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New York County, NY — Fast food Saturation

How many fast food exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 106 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Fast food · Quick-service restaurants · Takeout & delivery counters · Pizza delivery · Sandwich & burger chains. Counted together because official statistics use one 722513 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.42× the U.S. rate

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 58 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 4 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   New York County fast food — 142% of the U.S. rate

2,553 fast food are counted in New York County — 9.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 142% of the U.S. rate of 6.7.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (2,570 → 2,544).

Measured supply density is highest in 10038 (New York), 10012 (New York), 10002 (New York) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 10280 (New York), 10021 (New York), 10023 (New York).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 2,477 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: New York County sits at 142% of the U.S. rate for fast food. The highest measured density is in 10038 and 10012; the lowest measured density is in 10280 and 10021.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing fast food and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Fast food
2,553–2,669
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (58 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
9.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.7
per 10,000 present
County index
1.42×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
2,477
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,619,224
47 ZIPs with data
Workers
2,072,276
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,660,664
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−1.1%
−18,938 people
Net migration 2024
+24,881
international +30,106, domestic −5,225
Jobs located here
2,404,397
LODES 2022, −5.7% since 2019

New York County had an estimated 1,660,664 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.1% fewer than in 2020 (−18,938). In the latest year it gained 27,435 people: births minus deaths +2,588, international migration +30,106, domestic migration −5,225. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

2,404,397 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−5.7% since 2019), and 755,931 employed residents lived there (−7.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
10001 New York
+26.5%
10023 New York
+11.1%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
10032 New York
−12.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
290
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$29.1M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$100K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more fast food in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 1% since 2015

Number of fast food in New York County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

2,570
2015
2,739
2018
2,599
2020
2,517
2021
2,591
2022
2,544
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
10038 New York
276%
10012 New York
246%
10002 New York
245%
10014 New York
206%
10011 New York
153%
10075 New York
151%
10035 New York
151%
10029 New York
140%
10009 New York
135%
10040 New York
114%
10032 New York
110%
10033 New York
108%
10026 New York
108%
10039 New York
108%
10028 New York
107%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
10280 New York
48%
10021 New York
60%
10023 New York
68%
10030 New York
68%
10024 New York
74%
10044 New York
75%
10031 New York
80%
10037 New York
91%
10065 New York
91%
10025 New York
95%
10034 New York
97%
10128 New York
103%
10027 New York
104%
10028 New York
107%
10039 New York
108%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few fast food may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersFast foodIndex
10004New York Destination 3,71147,084 49 269%
10018New York Destination 8,559136,863 118 230%
10013New York Employment hub 27,21987,697 97 205%
10003New York Employment hub 53,560114,403 145 196%
10019New York Employment hub 44,942143,809 151 194%
10007New York Employment hub 7,40652,599 43 191%
10010New York Employment hub 30,70273,807 77 171%
10022New York Employment hub 34,049128,349 111 169%
10001New York Employment hub 30,511173,194 130 166%
10017New York Destination 15,297153,119 86 140%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = fast food per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersFast food Per 10kIndexStatus
10038New York 22,23536,901 75 18.4 276% Very high density
10004New York 3,71147,084 49 18.0 269% Very high density
10012New York 21,42642,494 70 16.4 246% High density
10002New York 76,87329,830 150 16.3 245% High density
10018New York 8,559136,863 118 15.3 230% High density
10014New York 29,23038,935 67 13.8 206% High density
10013New York 27,21987,697 97 13.6 205% High density
10003New York 53,560114,403 145 13.1 196% High density
10019New York 44,942143,809 151 12.9 194% High density
10007New York 7,40652,599 43 12.8 191% High density
10010New York 30,70273,807 77 11.4 171% High density
10022New York 34,049128,349 111 11.3 169% High density
10001New York 30,511173,194 130 11.1 166% High density
10011New York 48,27771,791 86 10.2 153% High density
10075New York 21,8977,668 26 10.1 151% High density
10035New York 38,8629,707 44 10.1 151% High density
10017New York 15,297153,119 86 9.4 140% Above average
10029New York 77,44740,237 91 9.3 140% Above average
10009New York 60,20910,194 59 9.0 135% Above average
10036New York 31,036180,504 105 8.7 130% Above average
10016New York 52,971106,778 87 8.2 123% Above average
10040New York 40,0963,624 32 7.6 114% Above average
10006New York 4,09620,779 11 7.6 114% Above average
10032New York 55,61019,270 48 7.4 110% Above average
10033New York 54,8389,138 43 7.2 108% Above average
10026New York 37,1233,648 28 7.2 108% Above average
10039New York 32,4921,879 24 7.2 108% Above average
10028New York 49,07716,300 41 7.2 107% Above average
10027New York 63,88548,815 61 6.9 104% Above average
10128New York 57,97615,025 45 6.9 103% Above average
10034New York 37,7584,608 26 6.5 97% Below average
10025New York 93,06516,495 64 6.3 95% Below average
10065New York 30,80843,330 32 6.1 91% Below average
10037New York 19,0314,707 13 6.1 91% Below average
10031New York 61,0585,247 34 5.3 80% Below average
10044New York 11,520868 6 5.0 75% Below average
10282New York 5,88712,287 6 5.0 75% Below average
10024New York 63,11518,817 36 5.0 74% Below average
10030New York 29,2972,774 14 4.6 68% Below average
10023New York 69,45542,228 41 4.5 68% Below average
10005New York 9,43933,398 11 4.2 63% Below average
10021New York 39,86859,122 28 4.0 60% Below average
10280New York 8,9331,067 3 3.2 48% Far below average
10008New York —542 0–2 — — Not published
10020New York 042,738 13 — — Not published
10041New York —7,486 0–2 — — Not published
10045New York —2,897 0–2 — — Not published
10055New York —2,477 0–2 — — Not published
10069New York 6,509578 0–2 — — Not published
10080New York —123 0–2 — — Not published
10101New York —136 0–2 — — Not published
10103New York 01,004 0–2 — — Not published
10104New York —6,774 0–2 — — Not published
10105New York —4,719 0–2 — — Not published
10106New York —1,581 0–2 — — Not published
10107New York —1,370 0–2 — — Not published
10110New York 03,843 0–2 — — Not published
10111New York 03,889 0–2 — — Not published
10112New York 022,516 8 — — Not published
10113New York —10 0–2 — — Not published
10115New York 01,770 0–2 — — Not published
10116New York —56 0–2 — — Not published
10118New York —9,804 0–2 — — Not published
10119New York 08,454 6 — — Not published
10120New York —2,583 0–2 — — Not published
10121New York —2,665 0–2 — — Not published
10122New York —1,527 0–2 — — Not published
10123New York —2,473 0–2 — — Not published
10125New York —37 0–2 — — Not published
10150New York —74 0–2 — — Not published
10151New York —857 0–2 — — Not published
10152New York 7786 0–2 — — Not published
10153New York 05,193 0–2 — — Not published
10154New York 08,786 0–2 — — Not published
10155New York —980 0–2 — — Not published
10156New York —28 0–2 — — Not published
10158New York —4,257 0–2 — — Not published
10159New York —5 0–2 — — Not published
10162New York 1,603150 0–2 — — Not published
10163New York —240 0–2 — — Not published
10165New York 04,763 0–2 — — Not published
10166New York —7,137 0–2 — — Not published
10167New York 05,854 0–2 — — Not published
10168New York 02,715 0–2 — — Not published
10169New York 03,237 6 — — Not published
10170New York 02,866 0–2 — — Not published
10171New York 01,734 0–2 — — Not published
10172New York 010,935 0–2 — — Not published
10173New York 01,469 0–2 — — Not published
10174New York 02,811 0–2 — — Not published
10175New York —2,039 0–2 — — Not published
10176New York —1,298 0–2 — — Not published
10177New York 02,812 0–2 — — Not published
10178New York —3,397 0–2 — — Not published
10179New York —4,049 0–2 — — Not published
10185New York —2 0–2 — — Not published
10199New York 030 0–2 — — Not published
10268New York —0 0–2 — — Not published
10271New York 06,247 0–2 — — Not published
10272New York —7 0–2 — — Not published
10276New York —2 0–2 — — Not published
10278New York 0544 0–2 — — Not published
10279New York 2591,373 0–2 — — Not published
10281New York —19,312 6 — — Not published
10285New York —11,647 0–2 — — Not published
10286New York —5,288 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in New York

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse New York retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse New York retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse New York retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow New York County and fast food

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722513 — limited-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 2,477 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.67 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.