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Montgomery County, MD — Fast food Saturation

How many fast food exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 64 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Fast food · Quick-service restaurants · Takeout & delivery counters · Pizza delivery · Sandwich & burger chains. Counted together because official statistics use one 722513 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.97× the U.S. rate (between 0.97× and 1.00× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 30 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 13 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Montgomery County fast food — 97–100% of the U.S. rate

844 fast food are counted in Montgomery County — 6.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 97% of the U.S. rate of 6.7.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 4% between 2015 and 2023 (796 → 830). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 20852 (Rockville), 20910 (Silver Spring), 20866 (Burtonsville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 20816 (Bethesda), 20871 (Clarksburg), 20903 (Silver Spring).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 797 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Montgomery County sits at 97% of the U.S. rate for fast food. 13 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 97% and 100% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 20852 and 20910; the lowest measured density is in 20816 and 20871.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing fast food and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Fast food
844–904
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (30 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
6.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.7
per 10,000 present
County index
0.97×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
797
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,076,754
46 ZIPs with data
Workers
436,377
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,082,273
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.0%
+21,417 people
Net migration 2024
+8,401
international +17,781, domestic −9,380
Jobs located here
481,012
LODES 2022, −1.9% since 2019

Montgomery County had an estimated 1,082,273 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.0% more than in 2020 (+21,417). In the latest year it gained 12,876 people: births minus deaths +4,447, international migration +17,781, domestic migration −9,380. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

481,012 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−1.9% since 2019), and 472,285 employed residents lived there (−3.7% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
20871 Clarksburg
+62.0%
20814 Bethesda
+13.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
20876 Germantown
−14.2%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
238
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$14.9M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$62K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more fast food in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 4% since 2015

Number of fast food in Montgomery County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

796
2015
828
2018
814
2020
815
2021
836
2022
830
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
20852 Rockville
166%
20910 Silver Spring
140%
20866 Burtonsville
138%
20877 Gaithersburg
137%
20850 Rockville
137%
20902 Silver Spring
133%
20814 Bethesda
132%
20876 Germantown
125%
20832 Olney
118%
20879 Gaithersburg
116%
20878 Gaithersburg
113%
20912 Takoma Park
110%
20855 Derwood
106%
20904 Silver Spring
104%
20874 Germantown
98%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
20816 Bethesda
37%
20871 Clarksburg
37%
20903 Silver Spring
40%
20853 Rockville
40%
20815 Chevy Chase
42%
20901 Silver Spring
43%
20841 Boyds
57%
20851 Rockville
58%
20886 Montgomery Village
58%
20817 Bethesda
61%
20837 Poolesville
62%
20854 Potomac
66%
20833 Brookeville
71%
20895 Kensington
78%
20872 Damascus
80%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few fast food may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersFast foodIndex
20889Bethesda Employment hub 5842,995 3 216%
20899Gaithersburg Employment hub 57198 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = fast food per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersFast food Per 10kIndexStatus
20889Bethesda 5842,995 3 14.4 216% High density
20852Rockville 48,18047,971 80 11.1 166% High density
20910Silver Spring 45,94330,581 57 9.3 140% Above average
20866Burtonsville 15,9862,820 16 9.2 138% Above average
20877Gaithersburg 38,54616,866 43 9.2 137% Above average
20850Rockville 50,35361,746 74 9.1 137% Above average
20902Silver Spring 54,2618,945 52 8.9 133% Above average
20814Bethesda 32,79554,933 53 8.8 132% Above average
20876Germantown 26,40611,746 27 8.4 125% Above average
20832Olney 25,5537,316 23 7.9 118% Above average
20879Gaithersburg 25,26416,628 26 7.7 116% Above average
20878Gaithersburg 66,11523,732 59 7.6 113% Above average
20912Takoma Park 25,7495,622 21 7.4 110% Above average
20855Derwood 17,2797,802 15 7.1 106% Above average
20904Silver Spring 58,64615,865 46 6.9 104% Above average
20874Germantown 62,73811,825 45 6.6 98% Below average
20906Silver Spring 70,5957,233 42 5.7 85% Below average
20905Silver Spring 19,0041,902 11 5.5 83% Below average
20872Damascus 13,9832,155 8 5.3 80% Below average
20895Kensington 19,1847,981 12 5.2 78% Below average
20833Brookeville 7,8601,174 4 4.7 71% Below average
20854Potomac 50,49812,073 25 4.4 66% Below average
20837Poolesville 6,6991,084 3 4.1 62% Below average
20817Bethesda 37,45428,442 21 4.1 61% Below average
20886Montgomery Village 34,7182,734 14 3.9 58% Below average
20851Rockville 14,9461,180 6 3.9 58% Below average
20841Boyds 9,969994 4 3.8 57% Below average
20901Silver Spring 36,4354,184 11 2.9 43% Far below average
20815Chevy Chase 30,50517,042 11 2.8 42% Far below average
20853Rockville 31,8513,006 9 2.7 40% Far below average
20903Silver Spring 24,8152,906 7 2.7 40% Far below average
20871Clarksburg 30,1824,656 8 2.5 37% Far below average
20816Bethesda 18,1404,396 5 2.5 37% Far below average
20810Bethesda —16 0–2 — — Not published
20812Glen Echo 276139 0–2 — — Not published
20818Cabin John 1,539500 0–2 — — Not published
20824Bethesda —1 0–2 — — Not published
20827Bethesda —14 0–2 — — Not published
20830Olney —76 0–2 — — Not published
20838Barnesville 30658 0–2 — — Not published
20839Beallsville 15893 0–2 — — Not published
20842Dickerson 2,369444 0–2 — — Not published
20849Rockville —18 3 — — Not published
20857Rockville —73 0–2 — — Not published
20859Potomac —101 0–2 — — Not published
20860Sandy Spring 2,0351,111 0–2 — — Not published
20861Ashton 2,890586 0–2 — — Not published
20862Brinklow 430170 0–2 — — Not published
20868Spencerville 198260 0–2 — — Not published
20875Germantown —227 0–2 — — Not published
20880Washington Grove 57717 0–2 — — Not published
20882Gaithersburg 13,7512,130 0–2 — — Not published
20883Gaithersburg —30 0–2 — — Not published
20884Gaithersburg —15 0–2 — — Not published
20885Gaithersburg —88 0–2 — — Not published
20892Bethesda 03,410 0–2 — — Not published
20894Bethesda 019 0–2 — — Not published
20896Garrett Park 932136 0–2 — — Not published
20898Gaithersburg —2 0–2 — — Not published
20899Gaithersburg 57198 0–2 — — Not published
20907Silver Spring —7 0–2 — — Not published
20911Silver Spring —17 0–2 — — Not published
20914Silver Spring —27 0–2 — — Not published
20993Silver Spring —100 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Rockville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Rockville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Rockville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Rockville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Montgomery County and fast food

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722513 — limited-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 797 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.67 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.