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Polk County, FL — Gas stations Saturation

How many gas stations exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 49 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Gas stations with a convenience store · Fuel + mart locations. Counted together because official statistics use one 447110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.99× the U.S. rate (between 0.99× and 1.08× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 22 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 10 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Polk County gas stations — 99–108% of the U.S. rate

216 gas stations are counted in Polk County — 2.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 99% of the U.S. rate of 2.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 4% between 2015 and 2023 (187 → 195). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 33841 (Fort Meade), 33815 (Lakeland), 33853 (Lake Wales) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 33811 (Lakeland), 33813 (Lakeland), 34759 (Kissimmee).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 219 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Polk County sits at 99% of the U.S. rate for gas stations. 10 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 99% and 108% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 33841 and 33815; the lowest measured density is in 33811 and 33813.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing gas stations and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Gas stations
216–260
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (22 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.99×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
219
2023 — $45M annual payroll
Residents
802,032
37 ZIPs with data
Workers
231,199
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
852,878
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+16.8%
+122,699 people
Net migration 2024
+27,766
international +8,021, domestic +19,745
Jobs located here
269,911
LODES 2022, +8.0% since 2019

Polk County had an estimated 852,878 residents on July 1, 2024 — 16.8% more than in 2020 (+122,699). In the latest year it gained 28,706 people: births minus deaths +1,006, international migration +8,021, domestic migration +19,745. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

269,911 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+8.0% since 2019), and 327,089 employed residents lived there (+11.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33896 Davenport
+129.4%
33837 Davenport
+54.7%
33844 Haines City
+39.7%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes gasoline stations only as a broader 2022 grouping (NAICS 4571) that also includes other fuel retailers, so a convenience-store-gas-station-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more gas stations in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 4% since 2015

Number of gas stations in Polk County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

187
2015
209
2018
207
2020
210
2021
197
2022
195
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33841 Fort Meade
297%
33815 Lakeland
234%
33853 Lake Wales
220%
33850 Lake Alfred
165%
33843 Frostproof
142%
33803 Lakeland
139%
33898 Lake Wales
131%
33896 Davenport
131%
33859 Lake Wales
121%
33880 Winter Haven
118%
33801 Lakeland
117%
33805 Lakeland
112%
33823 Auburndale
108%
33860 Mulberry
104%
33884 Winter Haven
104%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33811 Lakeland
39%
33813 Lakeland
57%
34759 Kissimmee
65%
33844 Haines City
69%
33881 Winter Haven
73%
33897 Davenport
74%
33812 Lakeland
74%
33809 Lakeland
82%
33837 Davenport
82%
33868 Polk City
88%
33830 Bartow
98%
33810 Lakeland
101%
33884 Winter Haven
104%
33860 Mulberry
104%
33823 Auburndale
108%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few gas stations may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGas stationsIndex
33835Bradley Employment hub 115504 0–2 —
33855Indian Lake Estates Employment hub 1584 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = gas stations per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGas stations Per 10kIndexStatus
33841Fort Meade 8,0051,000 6 7.1 297% Very high density
33815Lakeland 13,97511,620 11 5.6 234% High density
33853Lake Wales 12,6745,281 8 5.2 220% High density
33850Lake Alfred 9,757956 4 3.9 165% High density
33843Frostproof 11,2201,272 4 3.4 142% Above average
33803Lakeland 29,32114,197 12 3.3 139% Above average
33898Lake Wales 18,5271,559 6 3.1 131% Above average
33896Davenport 26,7314,696 9 3.1 131% Above average
33859Lake Wales 11,8244,334 4 2.9 121% Above average
33880Winter Haven 43,37113,576 14 2.8 118% Above average
33801Lakeland 35,39422,903 13 2.8 117% Above average
33805Lakeland 28,75118,025 10 2.6 112% Above average
33823Auburndale 41,77910,115 12 2.6 108% Above average
33860Mulberry 24,8926,767 7 2.5 104% Above average
33884Winter Haven 37,5616,249 10 2.5 104% Above average
33810Lakeland 55,1376,636 14 2.4 101% Above average
33830Bartow 33,7409,932 9 2.3 98% Below average
33868Polk City 13,8271,217 3 2.1 88% Below average
33837Davenport 47,3897,503 10 2.0 82% Below average
33809Lakeland 30,79710,318 7 1.9 82% Below average
33812Lakeland 16,1691,752 3 1.8 74% Below average
33897Davenport 30,1597,908 6 1.8 74% Below average
33881Winter Haven 40,80810,770 8 1.7 73% Below average
33844Haines City 51,2557,703 9 1.6 69% Below average
34759Kissimmee 44,5682,272 7 1.5 65% Below average
33813Lakeland 38,67411,834 6 1.3 57% Below average
33811Lakeland 29,47227,806 4 0.9 39% Far below average
33802Lakeland —996 0–2 — — Not published
33804Lakeland —316 0–2 — — Not published
33806Lakeland —178 0–2 — — Not published
33807Lakeland —191 0–2 — — Not published
33820Alturas —13 0–2 — — Not published
33827Babson Park 2,431393 0–2 — — Not published
33831Bartow —342 0–2 — — Not published
33835Bradley 115504 0–2 — — Not published
33836Davenport —118 0–2 — — Not published
33838Dundee 5,6881,173 0–2 — — Not published
33839Eagle Lake 4,561282 0–2 — — Not published
33840Eaton Park 074 0–2 — — Not published
33845Haines City —186 0–2 — — Not published
33846Highland City —162 0–2 — — Not published
33847Homeland 44231 0–2 — — Not published
33849Kathleen 85136 0–2 — — Not published
33851Lake Hamilton 1,212328 0–2 — — Not published
33854Lakeshore 78119 0–2 — — Not published
33855Indian Lake Estates 1584 0–2 — — Not published
33877Waverly 159148 0–2 — — Not published
33882Winter Haven —36 0–2 — — Not published
33883Winter Haven —38 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Lakeland

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Lakeland retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Lakeland retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Lakeland retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Polk County and gas stations

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 447110 — gasoline stations with convenience stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 219 establishments and $45M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.37 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.