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Jefferson County, KY — Car washes Saturation

How many car washes exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 55 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Car wash tunnels & bays · Self-serve & automatic washes · Detailing (wash-attached). Counted together because official statistics use one 811192 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.67× the U.S. rate (between 0.67× and 1.77× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 46 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 28 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Jefferson County car washes — 67–177% of the U.S. rate

34 car washes are counted in Jefferson County — 0.3 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 67% of the U.S. rate of 0.5.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 29% between 2015 and 2023 (7 → 9). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 40241 (Louisville), 40243 (Louisville), 40216 (Louisville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 40223 (Louisville), 40291 (Louisville), 40218 (Louisville).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 51 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Jefferson County sits at 67% of the U.S. rate for car washes. 28 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 67% and 177% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 40241 and 40243; the lowest measured density is in 40223 and 40291.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing car washes and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Car washes
34–126
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (46 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.3
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.5
per 10,000 present
County index
0.67×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
51
2023 — $15M annual payroll
Residents
809,701
37 ZIPs with data
Workers
459,852
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
793,881
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.4%
+10,985 people
Net migration 2024
+9,201
international +13,807, domestic −4,606
Jobs located here
490,757
LODES 2022, +0.7% since 2019

Jefferson County had an estimated 793,881 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.4% more than in 2020 (+10,985). In the latest year it gained 10,500 people: births minus deaths +1,325, international migration +13,807, domestic migration −4,606. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

490,757 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.7% since 2019), and 363,460 employed residents lived there (−1.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
40245 Louisville
+15.4%
40243 Louisville
+14.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes oil-change and other auto service shops, so a car-wash-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery.

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more car washes in that ZIP.

Market trend — up 29% since 2015

Number of car washes in Jefferson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

7
2015
7
2018
10
2020
11
2021
9
2022
9
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
40241 Louisville
394%
40243 Louisville
380%
40216 Louisville
249%
40272 Louisville
151%
40207 Louisville
149%
40218 Louisville
140%
40291 Louisville
140%
40223 Louisville
140%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
40223 Louisville
140%
40291 Louisville
140%
40218 Louisville
140%
40207 Louisville
149%
40272 Louisville
151%
40216 Louisville
249%
40243 Louisville
380%
40241 Louisville
394%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few car washes may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCar washesIndex
40202Louisville Employment hub 7,26152,725 0–2 —
40209Louisville Employment hub 6395,515 0–2 —
40213Louisville Employment hub 16,05451,794 0–2 —
40280Louisville Employment hub 182843 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = car washes per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCar washes Per 10kIndexStatus
40241Louisville 30,69621,693 8 1.9 394% Very high density
40243Louisville 12,0028,262 3 1.9 380% Very high density
40216Louisville 44,04710,317 6 1.2 249% High density
40272Louisville 38,2894,867 3 0.7 151% High density
40207Louisville 28,90324,457 3 0.7 149% Above average
40218Louisville 33,73619,818 3 0.7 140% Above average
40291Louisville 41,2224,971 3 0.7 140% Above average
40223Louisville 22,79841,958 3 0.7 140% Above average
40299Louisville 42,20740,713 ~2 0.3 65% Below average
40018Eastwood —55 0–2 — — Not published
40023Fisherville 6,870477 0–2 — — Not published
40025Glenview 56515 0–2 — — Not published
40027Harrods Creek —85 0–2 — — Not published
40041Masonic Home 564345 0–2 — — Not published
40059Prospect 20,8923,862 0–2 — — Not published
40118Fairdale 10,6971,313 0–2 — — Not published
40201Louisville —270 0–2 — — Not published
40202Louisville 7,26152,725 0–2 — — Not published
40203Louisville 17,7428,514 0–2 — — Not published
40204Louisville 14,0347,104 0–2 — — Not published
40205Louisville 24,6649,094 0–2 — — Not published
40206Louisville 20,16113,222 0–2 — — Not published
40208Louisville 15,6055,529 0–2 — — Not published
40209Louisville 6395,515 0–2 — — Not published
40210Louisville 13,5184,456 0–2 — — Not published
40211Louisville 20,4074,888 0–2 — — Not published
40212Louisville 14,6611,319 0–2 — — Not published
40213Louisville 16,05451,794 0–2 — — Not published
40214Louisville 45,40511,903 0–2 — — Not published
40215Louisville 20,5321,876 0–2 — — Not published
40217Louisville 11,6635,685 0–2 — — Not published
40219Louisville 39,90919,727 0–2 — — Not published
40220Louisville 35,0789,424 0–2 — — Not published
40221Louisville 037 0–2 — — Not published
40222Louisville 21,47020,053 0–2 — — Not published
40225Louisville —10,383 0–2 — — Not published
40228Louisville 18,0853,765 0–2 — — Not published
40229Louisville 41,2998,463 0–2 — — Not published
40232Louisville —1,029 0–2 — — Not published
40233Louisville —189 0–2 — — Not published
40242Louisville 11,1681,361 0–2 — — Not published
40245Louisville 39,83517,109 0–2 — — Not published
40250Louisville —45 0–2 — — Not published
40252Louisville —24 0–2 — — Not published
40253Louisville —90 0–2 — — Not published
40255Louisville —9 0–2 — — Not published
40256Louisville —102 0–2 — — Not published
40257Louisville —72 0–2 — — Not published
40258Louisville 26,84112,415 0–2 — — Not published
40259Louisville —264 0–2 — — Not published
40268Louisville —18 0–2 — — Not published
40269Louisville —98 0–2 — — Not published
40270Louisville —107 0–2 — — Not published
40280Louisville 182843 0–2 — — Not published
40292Louisville —489 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Louisville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Louisville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Louisville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Louisville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Jefferson County and car washes

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

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Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811192 — car washes. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 51 establishments and $15M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.49 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.