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Jefferson County, MO — Beauty salons Saturation

How many beauty salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 17 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Hair salons · Beauty salons · Blow-dry & styling bars · Makeup & skincare studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812112 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.55× the U.S. rate (between 0.55× and 0.99× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 12 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 10 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Jefferson County beauty salons — 55–99% of the U.S. rate

25 beauty salons are counted in Jefferson County — 1.1 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 55% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 19% between 2015 and 2023 (27 → 22). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 63010 (Arnold), 63049 (High Ridge), 63052 (Imperial) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 63028 (Festus), 63052 (Imperial), 63049 (High Ridge).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 33 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Jefferson County sits at 55% of the U.S. rate for beauty salons. 10 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 55% and 99% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 63010 and 63049; the lowest measured density is in 63028 and 63052.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing beauty salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Beauty salons
25–49
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (12 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.1
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
0.55×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
33
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
200,118
15 ZIPs with data
Workers
37,730
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
231,888
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.2%
+4,941 people
Net migration 2024
+953
international +121, domestic +832
Jobs located here
47,562
LODES 2022, −2.5% since 2019

Jefferson County had an estimated 231,888 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.2% more than in 2020 (+4,941). In the latest year it gained 733 people: births minus deaths −227, international migration +121, domestic migration +832. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

47,562 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−2.5% since 2019), and 109,254 employed residents lived there (+1.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
615
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$23.1M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$38K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more beauty salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 19% since 2015

Number of beauty salons in Jefferson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

27
2015
26
2018
24
2020
24
2021
22
2022
22
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
63010 Arnold
107%
63049 High Ridge
105%
63052 Imperial
80%
63028 Festus
60%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
63028 Festus
60%
63052 Imperial
80%
63049 High Ridge
105%
63010 Arnold
107%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few beauty salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersBeauty salonsIndex
63053Kimmswick Employment hub 56119 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = beauty salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersBeauty salons Per 10kIndexStatus
63019Crystal City 4,4891,315 3 5.8 280% Very high density
63010Arnold 34,47812,198 9 2.2 107% Above average
63049High Ridge 16,5923,572 4 2.2 105% Above average
63052Imperial 28,7122,448 5 1.7 80% Below average
63028Festus 28,4577,737 4 1.2 60% Below average
63012Barnhart 10,314857 0–2 — — Not published
63016Cedar Hill 6,459519 0–2 — — Not published
63020De Soto 20,1662,511 0–2 — — Not published
63023Dittmer 5,002221 0–2 — — Not published
63030Fletcher 5577 0–2 — — Not published
63048Herculaneum 4,2281,056 0–2 — — Not published
63050Hillsboro 18,7441,606 0–2 — — Not published
63051House Springs 13,4361,562 0–2 — — Not published
63053Kimmswick 56119 0–2 — — Not published
63057Liguori —31 0–2 — — Not published
63065Mapaville —114 0–2 — — Not published
63070Pevely 8,4282,002 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Arnold

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Arnold retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Arnold retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Arnold retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Jefferson County and beauty salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812112 — beauty salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 33 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.08 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.