 4 1.5 95% Below average
95632Galt 32,4934,116 5 1.4 93% Below average
95758Elk Grove 65,72521,861 11 1.4 92% Below average
95838Sacramento 40,6778,409 6 1.3 86% Below average
95835Sacramento 42,0046,273 6 1.3 85% Below average
95630Folsom 79,48440,570 13 1.3 84% Below average
95814Sacramento 12,35527,245 3 1.2 74% Below average
95828Sacramento 61,68618,645 8 1.1 72% Below average
95831Sacramento 43,5455,181 5 1.1 70% Below average
95826Sacramento 40,16518,300 5 1.0 65% Below average
95843Antelope 47,6953,335 5 1.0 65% Below average
95621Citrus Heights 42,4424,313 4 0.9 58% Below average
95624Elk Grove 67,63014,344 6 0.8 52% Below average
95757Elk Grove 56,7647,435 4 0.7 43% Far below average
94203Sacramento —1,583 0–2 — — Not published
94208Sacramento —60 0–2 — — Not published
94230Sacramento —113 0–2 — — Not published
95609Carmichael —56 0–2 — — Not published
95611Citrus Heights —363 0–2 — — Not published
95615Courtland 91864 0–2 — — Not published
95626Elverta 5,595273 0–2 — — Not published
95638Herald 2,517150 0–2 — — Not published
95641Isleton 2,214446 0–2 — — Not published
95652Mcclellan 1,4868,141 0–2 — — Not published
95655Mather 4,9014,381 0–2 — — Not published
95662Orangevale 32,6004,470 0–2 — — Not published
95671Represa 4,43229 0–2 — — Not published
95683Sloughhouse 6,515899 0–2 — — Not published
95690Walnut Grove 2,431298 0–2 — — Not published
95693Wilton 7,961710 0–2 — — Not published
95741Rancho Cordova —130 0–2 — — Not published
95742Rancho Cordova 17,76815,679 0–2 — — Not published
95759Elk Grove —91 0–2 — — Not published
95763Folsom —49 0–2 — — Not published
95811Sacramento 8,81016,766 0–2 — — Not published
95812Sacramento —127 0–2 — — Not published
95813Sacramento —79 0–2 — — Not published
95817Sacramento 14,21915,409 0–2 — — Not published
95829Sacramento 31,8654,112 0–2 — — Not published
95830Sacramento 695194 0–2 — — Not published
95832Sacramento 12,8502,535 0–2 — — Not published
95837Sacramento 3176,430 0–2 — — Not published
95860Sacramento —11 0–2 — — Not published
95865Sacramento —214 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Folsom

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Folsom retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Folsom retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Folsom retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Sacramento County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

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Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 316 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.