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Wake County, NC — Dentists Saturation

How many dentists exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 53 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: General & family dentists · Orthodontists · Oral surgeons · Other dental specialists. Counted together because official statistics use one 621210 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.10× the U.S. rate (between 1.10× and 1.11× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 23 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 4 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Wake County dentists — 110–111% of the U.S. rate

565 dentists are counted in Wake County — 3.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 110% of the U.S. rate of 3.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 20% between 2015 and 2023 (463 → 556). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 27605 (Raleigh), 27615 (Raleigh), 27518 (Cary) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 27591 (Wendell), 27603 (Raleigh), 27539 (Apex).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 666 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Wake County sits at 110% of the U.S. rate for dentists. 4 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 110% and 111% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 27605 and 27615; the lowest measured density is in 27591 and 27603.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing dentists and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Dentists
565–611
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (23 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
3.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
3.4
per 10,000 present
County index
1.10×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
666
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,254,117
34 ZIPs with data
Workers
563,740
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,232,444
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+9.0%
+101,750 people
Net migration 2024
+22,574
international +12,704, domestic +9,870
Jobs located here
691,802
LODES 2022, +6.9% since 2019

Wake County had an estimated 1,232,444 residents on July 1, 2024 — 9.0% more than in 2020 (+101,750). In the latest year it gained 29,050 people: births minus deaths +6,394, international migration +12,704, domestic migration +9,870. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

691,802 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.9% since 2019), and 553,112 employed residents lived there (+5.8% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
27562 New Hill
+163.3%
27523 Apex
+62.9%
27591 Wendell
+45.1%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
380
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$27.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$71K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more dentists in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 20% since 2015

Number of dentists in Wake County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

463
2015
519
2018
547
2020
568
2021
575
2022
556
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27605 Raleigh
380%
27615 Raleigh
349%
27518 Cary
332%
27609 Raleigh
237%
27607 Raleigh
178%
27502 Apex
169%
27617 Raleigh
166%
27513 Cary
156%
27608 Raleigh
142%
27540 Holly Springs
139%
27529 Garner
134%
27613 Raleigh
133%
27511 Cary
129%
27571 Rolesville
122%
27519 Cary
117%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27591 Wendell
28%
27603 Raleigh
31%
27539 Apex
31%
27610 Raleigh
32%
27604 Raleigh
37%
27616 Raleigh
45%
27597 Zebulon
45%
27606 Raleigh
50%
27526 Fuquay Varina
57%
27545 Knightdale
62%
27560 Morrisville
67%
27523 Apex
82%
27587 Wake Forest
96%
27612 Raleigh
107%
27614 Raleigh
107%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few dentists may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDentistsIndex
27601Raleigh Employment hub 9,90522,797 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = dentists per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDentists Per 10kIndexStatus
27605Raleigh 6,2866,287 12 12.7 380% Very high density
27615Raleigh 46,01926,074 69 11.7 349% Very high density
27518Cary 19,73519,913 33 11.1 332% Very high density
27609Raleigh 35,57342,100 45 7.9 237% High density
27607Raleigh 28,43833,657 27 6.0 178% High density
27502Apex 48,53012,627 31 5.7 169% High density
27617Raleigh 20,23720,564 17 5.6 166% High density
27513Cary 46,97928,672 32 5.2 156% High density
27608Raleigh 12,6044,142 7 4.8 142% Above average
27540Holly Springs 47,77111,754 25 4.7 139% Above average
27529Garner 55,24223,014 30 4.5 134% Above average
27613Raleigh 45,2358,191 22 4.5 133% Above average
27511Cary 33,22126,347 20 4.3 129% Above average
27571Rolesville 9,0951,453 4 4.1 122% Above average
27519Cary 69,8368,340 29 3.9 117% Above average
27614Raleigh 34,2269,499 14 3.6 107% Above average
27612Raleigh 41,95227,616 20 3.6 107% Above average
27587Wake Forest 82,88620,587 30 3.2 96% Below average
27523Apex 20,2693,140 6 2.7 82% Below average
27560Morrisville 40,79261,760 16 2.2 67% Below average
27545Knightdale 34,1638,145 8 2.1 62% Below average
27526Fuquay Varina 61,58812,073 13 1.9 57% Below average
27606Raleigh 45,44415,821 9 1.7 50% Below average
27597Zebulon 30,1845,823 5 1.5 45% Far below average
27616Raleigh 63,52020,031 11 1.5 45% Far below average
27604Raleigh 44,51423,469 7 1.2 37% Far below average
27610Raleigh 81,41922,246 10 1.1 32% Far below average
27539Apex 25,8785,391 3 1.0 31% Far below average
27603Raleigh 53,97226,039 7 1.0 31% Far below average
27591Wendell 29,8384,172 3 0.9 28% Far below average
27512Cary —136 0–2 — — Not published
27562New Hill 5,6591,049 0–2 — — Not published
27588Wake Forest —269 0–2 — — Not published
27592Willow Spring 21,114883 0–2 — — Not published
27601Raleigh 9,90522,797 0–2 — — Not published
27602Raleigh —177 0–2 — — Not published
27611Raleigh —1,606 0–2 — — Not published
27619Raleigh —176 0–2 — — Not published
27620Raleigh —14 0–2 — — Not published
27622Raleigh —534 0–2 — — Not published
27623Raleigh —1,413 0–2 — — Not published
27624Raleigh —362 0–2 — — Not published
27627Raleigh —118 0–2 — — Not published
27628Raleigh —44 0–2 — — Not published
27629Raleigh —34 0–2 — — Not published
27636Raleigh —81 0–2 — — Not published
27650Raleigh —17 0–2 — — Not published
27658Raleigh —21 0–2 — — Not published
27661Raleigh —15 0–2 — — Not published
27668Raleigh —194 0–2 — — Not published
27675Raleigh —133 0–2 — — Not published
27695Raleigh 1,99364 0–2 — — Not published
27699Raleigh —51 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Morrisville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Morrisville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Morrisville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Morrisville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Wake County and dentists

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 621210 — offices of dentists. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 666 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (3.35 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.