Home / Child day care services / New York / New York County, NY

New York County, NY — Day care Saturation

Name: Day care density by ZIP code in New York County, NY
Creator: BizGapMap

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 106 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.96× the U.S. rate (between 0.96× and 0.99× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 64 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 6 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate New York County day care — 96–99% of the U.S. rate

523 day care are counted in New York County — 2.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 96% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 8% between 2015 and 2023 (461 → 500). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 10034 (New York), 10069 (New York), 10040 (New York) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 10011 (New York), 10023 (New York), 10021 (New York).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 536 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: New York County sits at 96% of the U.S. rate for day care. 6 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 96% and 99% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 10034 and 10069; the lowest measured density is in 10011 and 10023.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care

523–651

published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (64 cells) (2023)

Per 10,000 present

2.0

residents + daytime workers

U.S. average

2.0

per 10,000 present

County index

0.96×

vs. U.S.

Latest year (CBP)

536

2023 — $334M annual payroll

Residents

1,619,224

47 ZIPs with data

Workers

2,072,276

jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population

1,660,664

Census PEP, July 1 2024

Change since 2020

−1.1%

−18,938 people

Net migration 2024

+24,881

international +30,106, domestic −5,225

Jobs located here

2,404,397

LODES 2022, −5.7% since 2019

New York County had an estimated 1,660,664 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.1% fewer than in 2020 (−18,938). In the latest year it gained 27,435 people: births minus deaths +2,588, international migration +30,106, domestic migration −5,225. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

2,404,397 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−5.7% since 2019), and 755,931 employed residents lived there (−7.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits → · Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents

2015–19 → 2020–24

Change

10001 New York

+26.5%

10023 New York

+11.1%

ZIP losing residents

2015–19 → 2020–24

Change

10032 New York

−12.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses

3,436

no paid employees (2024)

Receipts

$68.9M

published gross receipts

Receipts per business

$20K

gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:

Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 8% since 2015

Number of day care in New York County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

461

2015

510

2018

482

2020

463

2021

463

2022

500

2023

Highest measured density

ZIP

vs. U.S. average

Index

10034 New York

418%

10069 New York

362%

10040 New York

294%

10032 New York

211%

10039 New York

206%

10044 New York

206%

10033 New York

199%

10026 New York

177%

10280 New York

156%

10027 New York

151%

10029 New York

146%

10002 New York

145%

10028 New York

129%

10031 New York

124%

10038 New York

121%

Lowest measured density

ZIP

vs. U.S. average

Index

10011 New York

47%

10023 New York

54%

10021 New York

57%

10012 New York

58%

10014 New York

71%

10035 New York

90%

10128 New York

90%

10065 New York

94%

10030 New York

96%

10025 New York

107%

10024 New York

109%

10009 New York

113%

10037 New York

115%

10038 New York

121%

10031 New York

124%

Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIP	Neighborhood	Type	Residents	Workers	Day care	Index
10004	New York	Destination	3,711	47,084	7	127%
10013	New York	Employment hub	27,219	87,697	18	125%
10282	New York	Employment hub	5,887	12,287	3	123%
10007	New York	Employment hub	7,406	52,599	5	73%
10016	New York	Employment hub	52,971	106,778	13	60%
10010	New York	Employment hub	30,702	73,807	7	51%
10003	New York	Employment hub	53,560	114,403	11	49%
10022	New York	Employment hub	34,049	128,349	9	45%
10018	New York	Destination	8,559	136,863	7	45%
10001	New York	Employment hub	30,511	173,194	10	42%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIP	Neighborhood	Residents	Workers	Day care	Per 10k	Index	Status
10034	New York	37,758	4,608	34	8.5	418%	Very high density
10069	New York	6,509	578	5	7.4	362%	Very high density
10040	New York	40,096	3,624	25	6.0	294%	Very high density
10032	New York	55,610	19,270	28	4.3	211%	High density
10039	New York	32,492	1,879	14	4.2	206%	High density
10044	New York	11,520	868	5	4.2	206%	High density
10033	New York	54,838	9,138	24	4.0	199%	High density
10026	New York	37,123	3,648	14	3.6	177%	High density
10280	New York	8,933	1,067	3	3.2	156%	High density
10027	New York	63,885	48,815	27	3.1	151%	High density
10029	New York	77,447	40,237	29	3.0	146%	Above average
10002	New York	76,873	29,830	27	2.9	145%	Above average
10028	New York	49,077	16,300	15	2.6	129%	Above average
10004	New York	3,711	47,084	7	2.6	127%	Above average
10013	New York	27,219	87,697	18	2.5	125%	Above average
10031	New York	61,058	5,247	16	2.5	124%	Above average
10282	New York	5,887	12,287	3	2.5	123%	Above average
10038	New York	22,235	36,901	10	2.5	121%	Above average
10037	New York	19,031	4,707	5	2.3	115%	Above average
10009	New York	60,209	10,194	15	2.3	113%	Above average
10024	New York	63,115	18,817	16	2.2	109%	Above average
10025	New York	93,065	16,495	22	2.2	107%	Above average
10030	New York	29,297	2,774	6	2.0	96%	Below average
10065	New York	30,808	43,330	10	1.9	94%	Below average
10128	New York	57,976	15,025	12	1.8	90%	Below average
10035	New York	38,862	9,707	8	1.8	90%	Below average
10007	New York	7,406	52,599	5	1.5	73%	Below average
10014	New York	29,230	38,935	7	1.4	71%	Below average
10016	New York	52,971	106,778	13	1.2	60%	Below average
10012	New York	21,426	42,494	5	1.2	58%	Below average
10021	New York	39,868	59,122	8	1.2	57%	Below average
10023	New York	69,455	42,228	10	1.1	54%	Below average
10010	New York	30,702	73,807	7	1.0	51%	Below average
10003	New York	53,560	114,403	11	1.0	49%	Far below average
10011	New York	48,277	71,791	8	1.0	47%	Far below average
10022	New York	34,049	128,349	9	0.9	45%	Far below average
10018	New York	8,559	136,863	7	0.9	45%	Far below average
10001	New York	30,511	173,194	10	0.9	42%	Far below average
10019	New York	44,942	143,809	8	0.7	34%	Far below average
10036	New York	31,036	180,504	8	0.7	32%	Far below average
10017	New York	15,297	153,119	6	0.7	32%	Far below average
10005	New York	9,439	33,398	0–2	—	—	Not published
10006	New York	4,096	20,779	0–2	—	—	Not published
10008	New York	—	542	0–2	—	—	Not published
10020	New York	0	42,738	3	—	—	Not published
10041	New York	—	7,486	0–2	—	—	Not published
10045	New York	—	2,897	0–2	—	—	Not published
10055	New York	—	2,477	0–2	—	—	Not published
10075	New York	21,897	7,668	0–2	—	—	Not published
10080	New York	—	123	0–2	—	—	Not published
10101	New York	—	136	0–2	—	—	Not published
10103	New York	0	1,004	0–2	—	—	Not published
10104	New York	—	6,774	0–2	—	—	Not published
10105	New York	—	4,719	0–2	—	—	Not published
10106	New York	—	1,581	0–2	—	—	Not published
10107	New York	—	1,370	0–2	—	—	Not published
10110	New York	0	3,843	0–2	—	—	Not published
10111	New York	0	3,889	0–2	—	—	Not published
10112	New York	0	22,516	0–2	—	—	Not published
10113	New York	—	10	0–2	—	—	Not published
10115	New York	0	1,770	0–2	—	—	Not published
10116	New York	—	56	0–2	—	—	Not published
10118	New York	—	9,804	0–2	—	—	Not published
10119	New York	0	8,454	0–2	—	—	Not published
10120	New York	—	2,583	0–2	—	—	Not published
10121	New York	—	2,665	0–2	—	—	Not published
10122	New York	—	1,527	0–2	—	—	Not published
10123	New York	—	2,473	0–2	—	—	Not published
10125	New York	—	37	0–2	—	—	Not published
10150	New York	—	74	0–2	—	—	Not published
10151	New York	—	857	0–2	—	—	Not published
10152	New York	7	786	0–2	—	—	Not published
10153	New York	0	5,193	0–2	—	—	Not published
10154	New York	0	8,786	0–2	—	—	Not published
10155	New York	—	980	0–2	—	—	Not published
10156	New York	—	28	0–2	—	—	Not published
10158	New York	—	4,257	0–2	—	—	Not published
10159	New York	—	5	0–2	—	—	Not published
10162	New York	1,603	150	0–2	—	—	Not published
10163	New York	—	240	0–2	—	—	Not published
10165	New York	0	4,763	0–2	—	—	Not published
10166	New York	—	7,137	0–2	—	—	Not published
10167	New York	0	5,854	0–2	—	—	Not published
10168	New York	0	2,715	0–2	—	—	Not published
10169	New York	0	3,237	0–2	—	—	Not published
10170	New York	0	2,866	0–2	—	—	Not published
10171	New York	0	1,734	0–2	—	—	Not published
10172	New York	0	10,935	0–2	—	—	Not published
10173	New York	0	1,469	0–2	—	—	Not published
10174	New York	0	2,811	0–2	—	—	Not published
10175	New York	—	2,039	0–2	—	—	Not published
10176	New York	—	1,298	0–2	—	—	Not published
10177	New York	0	2,812	0–2	—	—	Not published
10178	New York	—	3,397	0–2	—	—	Not published
10179	New York	—	4,049	0–2	—	—	Not published
10185	New York	—	2	0–2	—	—	Not published
10199	New York	0	30	0–2	—	—	Not published
10268	New York	—	0	0–2	—	—	Not published
10271	New York	0	6,247	0–2	—	—	Not published
10272	New York	—	7	0–2	—	—	Not published
10276	New York	—	2	0–2	—	—	Not published
10278	New York	0	544	0–2	—	—	Not published
10279	New York	259	1,373	0–2	—	—	Not published
10281	New York	—	19,312	0–2	—	—	Not published
10285	New York	—	11,647	0–2	—	—	Not published
10286	New York	—	5,288	0–2	—	—	Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in New York

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet

Largest commercial marketplace

Browse New York retail space →

Crexi

Free listings + market data

Browse New York retail space →

CityFeet

Retail space for lease

Browse New York retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow New York County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 536 establishments and $334M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology → · Data sources & vintages →

Check a ZIP or city · Search by radius · Answers · Data story · Methodology · Data sources · About · Privacy · Terms · Updates (RSS)

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.