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Brevard County, FL — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 44 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.57× the U.S. rate (between 0.57× and 0.74× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 29 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 13 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Brevard County day care — 57–74% of the U.S. rate

84 day care are counted in Brevard County — 1.1 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 57% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (67 → 71). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 32922 (Cocoa), 32905 (Palm Bay), 32927 (Cocoa) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 32909 (Palm Bay), 32904 (Melbourne), 32955 (Rockledge).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 95 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Brevard County sits at 57% of the U.S. rate for day care. 13 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 57% and 74% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 32922 and 32905; the lowest measured density is in 32909 and 32904.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
84–142
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (29 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.1
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.57×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
95
2023 — $34M annual payroll
Residents
633,463
28 ZIPs with data
Workers
195,669
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
658,447
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+8.2%
+49,655 people
Net migration 2024
+14,804
international +3,720, domestic +11,084
Jobs located here
230,479
LODES 2022, +5.2% since 2019

Brevard County had an estimated 658,447 residents on July 1, 2024 — 8.2% more than in 2020 (+49,655). In the latest year it gained 11,742 people: births minus deaths −3,021, international migration +3,720, domestic migration +11,084. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

230,479 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.2% since 2019), and 255,373 employed residents lived there (+5.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
32949 Grant
+47.3%
32909 Palm Bay
+33.8%
32940 Melbourne
+22.7%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
32920 Cape Canaveral
−2.7%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
522
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$7.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$13K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 6% since 2015

Number of day care in Brevard County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

67
2015
68
2018
65
2020
69
2021
69
2022
71
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
32922 Cocoa
174%
32905 Palm Bay
116%
32927 Cocoa
114%
32940 Melbourne
98%
32780 Titusville
88%
32796 Titusville
87%
32953 Merritt Island
85%
32935 Melbourne
70%
32907 Palm Bay
66%
32952 Merritt Island
60%
32926 Cocoa
55%
32901 Melbourne
46%
32955 Rockledge
41%
32904 Melbourne
41%
32909 Palm Bay
34%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
32909 Palm Bay
34%
32904 Melbourne
41%
32955 Rockledge
41%
32901 Melbourne
46%
32926 Cocoa
55%
32952 Merritt Island
60%
32907 Palm Bay
66%
32935 Melbourne
70%
32953 Merritt Island
85%
32796 Titusville
87%
32780 Titusville
88%
32940 Melbourne
98%
32927 Cocoa
114%
32905 Palm Bay
116%
32922 Cocoa
174%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
32922Cocoa 14,7004,558 6 3.5 174% High density
32905Palm Bay 24,7929,869 7 2.4 116% Above average
32927Cocoa 29,2192,252 7 2.3 114% Above average
32940Melbourne 51,72717,451 12 2.0 98% Below average
32780Titusville 40,0649,602 8 1.8 88% Below average
32796Titusville 20,2225,077 4 1.8 87% Below average
32953Merritt Island 24,7598,213 5 1.7 85% Below average
32935Melbourne 41,96514,193 7 1.4 70% Below average
32907Palm Bay 49,0806,010 7 1.3 66% Below average
32952Merritt Island 21,6136,282 3 1.2 60% Below average
32926Cocoa 23,5056,862 3 1.1 55% Below average
32901Melbourne 28,92328,047 4 0.9 46% Far below average
32955Rockledge 41,00814,066 4 0.8 41% Far below average
32904Melbourne 37,24122,135 4 0.8 41% Far below average
32909Palm Bay 41,8042,720 3 0.7 34% Far below average
32754Mims 12,011946 0–2 — — Not published
32781Titusville —55 0–2 — — Not published
32815Orlando —1,357 0–2 — — Not published
32899Orlando 02,694 0–2 — — Not published
32902Melbourne —89 0–2 — — Not published
32903Indialantic 13,8362,927 0–2 — — Not published
32906Palm Bay —19 0–2 — — Not published
32908Palm Bay 16,535383 0–2 — — Not published
32910Palm Bay —23 0–2 — — Not published
32911Palm Bay —28 0–2 — — Not published
32912Melbourne —5 0–2 — — Not published
32919Melbourne —4,680 0–2 — — Not published
32920Cape Canaveral 10,0058,572 0–2 — — Not published
32923Cocoa —117 0–2 — — Not published
32924Cocoa —11 0–2 — — Not published
32925Patrick Afb 1,6441,133 0–2 — — Not published
32931Cocoa Beach 14,1746,225 0–2 — — Not published
32932Cocoa Beach —38 0–2 — — Not published
32934Melbourne 18,5648,632 0–2 — — Not published
32936Melbourne —170 0–2 — — Not published
32937Satellite Beach 27,8366,361 0–2 — — Not published
32941Melbourne —31 0–2 — — Not published
32949Grant 3,636221 0–2 — — Not published
32950Malabar 4,1321,373 0–2 — — Not published
32951Melbourne Beach 11,2991,105 0–2 — — Not published
32954Merritt Island —33 0–2 — — Not published
32956Rockledge —752 0–2 — — Not published
32959Sharpes 134 0–2 — — Not published
32976Sebastian 9,156450 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Melbourne

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Melbourne retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Melbourne retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Melbourne retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Brevard County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 95 establishments and $34M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.