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Montgomery County, AL — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 31 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 1.34× the U.S. rate (between 1.34× and 1.73× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 21 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 11 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Montgomery County day care — 134–173% of the U.S. rate

76 day care are counted in Montgomery County — 2.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 134% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 58% between 2015 and 2023 (36 → 57). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 36107 (Montgomery), 36104 (Montgomery), 36106 (Montgomery) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 36116 (Montgomery), 36117 (Montgomery), 36110 (Montgomery).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 79 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Montgomery County sits at 134% of the U.S. rate for day care. 11 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 134% and 173% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 36107 and 36104; the lowest measured density is in 36116 and 36117.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
76–118
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (21 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
1.34×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
79
2023 — $20M annual payroll
Residents
228,185
21 ZIPs with data
Workers
100,573
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
225,894
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−1.1%
−2,469 people
Net migration 2024
−614
international +1,500, domestic −2,114
Jobs located here
130,767
LODES 2022, −0.2% since 2019

Montgomery County had an estimated 225,894 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.1% fewer than in 2020 (−2,469). In the latest year it lost 72 people: births minus deaths +539, international migration +1,500, domestic migration −2,114. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

130,767 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−0.2% since 2019), and 88,488 employed residents lived there (−3.4% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
36064 Pike Road
+39.0%
36104 Montgomery
+24.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
36108 Montgomery
−16.5%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
385
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$6.2M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$16K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 58% since 2015

Number of day care in Montgomery County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

36
2015
36
2018
45
2020
46
2021
55
2022
57
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
36107 Montgomery
366%
36104 Montgomery
246%
36106 Montgomery
237%
36108 Montgomery
184%
36105 Montgomery
173%
36111 Montgomery
158%
36109 Montgomery
117%
36110 Montgomery
111%
36117 Montgomery
110%
36116 Montgomery
105%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
36116 Montgomery
105%
36117 Montgomery
110%
36110 Montgomery
111%
36109 Montgomery
117%
36111 Montgomery
158%
36105 Montgomery
173%
36108 Montgomery
184%
36106 Montgomery
237%
36104 Montgomery
246%
36107 Montgomery
366%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDay careIndex
36101Montgomery Employment hub 51199 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
36107Montgomery 8,0012,821 7 7.4 366% Very high density
36104Montgomery 10,53511,033 8 5.0 246% High density
36106Montgomery 14,0659,271 9 4.8 237% High density
36108Montgomery 14,7667,866 7 3.7 184% High density
36105Montgomery 9,2079,988 5 3.5 173% High density
36111Montgomery 11,9381,125 4 3.2 158% High density
36109Montgomery 23,58111,592 7 2.4 117% Above average
36110Montgomery 12,1022,523 3 2.2 111% Above average
36117Montgomery 53,17228,383 15 2.2 110% Above average
36116Montgomery 45,25012,685 11 2.1 105% Above average
36013Cecil 24594 0–2 — — Not published
36036Grady 1,90172 0–2 — — Not published
36043Hope Hull 3,239996 0–2 — — Not published
36046Lapine 1,37159 0–2 — — Not published
36052Mathews 87417 0–2 — — Not published
36057Mount Meigs 13818 0–2 — — Not published
36064Pike Road 14,1031,068 0–2 — — Not published
36065Pine Level —82 0–2 — — Not published
36069Ramer 2,073159 0–2 — — Not published
36101Montgomery 51199 0–2 — — Not published
36102Montgomery —41 0–2 — — Not published
36103Montgomery —148 0–2 — — Not published
36112Montgomery 633546 0–2 — — Not published
36113Montgomery 94058 0–2 — — Not published
36114Montgomery 071 0–2 — — Not published
36120Montgomery —21 0–2 — — Not published
36121Montgomery —128 0–2 — — Not published
36123Montgomery —114 0–2 — — Not published
36124Montgomery —1,126 0–2 — — Not published
36125Montgomery —1,878 0–2 — — Not published
36130Montgomery 0100 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Montgomery

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Montgomery retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Montgomery retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Montgomery retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Montgomery County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 79 establishments and $20M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.