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Davidson County, TN — Convenience stores Saturation

How many convenience stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 42 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Convenience stores · Corner stores · Small-format food & fuel marts. Counted together because official statistics use one 445120 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.71× the U.S. rate (between 0.71× and 1.07× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 30 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 16 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Davidson County convenience stores — 71–107% of the U.S. rate

62 convenience stores are counted in Davidson County — 0.6 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 71% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (33 → 33).

Measured supply density is highest in 37138 (Old Hickory), 37214 (Nashville), 37115 (Madison) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 37013 (Antioch), 37211 (Nashville), 37207 (Nashville).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 73 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Davidson County sits at 71% of the U.S. rate for convenience stores. 16 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 71% and 107% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 37138 and 37214; the lowest measured density is in 37013 and 37211.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing convenience stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Convenience stores
62–122
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (30 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.6
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.71×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
73
2023 — $7M annual payroll
Residents
727,851
28 ZIPs with data
Workers
461,146
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
729,505
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.9%
+13,410 people
Net migration 2024
+6,048
international +8,789, domestic −2,741
Jobs located here
569,622
LODES 2022, +5.4% since 2019

Davidson County had an estimated 729,505 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.9% more than in 2020 (+13,410). In the latest year it gained 10,413 people: births minus deaths +4,439, international migration +8,789, domestic migration −2,741. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

569,622 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.4% since 2019), and 345,239 employed residents lived there (−0.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
37203 Nashville
+42.1%
37208 Nashville
+16.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes convenience stores only combined with vending machine operators, so a convenience-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more convenience stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 0% since 2015

Number of convenience stores in Davidson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

33
2015
35
2018
35
2020
35
2021
33
2022
33
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
37138 Old Hickory
269%
37214 Nashville
199%
37115 Madison
184%
37216 Nashville
159%
37072 Goodlettsville
136%
37208 Nashville
134%
37217 Nashville
129%
37209 Nashville
88%
37207 Nashville
86%
37211 Nashville
66%
37013 Antioch
59%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
37013 Antioch
59%
37211 Nashville
66%
37207 Nashville
86%
37209 Nashville
88%
37217 Nashville
129%
37208 Nashville
134%
37072 Goodlettsville
136%
37216 Nashville
159%
37115 Madison
184%
37214 Nashville
199%
37138 Old Hickory
269%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few convenience stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersConvenience storesIndex
37203Nashville Employment hub 21,44281,719 3 53%
37201Nashville Employment hub 1,46714,290 0–2 —
37213Nashville Destination 251,788 0–2 —
37219Nashville Employment hub 2,39810,032 0–2 —
37228Nashville Employment hub 2,58511,884 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = convenience stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersConvenience stores Per 10kIndexStatus
37138Old Hickory 22,5753,731 6 2.5 269% Very high density
37214Nashville 29,80539,426 9 1.8 199% High density
37115Madison 40,61513,853 8 1.7 184% High density
37216Nashville 19,0383,349 3 1.4 159% High density
37072Goodlettsville 32,20816,062 5 1.2 136% Above average
37208Nashville 20,8897,094 3 1.2 134% Above average
37217Nashville 31,86921,178 5 1.2 129% Above average
37209Nashville 37,81724,381 4 0.8 88% Below average
37207Nashville 41,36619,262 4 0.8 86% Below average
37211Nashville 76,57344,705 6 0.6 66% Below average
37013Antioch 105,21213,210 6 0.5 59% Below average
37203Nashville 21,44281,719 3 0.5 53% Below average
37011Antioch —281 0–2 — — Not published
37070Goodlettsville —311 0–2 — — Not published
37076Hermitage 39,01710,976 0–2 — — Not published
37080Joelton 6,8441,281 0–2 — — Not published
37116Madison —155 0–2 — — Not published
37189Whites Creek 3,4421,361 0–2 — — Not published
37201Nashville 1,46714,290 0–2 — — Not published
37202Nashville —673 0–2 — — Not published
37204Nashville 16,46919,597 0–2 — — Not published
37205Nashville 24,82314,752 0–2 — — Not published
37206Nashville 28,5458,436 0–2 — — Not published
37210Nashville 17,72534,167 0–2 — — Not published
37212Nashville 20,59214,262 0–2 — — Not published
37213Nashville 251,788 0–2 — — Not published
37215Nashville 22,01816,965 0–2 — — Not published
37218Nashville 15,2922,730 0–2 — — Not published
37219Nashville 2,39810,032 0–2 — — Not published
37220Nashville 5,2652,374 0–2 — — Not published
37221Nashville 41,9358,281 0–2 — — Not published
37222Nashville —51 0–2 — — Not published
37224Nashville —401 0–2 — — Not published
37228Nashville 2,58511,884 0–2 — — Not published
37229Nashville —101 0–2 — — Not published
37232Nashville 033,471 0–2 — — Not published
37236Nashville —2,266 0–2 — — Not published
37238Nashville 02,124 0–2 — — Not published
37240Nashville —11,007 0–2 — — Not published
37241Nashville —117 0–2 — — Not published
37242Nashville —234 0–2 — — Not published
37243Nashville —736 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Nashville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Nashville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Nashville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Nashville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Davidson County and convenience stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445120 — convenience retailers. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 73 establishments and $7M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.91 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.