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Morris County, NJ — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 54 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.93× the U.S. rate (between 0.93× and 1.33× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 31 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 26 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Morris County day care — 93–133% of the U.S. rate

121 day care are counted in Morris County — 1.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 93% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 20% between 2015 and 2023 (133 → 107). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 07082 (Towaco), 07981 (Whippany), 07849 (Lake Hopatcong) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 07960 (Morristown), 07801 (Dover), 07054 (Parsippany).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 156 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Morris County sits at 93% of the U.S. rate for day care. 26 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 93% and 133% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 07082 and 07981; the lowest measured density is in 07960 and 07801.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
121–183
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (31 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.93×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
156
2023 — $73M annual payroll
Residents
492,888
49 ZIPs with data
Workers
294,077
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
523,053
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.9%
+14,581 people
Net migration 2024
+4,222
international +4,979, domestic −757
Jobs located here
312,599
LODES 2022, +3.2% since 2019

Morris County had an estimated 523,053 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.9% more than in 2020 (+14,581). In the latest year it gained 5,315 people: births minus deaths +1,109, international migration +4,979, domestic migration −757. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

312,599 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+3.2% since 2019), and 261,999 employed residents lived there (+2.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
07932 Florham Park
+21.0%
07034 Lake Hiawatha
+20.5%
07857 Netcong
+16.4%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
07457 Riverdale
−2.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
442
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$7.5M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$17K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 20% since 2015

Number of day care in Morris County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

133
2015
123
2018
114
2020
119
2021
107
2022
107
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
07082 Towaco
384%
07981 Whippany
244%
07849 Lake Hopatcong
210%
07045 Montville
204%
07928 Chatham
199%
07876 Succasunna
179%
07834 Denville
152%
07936 East Hanover
147%
07930 Chester
127%
07869 Randolph
116%
07444 Pompton Plains
105%
07940 Madison
102%
07836 Flanders
101%
07405 Butler
96%
07866 Rockaway
87%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
07960 Morristown
52%
07801 Dover
64%
07054 Parsippany
82%
07866 Rockaway
87%
07405 Butler
96%
07836 Flanders
101%
07940 Madison
102%
07444 Pompton Plains
105%
07869 Randolph
116%
07930 Chester
127%
07936 East Hanover
147%
07834 Denville
152%
07876 Succasunna
179%
07928 Chatham
199%
07045 Montville
204%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDay careIndex
07932Florham Park Employment hub 11,97724,052 9 185%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
07046Mountain Lakes 4,5852,141 5 8.8 436% Very high density
07980Stirling 2,6751,817 3 8.4 413% Very high density
07082Towaco 5,7231,387 5 7.8 384% Very high density
07803Mine Hill 4,048475 3 7.0 345% Very high density
07981Whippany 9,03014,188 8 5.0 244% High density
07849Lake Hopatcong 8,3801,996 4 4.3 210% High density
07045Montville 10,5613,084 5 4.1 204% High density
07928Chatham 19,9744,637 9 4.0 199% High density
07927Cedar Knolls 4,8825,299 3 4.0 196% High density
07932Florham Park 11,97724,052 9 3.7 185% High density
07876Succasunna 9,6412,694 4 3.6 179% High density
07834Denville 18,3858,541 7 3.1 152% High density
07936East Hanover 11,15217,898 6 3.0 147% Above average
07930Chester 8,6485,971 3 2.6 127% Above average
07869Randolph 26,0227,225 7 2.4 116% Above average
07444Pompton Plains 10,9716,266 3 2.1 105% Above average
07940Madison 17,61013,267 5 2.1 102% Above average
07836Flanders 11,6945,792 3 2.1 101% Above average
07405Butler 17,9834,961 4 2.0 96% Below average
07866Rockaway 22,66311,205 5 1.8 87% Below average
07054Parsippany 29,48049,755 9 1.7 82% Below average
07801Dover 27,1287,282 4 1.3 64% Below average
07960Morristown 46,70239,939 7 1.0 52% Below average
07005Boonton 15,3074,141 0–2 — — Not published
07034Lake Hiawatha 11,018809 0–2 — — Not published
07035Lincoln Park 11,1203,834 0–2 — — Not published
07058Pine Brook 5,9466,324 0–2 — — Not published
07440Pequannock 4,670643 0–2 — — Not published
07457Riverdale 4,1123,255 0–2 — — Not published
07802Dover —218 0–2 — — Not published
07806Picatinny Arsenal —251 0–2 — — Not published
07828Budd Lake 15,4614,146 0–2 — — Not published
07842Hibernia 5630 0–2 — — Not published
07845Ironia —19 0–2 — — Not published
07847Kenvil 1,7761,117 0–2 — — Not published
07850Landing 6,828838 0–2 — — Not published
07852Ledgewood 4,2332,489 0–2 — — Not published
07853Long Valley 12,3391,766 0–2 — — Not published
07856Mount Arlington 4,7741,585 0–2 — — Not published
07857Netcong 3,728716 0–2 — — Not published
07870Schooleys Mountain 3458 0–2 — — Not published
07878Mount Tabor 76688 0–2 — — Not published
07885Wharton 11,8063,505 0–2 — — Not published
07926Brookside 16145 0–2 — — Not published
07933Gillette 2,995708 0–2 — — Not published
07935Green Village 584165 0–2 — — Not published
07945Mendham 9,6901,296 0–2 — — Not published
07946Millington 2,982462 0–2 — — Not published
07950Morris Plains 21,65115,770 0–2 — — Not published
07961Convent Station 333180 0–2 — — Not published
07962Morristown —4,825 0–2 — — Not published
07963Morristown —71 0–2 — — Not published
07970Mount Freedom 215118 0–2 — — Not published
07976New Vernon 389117 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Parsippany

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Parsippany retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Parsippany retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Parsippany retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Morris County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 156 establishments and $73M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.