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Davidson County, TN — Fast food Saturation

How many fast food exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 42 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Fast food · Quick-service restaurants · Takeout & delivery counters · Pizza delivery · Sandwich & burger chains. Counted together because official statistics use one 722513 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.26× the U.S. rate (between 1.26× and 1.26× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 15 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 2 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Davidson County fast food — 126–126% of the U.S. rate

807 fast food are counted in Davidson County — 8.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 126% of the U.S. rate of 6.7.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 29% between 2015 and 2023 (620 → 800). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 37204 (Nashville), 37216 (Nashville), 37214 (Nashville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 37212 (Nashville), 37138 (Old Hickory), 37013 (Antioch).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 837 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Davidson County sits at 126% of the U.S. rate for fast food. 2 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 126% and 126% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 37204 and 37216; the lowest measured density is in 37212 and 37138.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing fast food and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Fast food
807–837
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (15 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
8.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.7
per 10,000 present
County index
1.26×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
837
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
727,851
28 ZIPs with data
Workers
461,146
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
729,505
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.9%
+13,410 people
Net migration 2024
+6,048
international +8,789, domestic −2,741
Jobs located here
569,622
LODES 2022, +5.4% since 2019

Davidson County had an estimated 729,505 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.9% more than in 2020 (+13,410). In the latest year it gained 10,413 people: births minus deaths +4,439, international migration +8,789, domestic migration −2,741. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

569,622 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.4% since 2019), and 345,239 employed residents lived there (−0.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
37203 Nashville
+42.1%
37208 Nashville
+16.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
185
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$13.8M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$75K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more fast food in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 29% since 2015

Number of fast food in Davidson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

620
2015
729
2018
736
2020
768
2021
796
2022
800
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
37204 Nashville
205%
37216 Nashville
188%
37214 Nashville
166%
37208 Nashville
166%
37076 Hermitage
152%
37209 Nashville
147%
37115 Madison
142%
37206 Nashville
142%
37217 Nashville
138%
37211 Nashville
133%
37215 Nashville
128%
37221 Nashville
127%
37210 Nashville
121%
37072 Goodlettsville
119%
37207 Nashville
94%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
37212 Nashville
54%
37138 Old Hickory
55%
37013 Antioch
64%
37218 Nashville
72%
37205 Nashville
74%
37080 Joelton
80%
37220 Nashville
93%
37207 Nashville
94%
37072 Goodlettsville
119%
37210 Nashville
121%
37221 Nashville
127%
37215 Nashville
128%
37211 Nashville
133%
37217 Nashville
138%
37206 Nashville
142%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few fast food may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersFast foodIndex
37219Nashville Employment hub 2,39810,032 16 323%
37228Nashville Employment hub 2,58511,884 11 193%
37203Nashville Employment hub 21,44281,719 72 173%
37201Nashville Employment hub 1,46714,290 8 139%
37213Nashville Destination 251,788 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = fast food per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersFast food Per 10kIndexStatus
37219Nashville 2,39810,032 16 21.6 323% Very high density
37204Nashville 16,46919,597 36 13.7 205% High density
37228Nashville 2,58511,884 11 12.9 193% High density
37216Nashville 19,0383,349 26 12.6 188% High density
37203Nashville 21,44281,719 72 11.6 173% High density
37214Nashville 29,80539,426 55 11.1 166% High density
37208Nashville 20,8897,094 27 11.0 166% High density
37076Hermitage 39,01710,976 45 10.1 152% High density
37209Nashville 37,81724,381 49 9.8 147% Above average
37115Madison 40,61513,853 45 9.5 142% Above average
37206Nashville 28,5458,436 31 9.5 142% Above average
37201Nashville 1,46714,290 8 9.3 139% Above average
37217Nashville 31,86921,178 39 9.2 138% Above average
37211Nashville 76,57344,705 88 8.9 133% Above average
37215Nashville 22,01816,965 26 8.5 128% Above average
37221Nashville 41,9358,281 39 8.5 127% Above average
37210Nashville 17,72534,167 28 8.0 121% Above average
37072Goodlettsville 32,20816,062 32 8.0 119% Above average
37207Nashville 41,36619,262 32 6.3 94% Below average
37220Nashville 5,2652,374 4 6.2 93% Below average
37080Joelton 6,8441,281 4 5.3 80% Below average
37205Nashville 24,82314,752 16 5.0 74% Below average
37218Nashville 15,2922,730 8 4.8 72% Below average
37013Antioch 105,21213,210 48 4.3 64% Below average
37138Old Hickory 22,5753,731 9 3.7 55% Below average
37212Nashville 20,59214,262 10 3.6 54% Below average
37011Antioch —281 0–2 — — Not published
37070Goodlettsville —311 0–2 — — Not published
37116Madison —155 0–2 — — Not published
37189Whites Creek 3,4421,361 0–2 — — Not published
37202Nashville —673 0–2 — — Not published
37213Nashville 251,788 0–2 — — Not published
37222Nashville —51 0–2 — — Not published
37224Nashville —401 0–2 — — Not published
37229Nashville —101 0–2 — — Not published
37232Nashville 033,471 3 — — Not published
37236Nashville —2,266 0–2 — — Not published
37238Nashville 02,124 0–2 — — Not published
37240Nashville —11,007 0–2 — — Not published
37241Nashville —117 0–2 — — Not published
37242Nashville —234 0–2 — — Not published
37243Nashville —736 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Nashville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Nashville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Nashville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Nashville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Davidson County and fast food

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722513 — limited-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 837 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.67 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.