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Rock County, WI — Bars Saturation

How many bars exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 14 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Bars & taverns · Pubs & brewpubs (drinking-focused) · Cocktail & wine bars · Taprooms. Counted together because official statistics use one 722410 code.

Measured density: Very high density — 3.51× the U.S. rate (between 3.51× and 3.92× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 6 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 4 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Very high density   Rock County bars — 351–392% of the U.S. rate

69 bars are counted in Rock County — 3.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 351% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 10% between 2015 and 2023 (69 → 62). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 53563 (Milton), 53548 (Janesville), 53536 (Evansville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 53511 (Beloit), 53534 (Edgerton), 53545 (Janesville).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 74 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Rock County sits at 351% of the U.S. rate for bars. 4 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 351% and 392% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 53563 and 53548; the lowest measured density is in 53511 and 53534.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing bars and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Bars
69–81
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (6 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
3.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
3.51×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
74
2023 — $10M annual payroll
Residents
163,727
12 ZIPs with data
Workers
62,234
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
165,461
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.0%
+1,700 people
Net migration 2024
+990
international +230, domestic +760
Jobs located here
66,722
LODES 2022, −1.1% since 2019

Rock County had an estimated 165,461 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.0% more than in 2020 (+1,700). In the latest year it gained 1,018 people: births minus deaths +26, international migration +230, domestic migration +760. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

66,722 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−1.1% since 2019), and 77,147 employed residents lived there (−0.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
53536 Evansville
+9.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
14
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$825K
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$59K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more bars in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 10% since 2015

Number of bars in Rock County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

69
2015
64
2018
65
2020
58
2021
63
2022
62
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
53563 Milton
796%
53548 Janesville
465%
53536 Evansville
384%
53546 Janesville
315%
53545 Janesville
306%
53534 Edgerton
296%
53511 Beloit
269%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
53511 Beloit
269%
53534 Edgerton
296%
53545 Janesville
306%
53546 Janesville
315%
53536 Evansville
384%
53548 Janesville
465%
53563 Milton
796%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few bars may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = bars per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersBars Per 10kIndexStatus
53501Afton 16510 3 176.5 17495% Very high density
53563Milton 11,2802,354 10 8.0 796% Very high density
53548Janesville 19,9162,784 10 4.7 465% Very high density
53536Evansville 9,5471,586 4 3.9 384% Very high density
53546Janesville 29,86715,784 12 3.2 315% Very high density
53545Janesville 24,70315,292 10 3.1 306% Very high density
53534Edgerton 12,2412,335 4 3.0 296% Very high density
53511Beloit 48,70120,564 16 2.7 269% Very high density
53505Avalon 35856 0–2 — — Not published
53512Beloit —38 0–2 — — Not published
53525Clinton 4,0661,057 0–2 — — Not published
53537Footville 752152 0–2 — — Not published
53547Janesville —2,465 0–2 — — Not published
53576Orfordville 2,131260 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Beloit

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Beloit retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Beloit retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Beloit retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Rock County and bars

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722410 — drinking places (alcoholic beverages). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 74 establishments and $10M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.01 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.