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Mecklenburg County, NC — Bars Saturation

How many bars exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 71 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Bars & taverns · Pubs & brewpubs (drinking-focused) · Cocktail & wine bars · Taprooms. Counted together because official statistics use one 722410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.88× the U.S. rate (between 0.88× and 1.08× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 55 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 15 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Mecklenburg County bars — 88–108% of the U.S. rate

136 bars are counted in Mecklenburg County — 0.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 88% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 43% between 2015 and 2023 (80 → 114). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 28203 (Charlotte), 28205 (Charlotte), 28206 (Charlotte) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 28078 (Huntersville), 28262 (Charlotte), 28269 (Charlotte).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 146 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Mecklenburg County sits at 88% of the U.S. rate for bars. 15 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 88% and 108% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 28203 and 28205; the lowest measured density is in 28078 and 28262.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing bars and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Bars
136–246
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (55 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.88×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
146
2023 — $49M annual payroll
Residents
1,173,019
31 ZIPs with data
Workers
704,489
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,206,285
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+8.1%
+90,022 people
Net migration 2024
+22,081
international +19,699, domestic +2,382
Jobs located here
795,501
LODES 2022, +6.2% since 2019

Mecklenburg County had an estimated 1,206,285 residents on July 1, 2024 — 8.1% more than in 2020 (+90,022). In the latest year it gained 30,057 people: births minus deaths +7,974, international migration +19,699, domestic migration +2,382. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

795,501 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.2% since 2019), and 542,270 employed residents lived there (+4.7% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
28202 Charlotte
+30.8%
28204 Charlotte
+29.4%
28206 Charlotte
+27.7%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
28212 Charlotte
−11.4%
28270 Charlotte
−10.1%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
154
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$15.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$98K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more bars in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 43% since 2015

Number of bars in Mecklenburg County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

80
2015
100
2018
105
2020
102
2021
107
2022
114
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
28203 Charlotte
541%
28205 Charlotte
457%
28206 Charlotte
379%
28134 Pineville
256%
28209 Charlotte
182%
28217 Charlotte
143%
28031 Cornelius
131%
28208 Charlotte
93%
28105 Matthews
86%
28227 Charlotte
73%
28277 Charlotte
51%
28269 Charlotte
42%
28262 Charlotte
41%
28078 Huntersville
34%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
28078 Huntersville
34%
28262 Charlotte
41%
28269 Charlotte
42%
28277 Charlotte
51%
28227 Charlotte
73%
28105 Matthews
86%
28208 Charlotte
93%
28031 Cornelius
131%
28217 Charlotte
143%
28209 Charlotte
182%
28134 Pineville
256%
28206 Charlotte
379%
28205 Charlotte
457%
28203 Charlotte
541%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few bars may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersBarsIndex
28202Charlotte Employment hub 17,65365,673 18 353%
28204Charlotte Employment hub 9,31418,668 6 319%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = bars per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersBars Per 10kIndexStatus
28203Charlotte 18,82335,664 20 5.5 541% Very high density
28205Charlotte 51,80613,424 27 4.6 457% Very high density
28206Charlotte 15,37516,344 9 3.8 379% Very high density
28202Charlotte 17,65365,673 18 3.6 353% Very high density
28204Charlotte 9,31418,668 6 3.2 319% Very high density
28134Pineville 13,24512,291 5 2.6 256% Very high density
28209Charlotte 24,33116,612 6 1.8 182% High density
28217Charlotte 32,06460,725 9 1.4 143% Above average
28031Cornelius 31,73312,432 5 1.3 131% Above average
28208Charlotte 40,19748,001 6 0.9 93% Below average
28105Matthews 46,81721,636 5 0.9 86% Below average
28227Charlotte 60,48214,480 5 0.7 73% Below average
28277Charlotte 73,88247,594 5 0.5 51% Below average
28269Charlotte 79,58628,545 4 0.4 42% Far below average
28262Charlotte 50,00346,056 3 0.4 41% Far below average
28078Huntersville 71,65730,594 3 0.3 34% Far below average
28035Davidson —15 0–2 — — Not published
28036Davidson 22,9637,969 0–2 — — Not published
28070Huntersville —210 0–2 — — Not published
28106Matthews —172 0–2 — — Not published
28126Newell —11 0–2 — — Not published
28130Paw Creek —134 0–2 — — Not published
28201Charlotte —116 0–2 — — Not published
28207Charlotte 9,5278,937 0–2 — — Not published
28210Charlotte 47,35923,499 0–2 — — Not published
28211Charlotte 33,92521,286 0–2 — — Not published
28212Charlotte 42,4406,758 0–2 — — Not published
28213Charlotte 45,90410,328 0–2 — — Not published
28214Charlotte 43,83715,327 0–2 — — Not published
28215Charlotte 66,6746,067 0–2 — — Not published
28216Charlotte 57,50718,468 0–2 — — Not published
28218Charlotte —90 0–2 — — Not published
28219Charlotte —2,601 0–2 — — Not published
28220Charlotte —95 0–2 — — Not published
28221Charlotte —613 0–2 — — Not published
28222Charlotte —19 0–2 — — Not published
28223Charlotte 4,953747 0–2 — — Not published
28224Charlotte —134 0–2 — — Not published
28226Charlotte 39,38114,405 0–2 — — Not published
28230Charlotte —45 0–2 — — Not published
28231Charlotte —33 0–2 — — Not published
28232Charlotte —25 0–2 — — Not published
28233Charlotte —230 0–2 — — Not published
28235Charlotte —9 0–2 — — Not published
28236Charlotte —21 0–2 — — Not published
28237Charlotte —42 0–2 — — Not published
28241Charlotte —339 0–2 — — Not published
28244Charlotte 01,782 0–2 — — Not published
28246Charlotte —773 0–2 — — Not published
28247Charlotte —42 0–2 — — Not published
28253Charlotte —954 0–2 — — Not published
28255Charlotte —14,756 0–2 — — Not published
28256Charlotte —1,255 0–2 — — Not published
28260Charlotte —57 0–2 — — Not published
28265Charlotte —26 0–2 — — Not published
28266Charlotte —400 0–2 — — Not published
28270Charlotte 32,4486,041 0–2 — — Not published
28271Charlotte —218 0–2 — — Not published
28272Charlotte —63 0–2 — — Not published
28273Charlotte 50,96669,222 0–2 — — Not published
28274Charlotte 7471,013 0–2 — — Not published
28278Charlotte 37,4205,683 0–2 — — Not published
28280Charlotte 01,220 0–2 — — Not published
28281Charlotte —812 0–2 — — Not published
28282Charlotte 02,879 0–2 — — Not published
28284Charlotte —169 0–2 — — Not published
28285Charlotte —9 0–2 — — Not published
28287Charlotte —126 0–2 — — Not published
28288Charlotte —10 0–2 — — Not published
28297Charlotte —9 0–2 — — Not published
28299Charlotte —45 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Charlotte

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Charlotte retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Charlotte retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Charlotte retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Mecklenburg County and bars

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722410 — drinking places (alcoholic beverages). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 146 establishments and $49M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.01 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.