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Forsyth County, NC — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 27 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.64× the U.S. rate (between 0.64× and 1.10× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 20 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 10 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Forsyth County auto repair — 64–110% of the U.S. rate

28 auto repair are counted in Forsyth County — 0.6 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 64% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 27% between 2015 and 2023 (30 → 22). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 27012 (Clemmons), 27103 (Winston Salem), 27284 (Kernersville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 27106 (Winston Salem), 27127 (Winston Salem), 27107 (Winston Salem).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 23 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Forsyth County sits at 64% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 10 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 64% and 110% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 27012 and 27103; the lowest measured density is in 27106 and 27127.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
28–68
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (20 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.6
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.64×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
23
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
416,830
17 ZIPs with data
Workers
178,036
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
398,143
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+4.1%
+15,509 people
Net migration 2024
+3,754
international +2,424, domestic +1,330
Jobs located here
191,946
LODES 2022, −3.2% since 2019

Forsyth County had an estimated 398,143 residents on July 1, 2024 — 4.1% more than in 2020 (+15,509). In the latest year it gained 4,308 people: births minus deaths +527, international migration +2,424, domestic migration +1,330. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

191,946 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.2% since 2019), and 162,814 employed residents lived there (−2.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
27012 Clemmons
+7.8%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 27% since 2015

Number of auto repair in Forsyth County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

30
2015
26
2018
26
2020
25
2021
21
2022
22
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27012 Clemmons
132%
27103 Winston Salem
103%
27284 Kernersville
100%
27101 Winston Salem
98%
27107 Winston Salem
82%
27127 Winston Salem
77%
27106 Winston Salem
62%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27106 Winston Salem
62%
27127 Winston Salem
77%
27107 Winston Salem
82%
27101 Winston Salem
98%
27284 Kernersville
100%
27103 Winston Salem
103%
27012 Clemmons
132%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
27012Clemmons 30,5438,890 4 1.1 132% Above average
27103Winston Salem 33,32545,884 5 0.9 103% Above average
27284Kernersville 58,06522,671 6 0.9 100% Below average
27101Winston Salem 22,97324,749 3 0.8 98% Below average
27107Winston Salem 50,76911,279 4 0.7 82% Below average
27127Winston Salem 41,4437,300 3 0.7 77% Below average
27106Winston Salem 49,67011,807 3 0.5 62% Below average
27009Belews Creek 2,939327 0–2 — — Not published
27010Bethania —10 0–2 — — Not published
27023Lewisville 14,4145,091 0–2 — — Not published
27040Pfafftown 12,665897 0–2 — — Not published
27045Rural Hall 10,8633,288 0–2 — — Not published
27050Tobaccoville 3,8231,609 0–2 — — Not published
27051Walkertown 7,8731,315 0–2 — — Not published
27102Winston Salem —925 0–2 — — Not published
27104Winston Salem 31,7836,708 0–2 — — Not published
27105Winston Salem 40,67821,197 0–2 — — Not published
27109Winston Salem 2,8234,886 0–2 — — Not published
27110Winston Salem 2,181138 0–2 — — Not published
27113Winston Salem —364 0–2 — — Not published
27114Winston Salem —430 0–2 — — Not published
27116Winston Salem —167 0–2 — — Not published
27117Winston Salem —71 0–2 — — Not published
27120Winston Salem —59 0–2 — — Not published
27155Winston Salem —92 0–2 — — Not published
27157Winston Salem —14,507 0–2 — — Not published
27285Kernersville —997 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Winston Salem

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Winston Salem retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Winston Salem retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Winston Salem retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Forsyth County and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 23 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.