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St. Louis County, MO — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 51 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.89× the U.S. rate (between 0.89× and 0.96× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 18 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 10 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   St. Louis County day care — 89–96% of the U.S. rate

241 day care are counted in St. Louis County — 1.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 89% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 11% between 2015 and 2023 (205 → 227). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 63133 (Saint Louis), 63136 (Saint Louis), 63134 (Saint Louis) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 63123 (Saint Louis), 63043 (Maryland Heights), 63146 (Saint Louis).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 249 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: St. Louis County sits at 89% of the U.S. rate for day care. 10 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 89% and 96% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 63133 and 63136; the lowest measured density is in 63123 and 63043.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
241–277
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (18 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.89×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
249
2023 — $116M annual payroll
Residents
1,028,683
43 ZIPs with data
Workers
614,590
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
992,929
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−1.0%
−10,447 people
Net migration 2024
+2,644
international +6,550, domestic −3,906
Jobs located here
639,388
LODES 2022, −1.4% since 2019

St. Louis County had an estimated 992,929 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.0% fewer than in 2020 (−10,447). In the latest year it gained 2,054 people: births minus deaths −620, international migration +6,550, domestic migration −3,906. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

639,388 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−1.4% since 2019), and 468,077 employed residents lived there (−1.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
63025 Eureka
+32.3%
63122 Saint Louis
+6.3%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
63135 Saint Louis
−18.1%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,217
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$21.8M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$18K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 11% since 2015

Number of day care in St. Louis County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

205
2015
211
2018
217
2020
210
2021
226
2022
227
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
63133 Saint Louis
383%
63136 Saint Louis
312%
63134 Saint Louis
247%
63137 Saint Louis
218%
63121 Saint Louis
181%
63138 Saint Louis
155%
63074 Saint Ann
137%
63042 Hazelwood
129%
63135 Saint Louis
128%
63031 Florissant
120%
63143 Saint Louis
116%
63114 Saint Louis
108%
63117 Saint Louis
106%
63033 Florissant
105%
63011 Ballwin
99%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
63123 Saint Louis
26%
63043 Maryland Heights
42%
63146 Saint Louis
45%
63128 Saint Louis
53%
63105 Saint Louis
56%
63005 Chesterfield
57%
63026 Fenton
58%
63122 Saint Louis
59%
63125 Saint Louis
63%
63130 Saint Louis
66%
63017 Chesterfield
71%
63044 Bridgeton
74%
63021 Ballwin
84%
63132 Saint Louis
88%
63025 Eureka
90%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDay careIndex
63141Saint Louis Employment hub 20,93252,455 9 94%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
63133Saint Louis 6,5692,285 6 7.8 383% Very high density
63136Saint Louis 40,9299,720 29 6.3 312% Very high density
63134Saint Louis 13,05921,824 12 5.0 247% High density
63137Saint Louis 19,6841,296 9 4.4 218% High density
63121Saint Louis 25,0084,540 10 3.7 181% High density
63138Saint Louis 18,2331,791 6 3.1 155% High density
63074Saint Ann 15,7934,511 5 2.8 137% Above average
63042Hazelwood 17,81318,020 7 2.6 129% Above average
63135Saint Louis 18,3811,728 5 2.6 128% Above average
63031Florissant 50,1966,797 13 2.4 120% Above average
63143Saint Louis 8,9757,569 3 2.4 116% Above average
63114Saint Louis 33,96914,050 9 2.2 108% Above average
63117Saint Louis 9,2619,423 3 2.1 106% Above average
63033Florissant 43,0568,105 10 2.1 105% Above average
63011Ballwin 35,92017,394 9 2.0 99% Below average
63129Saint Louis 51,55310,796 11 1.9 95% Below average
63141Saint Louis 20,93252,455 9 1.9 94% Below average
63119Saint Louis 34,18116,880 8 1.9 92% Below average
63025Eureka 19,5084,920 4 1.8 90% Below average
63132Saint Louis 14,28327,674 5 1.8 88% Below average
63021Ballwin 55,6666,403 10 1.7 84% Below average
63044Bridgeton 10,32419,240 3 1.5 74% Below average
63017Chesterfield 43,24338,461 9 1.4 71% Below average
63130Saint Louis 28,91032,314 6 1.3 66% Below average
63125Saint Louis 33,29411,096 5 1.3 63% Below average
63122Saint Louis 41,63416,646 6 1.2 59% Below average
63026Fenton 45,35427,259 7 1.2 58% Below average
63005Chesterfield 19,77929,717 4 1.2 57% Below average
63105Saint Louis 18,87532,529 4 1.1 56% Below average
63128Saint Louis 30,54013,976 4 1.1 53% Below average
63146Saint Louis 30,67827,092 4 0.9 45% Far below average
63043Maryland Heights 21,92426,758 3 0.8 42% Far below average
63123Saint Louis 49,07713,475 3 0.5 26% Far below average
63006Chesterfield —80 0–2 — — Not published
63022Ballwin —27 0–2 — — Not published
63032Florissant —26 0–2 — — Not published
63034Florissant 18,9081,619 0–2 — — Not published
63038Wildwood 7,107783 0–2 — — Not published
63040Wildwood 8,5261,923 0–2 — — Not published
63045Earth City 016,570 0–2 — — Not published
63088Valley Park 8,2262,869 0–2 — — Not published
63099Fenton —1,401 0–2 — — Not published
63124Saint Louis 10,8397,791 0–2 — — Not published
63126Saint Louis 15,4525,629 0–2 — — Not published
63127Saint Louis 5,2689,987 0–2 — — Not published
63131Saint Louis 17,93531,648 0–2 — — Not published
63140Saint Louis 316572 0–2 — — Not published
63144Saint Louis 9,50515,025 0–2 — — Not published
63145Saint Louis —3,086 0–2 — — Not published
63151Saint Louis —35 0–2 — — Not published
63167Saint Louis —3,516 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Saint Louis

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Saint Louis retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Saint Louis retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Saint Louis retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow St. Louis County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 249 establishments and $116M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.