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South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 27 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.94× the U.S. rate (between 0.94× and 1.37× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 16 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 13 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   South Central Connecticut Planning Region auto repair — 94–137% of the U.S. rate

57 auto repair are counted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region — 0.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 94% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2022 and 2023 (53 → 54).

Measured supply density is highest in 06471 (North Branford), 06525 (Woodbridge), 06460 (Milford) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 06450 (Meriden), 06513 (New Haven), 06514 (Hamden).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 63 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: South Central Connecticut Planning Region sits at 94% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 13 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 94% and 137% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 06471 and 06525; the lowest measured density is in 06450 and 06513.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
57–89
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (16 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.94×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
63
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
570,734
24 ZIPs with data
Workers
263,302
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
576,718
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.2%
+12,192 people
Net migration 2024
+3,526
international +5,328, domestic −1,802
Jobs located here
291,171
LODES 2022, +4.3% since 2019

South Central Connecticut Planning Region had an estimated 576,718 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.2% more than in 2020 (+12,192). In the latest year it gained 3,799 people: births minus deaths +266, international migration +5,328, domestic migration −1,802. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

291,171 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+4.3% since 2019), and 265,837 employed residents lived there (+0.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
06510 New Haven
+78.0%
06525 Woodbridge
+2.8%
06477 Orange
+2.7%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
06524 Bethany
−4.1%
06443 Madison
−2.5%
06437 Guilford
−0.7%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 2% since 2022

Number of auto repair in South Central Connecticut Planning Region across 2022–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

53
2022
54
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
06471 North Branford
422%
06525 Woodbridge
317%
06460 Milford
263%
06473 North Haven
188%
06405 Branford
166%
06492 Wallingford
160%
06512 East Haven
144%
06516 West Haven
130%
06514 Hamden
115%
06513 New Haven
109%
06450 Meriden
82%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
06450 Meriden
82%
06513 New Haven
109%
06514 Hamden
115%
06516 West Haven
130%
06512 East Haven
144%
06492 Wallingford
160%
06405 Branford
166%
06473 North Haven
188%
06460 Milford
263%
06525 Woodbridge
317%
06471 North Branford
422%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersAuto repairIndex
06510New Haven Employment hub 4,58413,964 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
06471North Branford 7,1402,143 3 3.7 422% Very high density
06525Woodbridge 9,0733,718 3 2.7 317% Very high density
06460Milford 37,64921,274 11 2.3 263% Very high density
06473North Haven 24,74324,290 6 1.6 188% High density
06405Branford 28,21712,979 5 1.4 166% High density
06492Wallingford 44,49826,850 8 1.4 160% High density
06512East Haven 28,8306,497 4 1.2 144% Above average
06516West Haven 55,35113,371 7 1.1 130% Above average
06514Hamden 26,8036,729 3 1.0 115% Above average
06513New Haven 38,8887,153 4 0.9 109% Above average
06450Meriden 35,69413,494 3 0.7 82% Below average
06437Guilford 22,0678,094 0–2 — — Not published
06443Madison 17,6574,682 0–2 — — Not published
06451Meriden 24,8515,134 0–2 — — Not published
06461Milford 15,0354,632 0–2 — — Not published
06472Northford 6,3631,812 0–2 — — Not published
06477Orange 14,31510,855 0–2 — — Not published
06501New Haven —43 0–2 — — Not published
06510New Haven 4,58413,964 0–2 — — Not published
06511New Haven 54,73050,885 0–2 — — Not published
06515New Haven 19,0063,363 0–2 — — Not published
06517Hamden 14,2214,359 0–2 — — Not published
06518Hamden 20,1268,890 0–2 — — Not published
06519New Haven 15,6057,483 0–2 — — Not published
06520New Haven —177 0–2 — — Not published
06524Bethany 5,288651 0–2 — — Not published
06534New Haven —35 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in New Haven

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse New Haven retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse New Haven retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse New Haven retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow South Central Connecticut Planning Region and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 63 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.