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Merced County, CA — Gas stations Saturation

How many gas stations exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 20 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Gas stations with a convenience store · Fuel + mart locations. Counted together because official statistics use one 447110 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.67× the U.S. rate (between 0.67× and 1.00× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 13 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 12 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Merced County gas stations — 67–100% of the U.S. rate

50 gas stations are counted in Merced County — 1.6 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 67% of the U.S. rate of 2.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 9% between 2015 and 2023 (46 → 50). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 95322 (Gustine), 93620 (Dos Palos), 95340 (Merced) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 95341 (Merced), 95301 (Atwater), 95334 (Livingston).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 66 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Merced County sits at 67% of the U.S. rate for gas stations. 12 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 67% and 100% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 95322 and 93620; the lowest measured density is in 95341 and 95301.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing gas stations and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Gas stations
50–76
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (13 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.6
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.67×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
66
2023 — $18M annual payroll
Residents
288,279
19 ZIPs with data
Workers
48,681
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
296,774
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+4.9%
+13,811 people
Net migration 2024
+856
international +1,758, domestic −902
Jobs located here
77,144
LODES 2022, +0.5% since 2019

Merced County had an estimated 296,774 residents on July 1, 2024 — 4.9% more than in 2020 (+13,811). In the latest year it gained 2,372 people: births minus deaths +1,497, international migration +1,758, domestic migration −902. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

77,144 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.5% since 2019), and 110,906 employed residents lived there (+9.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
93635 Los Banos
+21.8%
95301 Atwater
+9.8%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes gasoline stations only as a broader 2022 grouping (NAICS 4571) that also includes other fuel retailers, so a convenience-store-gas-station-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more gas stations in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 9% since 2015

Number of gas stations in Merced County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

46
2015
43
2018
42
2020
41
2021
51
2022
50
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
95322 Gustine
243%
93620 Dos Palos
206%
95340 Merced
104%
93635 Los Banos
95%
95334 Livingston
85%
95301 Atwater
63%
95341 Merced
55%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
95341 Merced
55%
95301 Atwater
63%
95334 Livingston
85%
93635 Los Banos
95%
95340 Merced
104%
93620 Dos Palos
206%
95322 Gustine
243%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few gas stations may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = gas stations per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGas stations Per 10kIndexStatus
95322Gustine 9,5061,789 6 5.8 243% High density
93620Dos Palos 9,927646 5 4.9 206% High density
95340Merced 38,30312,291 11 2.5 104% Above average
93635Los Banos 50,1496,241 12 2.3 95% Below average
95334Livingston 17,3635,084 4 2.0 85% Below average
95301Atwater 43,0097,209 7 1.5 63% Below average
95341Merced 36,3853,471 5 1.3 55% Below average
93665South Dos Palos 1143 0–2 — — Not published
95303Ballico 784396 0–2 — — Not published
95312Cressey 23210 0–2 — — Not published
95315Delhi 13,598952 0–2 — — Not published
95317El Nido 82724 0–2 — — Not published
95324Hilmar 7,6362,452 0–2 — — Not published
95333Le Grand 2,963222 0–2 — — Not published
95344Merced —167 0–2 — — Not published
95348Merced 37,5407,008 0–2 — — Not published
95365Planada 3,963185 0–2 — — Not published
95369Snelling 74086 0–2 — — Not published
95374Stevinson 1,921146 0–2 — — Not published
95388Winton 13,319466 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Merced

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Merced retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Merced retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Merced retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Merced County and gas stations

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 447110 — gasoline stations with convenience stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 66 establishments and $18M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.37 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.